Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(2/1/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/5)-(2/1/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/5)-(2/1/9/5)-(2/1/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/9/5)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9/5)-(5/6/2)-(6/4/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/1/7)-(8/4/2/1/10) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(8/4/2/1/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/4/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1/10)-(8/4/2/1/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1/10)-(8/4/2/1/10)-(8/4/2/1/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENDA Jul09 May29 Apr28 Mar23 Feb08 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CIVIC DUTY by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  TEA AND SCONES         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 10.00 9% 10.60    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  LUNA MIA Jul10 Jun20 May22 May08 Apr13 (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  RACE N RETURN Jul13 May19 May10 Apr20 Apr06 (harigeorgiou konst)PAUCAR E 116 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GIRLSASAINT by SAINT LIAM)
5  NOGRATZ Jul09 Jun21 May22 May08 Apr05 (fiesman rob)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Apr13 Feb20 Dec05 Nov02 Sep13 (reed r)DIAZ I 123 1.80    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
7  DONTMESSWITHJAMMER Jun10 May19 Jul13     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.20 61% 0.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
8  TEST YOUR FAITH Jul09 Jun21 May29 Mar29 Mar08 (wade justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
 
MNR-2   07/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE FLOE Jul02 Jun20 May29 May14 May08 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  DICHOTOMY Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 Oct12 Sep20 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 123 1.00 34% 1.90    
3  PETTIGO GIRL Jul05 Jun20 May22 Mar07 Feb15 (norris step)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
4  YO YO MON Jul05 Jun21 May29 May23 Dec13 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
5  VINTAGE SPARKLE Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 May23 Apr30 (poole c)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
6  NO SNIVELING Jul05 Jun12 May22 May09 Mar20 (londono o)BRICENO M 113 20.00    
7  SEDUCTIVE (IRE) Jun21 May29 Sep14 Aug29 Aug16 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
SCR  WAY TO FIRE Jun20 Jun05 May23 Feb18 Feb09 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
9  BELLE BREZING Jul12 Jul02 Jun21 May30 Oct05 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
MNR-3   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMANTIC JEWEL Jul10 Jun25 May22 May09 Apr26 (patton luke)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60    
2  SHORE OF EDEN Jul09 May22 Aug29 Aug13 Jun29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
3  NANCYSAIDSO Jul09 Jun25 May14 May04 Apr13 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50    
4  SUSIKIN May31 May12 Apr27 Mar31 Mar01 (silva juan )STEINEMAN JAMES 113 6.00    
5  COCO MACHEN Dec05 Nov02 Oct16 Aug02 Jun27 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
6  DONYA'S MAGIC Jul09 May29 May14 Apr25 Mar17 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-4   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOCKO ROAD Jul09 May09 Apr04 Dec28 Dec13 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 3.50    
2  PERFECT PICTURE Jun27 Jun04 May17 May09 Apr27 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 5% 18.10    
3  AS DE ORO COCO Jul09 Jun27 May29 May07 Mar05 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 120 8.00    
4  NICHOLAS JAMES Jun27 Jun06 May20 May03 Apr11 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 28% 2.50    
5  JACKZILLA May23 May09 Nov28 Nov02 Oct03 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
6  LEAD OFF Jun20 May28 May08 Mar07 Feb11 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
MNR-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Jul12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
3  IN THE GOSPEL Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 Oct20 Sep02 (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Jun15 May27 May19 Apr27 Mar31 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00    
5  EXECUTIVE PRIZE Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Jan07 (johnson jen)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
6  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Aug26 Aug06 May14 Mar11 Jan26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.80 77% 0.30    
7  TWO GOLD SPOTS Jul10 Jun26 May21 May07 Nov06 (witherow sandra )CCAMAQUE M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON WILMA Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May16 Apr30 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
2  GRAND VENUS Jul03 Jun25 May28 May16 Apr30 (hebert julia)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
3  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Jul11 Jun06 Jun01 May24 May05 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00    
4  MYRA FLEENER Jul11 Jun20 Dec06 Nov13 Oct26 (jimenez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
5  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jul02 Jun21 May11 May03 Apr13 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 7% 13.30    
6  HOV LANE Jun16 Jun09 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
MNR-7   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR May26 Apr05 Feb20 Oct13 Sep18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 18% 4.70    
2  OUR FLIRTATION Jul05 Jun06 May21 May02 Dec11 (ewell devan )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
3  GRAY FASHION Jul02 Dec06 Oct18 Oct04 Aug16 (ewell sr)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
4  PRINCESS HALIME Jul11 May31 May22 May06 Apr24 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST Jun15 Apr12 Mar07 Oct31 Sep20 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 5.00    
6  BOURBON BUNS Jul03 May31 May02 Mar07 Feb20 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
7  CANDY ISLAND Jun24 May15 Feb20 Dec15 Nov21 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
MNR-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Jun11 May02 Mar15 Nov15 Oct30 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  REGAL HOLIDAY Jun19 May30 May14 May07 Oct18 (gray christoph)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00 18% 4.60    
3  SMALL BUT FEISTY Jun11 May29 May08 Apr15 Feb25 (cordero-lop)WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 6.00    
4  GANDHI'S ORION Jul09 May26 May05 Apr14 Mar23 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  BLOWN SAVE Jun23 Jun09 May18 Mar24 Mar10 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 116 3.50    
6  MOSES WATER Jul03 Jun15 May25 Apr21 Apr01 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
7  DADDY Z Jun25 May23 Mar23 Feb09 Jan20 (shuler )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
8  JOYRIDE Jul03 May02 Mar20 Dec14 Nov09 (mcgaffic gregory)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  GALLIPOLIS Jul05 Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 Oct23 (sanders mel)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
10  DAVIS HAT Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 Jan17 Dec14 (weymes andrew)TOLEDO S 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.