Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(6/5/3)-(2/7/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/1)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/1)-(2/5/3)-(6/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/1/2/5)-(3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/5)-(3/4/2)-(2/7/4/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/7/4/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/7/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6/1)-(2/7/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6/1)-(2/7/4/6/1)-(2/7/4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY RITT Jun07 May09 Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jun15 May18 Apr27 Mar18 Mar01 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
3  MARVALOUS MIKE Jun16 May04 Mar08 Feb16 Jan30 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
4  NICE WEATHER Jun15 May31 May12 Nov04 Sep09 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
5  PICTOR Jun15 May18 Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
6  JUMPMASTER Jun15 May17 Apr27 Mar23 Mar10 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-2   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ MUSIC Jun16 May25       (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
2  MISSING A SOCK Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01   (miller a)CORA D 124 4.50    
3  BIG SIS NIC Jun16 Aug06       (murtough )RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEMPTRESS CALLING Jun17 Jun04 Jul10     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
5  PRINCESS WIGGY         (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  SO STEADY Jun15 May22 Apr20     (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  RACE N RETURN May19 May10 Apr20 Apr06 Nov16 (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERCURY TEN Jun11 May25 Oct27 Oct13 Oct06 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CABAR SUL Jun21 May31 May03 Jan12 Dec07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  COMBATING Jun21 May25 May10 Mar23 Feb15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
4  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jun21 Jun09 May25 May06 May06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A null      
5  MANKLIN CREEK Dec29 Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 15.00    
6  RUNNIN JOKE Jun06 May20 May03 Apr18 Mar13 (guerrero gu)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
7  KAZ MUNNINGS Jun21 May10 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
8  FLETCHER STATION Jun21 May26 May11     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 7% 13.60    
 
PEN-4   07/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICK ALERT May12 Oct24 Sep29     (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 117 4.50    
2  TWIST OF FAITH Jun17 Jul10 Jun22 Apr13   (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  QUINCY ADAMS Jun15 May26 Apr28 Apr19 Mar29 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUNSHINE HARRY Jun15         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
5  BULLET BREEZE Jun15 May18       (murillo a)CORA D 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  FINE FINE Jun16         (crane clovi)INIRIO J 122 3.50    
 
PEN-5   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBERRY MASH Jun15 May17 Apr26 Mar24 Mar03 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
2  GALILEE Aug24 Aug10 Apr22 Mar16 Feb18 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
3  SON OF A BEAST Jun09 May18 May04 Apr21 Feb13 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
4  SWEEPIN HARD Jun15 May17 Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 (jacklin theod)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00    
5  TUCKERTON BAY Jun28 Jun02 May11 Apr26 Mar30 (ippolito mark)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOON WARRIOR Jun20 May17 May04 Mar22 Mar13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
7  NO ME DIGAS Jun17 May27 May11 Apr20 Apr14 (davis s)BRICENO GREGOR 118 12.00    
 
PEN-6   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTORIOUS REY Jun20 May19 Feb23 Jan13 Dec07 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
2  GORUN Jun20 May25 Apr20 Apr14 Mar23 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  EL POLICIA Apr01 Feb17 Feb03 Jan28 Jan08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
4  BUFF AND SHINE Jun14 May17 Apr27 Mar22 Jan13 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  ABHAR Jun20 May19 Mar08 Feb23 Jan20 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 1.80    
6  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jun02 May17 Apr27 Apr19 Mar31 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 12.00    
 
PEN-7   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCYNTZ Jun20 May04 Mar08 Feb23 Feb02 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jun16 Jun01 May10 Apr26 Feb17 (george bryan )TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  SPOOKY ONE Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May10 Mar30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
4  BEAST OR FAMINE Jun01 May10 Jan28 Jan11 Feb06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
5  CAPTAIN CARDO Jun02 Mar31 Feb10 Dec20 Nov29 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 12.00    
6  LIONESQUE Jun16 Jun01 May19 May04 Feb23 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
7  BOX OF JOE Jun14 May24 Apr26 Mar24 Feb23 (cooper stacey)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00 17% 4.80    
8  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jun16 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Jan25 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 3.50    
9  PEAKY BLINKERS Jun16 May24 May05 Apr20 Feb17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.