Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (2/3/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/7/10)-(5/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(9/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(9/3/5)-(7/5/3) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/5)-(9/3/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/9)-(3/4/5/9)-(3/4/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/5)-(7/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/2/8/6)-(2/4/8/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/6)-(2/4/8/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVINE BY DESIGN Jul10         (sipp k)YARANGA Y 116 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MY COZY ANGEL by TOCCET)
2  NYSSA Jul03 May30 May15 May02 Apr13 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 70% 0.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of SOPHIE'S MEATBALL by LION HEART)
3  POLITICAL ASTRAY Jun18 Jun03 May03 Apr23 Mar29 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 4.50 6% 14.60    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of POLITICAL STORM by POLITICAL AMBITION)
4  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT Mar05 Feb20       (silva juan )STEINEMAN JAMES 106 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of NOT TO DOUBT by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
5  FESSIN UP Jun24 Jun09 May12 Mar30 Mar09 (comi r)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of CARLETON GRINNELL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  SHEZ FIRED UP Jul03 Jun20 May22 May07 Aug22 (mcgaffic gr)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
7  BLUEBERRY QUEEN Jul10 May25 Mar30 Mar16 Jan13 (larue steve)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of JERSEY BEE'S by JERSEY TOWN)
SCR  QUICK AND DIRTY Jun20         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAUGHTYNAUGHTYGIRL by BERNARDINI)
SCR  FREEDOM'S ALLURE Jul09 Jun20 Jun07 May29 May03 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC ROSETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
10  HAKABUMBUM         (conto kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of BUMBA BUMBA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  SMARTY PANTS Jul10 Apr06 Mar21 Feb09   (norris ste)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 116 4.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  FIRST TIME PLAYER Nov01 Oct26 Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 (silva)MONSERRATE A 123 6.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of GOTNACEUPERSLEEVE by SOUGHT AFTER)
SCR  LOVE MY CANDY Apr29 Mar11 Oct28 Sep15 Aug10 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
MNR-2   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST OF YOU Jul04 Jun12 May29 May22 Apr11 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 20.00    
2  DE PURA SANGRE Oct12 Oct03 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  GOLDEN ACCOUNT May21 May01 Feb15 Jan27 Jan18 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
SCR  SHES THE NORTH Jul02 May18 Apr22 Apr09 Mar09 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00    
5  HONEY BOURBON Jul02 Jun25 Jun06 May22 Mar17 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  KITTEN BY THE SEA Jul09 Jun25 May30 Oct10 Sep28 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.00    
7  ALGODONAL Jul09 Jun06 May02 Nov15 Oct12 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TOO CROWDED May29 Jan28 Jan07 Nov08 Oct24 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
9  COURTED Jun27 Jun06 May28 Dec29 Dec22 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVENIDA MANANA Jul09 Jun25 Dec11 Nov30 Aug29 (larue steve)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
2  BEE WINGS Jun06 Dec04 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 (noland rona)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 30.00    
3  HIGH HEAVEN Jun05 May30 Dec15 Nov30 Nov22 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  LOOPY Jul03 Jun06 Apr24 Apr10 Apr01 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 1.00 31% 2.20    
5  WALKIN PRINCESS Oct05 Sep18 Aug17 Jul12 Jun14 (logston chr)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  MAYAN QUEEN Jun25 Jun06 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
7  LELAWALA Jul05 Jun19 May14 Apr24 Apr05 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  CHECK SIX Jul11 Jun25 May21 Dec20 Dec05 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
9  KANFU Jun27 Jun07 May11 May02 Mar23 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
MNR-4   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURN THE SWITCH Jun27 Jun06 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
2  KNOWN Jun19 May22 May08 May02 Feb04 (eidschun gregory)VIGIL NOEL 120 10.00    
3  MR. SKITTLES Jul09 Jun13 Jun02 Apr28 Mar29 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
4  LEMON BLITZ Jul09 Jun18 May28 Apr29 Sep23 (jansen kenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00    
5  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jul03 May28 May07 Feb10 Jan07 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Jul03 Jun18 May22 Apr13 Mar20 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
7  GOOD IDEA Jun24 Jun13 May24 Apr15 Mar16 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
MNR-5   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNELS CREEK Jun19 May16 Apr15 Mar20 Mar02 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.50    
2  HIDDEN RULER Jul05 May07 Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
3  PRETTY STORMY Jun27 May30 Nov22 Nov14 Nov02 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  COMPLEX JUSTICE Jun01 May09 Nov22 Oct31 Oct13 (west a)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80    
5  TEN TWENTY NINE Jul02 Jun11 May16 Apr30 Jan24 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  QUAD EIGHTS Jun26 Jun13 May28 May09 Sep14 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
 
MNR-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED WHITE FACE Jun04 May09 Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MALIBU ROCK STAR Jul02 Jun06 May30 Apr21 Apr01 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMJAY Jul05 Jun21 May23 May08 Dec14 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 64% 0.60    
4  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jun16 May24 Apr29 Apr01 Feb18 (pitts dan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.50    
5  SUTTON BREEZE Jun27 Apr30 Apr21 Apr06   (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
SCR  STRASBOURG Jul04 Jun12 May29 Apr21 Apr08 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  SO COURAGEOUS Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (patterson kevin)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALFIE SOLOMONS Jun05 May15 Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00    
2  PALACE PRINCE Jul03 Jun27 May30 May22 May08 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  BROTHER SKYE Jun05 May16 Dec15 Dec07 Nov09 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  LOST IN MANHATTAN Jul12 Jun05 May07 Apr22 Mar31 (waite l)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
5  INCORRUPTIBLE May02 Jul23 Jul02 Apr24 Apr02 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
6  HEARTNESS Jun27 Jun19 May28 May14 Apr27 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 6% 16.40    
7  SAG HARBOR Jul03 Jun21 May14 May04 Apr22 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
8  QUICK ENTRY Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May16 Dec07 (cain crysta)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00 7% 12.80    
 
MNR-8   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDUARD Jul05 Jun19 May22 May01 Dec07 (kocijan mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROLL DEM BONES Jul05 Jun13 May11 Mar16 Feb18 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
3  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Jun25 Jun05 May28 May02 Apr08 (fearon johnatho)VEGA L 120 5.00    
4  OLD FORTY FIVE Jul03 Jun11 May23 May01 Mar20 (poole c)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  COMMUNICATION FAIL Jul03 Jun20 May19 Mar08 Feb02 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00    
SCR  FIFTY PESOS Jun25 May29 May21 May07 May01 (silva)MONSERRATE A 116 8.00    
7  VERRAZANO LEGACY Jul03 Jun13 May23 Dec06 Nov23 (sanders melinda)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
8  ELUSIVE MOTION Jun20 Jun05 May21 May07 Dec12 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.