Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(9/1/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(9/1/7/8)-(3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (9/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/8)-(3/4/1)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/5/6)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/5)-(1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/3)-(1/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/4/6)-(5/3/8/2/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/3/8/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/3/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2/1)-(5/3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2/1)-(5/3/8/2/1)-(5/3/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   06/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADOWY Jun03         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
VERNON'S BEST         (andrade h)CORREA L 119 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
GOLDEN FLAG         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
MR. REDLEGS         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
SCR  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
 
BTP-2   06/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE BLACK Mar31 Sep20 Aug16     (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jun03 May18 May11 Apr26 Mar17 (salcedo r)CORREA L 121 12.00    
SCR  HEY RAY May19 Apr27 Mar23     (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA May19 May05 Apr22 Mar17 Feb22 (chain pea)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 5.00    
SCR  WILSHIRE DIAMOND Jun03 Sep28 Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50    
ELI May19 Apr29 Mar23 Feb17 Feb04 (macias adolfo)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
T J MUNNINGS Jun07 May31 Apr27 Apr16 Mar31 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 12.00 15% 5.60    
BRONX May19 Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 Apr21 (adams l)REYES R 121 8.00 13% 6.70    
CINDY'S STORM May13 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES May19 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Oct05 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00    
 
BTP-3   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT WORK'N May17 May05 Feb18 Jan06 Dec30 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.50 11% 8.50    
DROP ANCHOR May20 Apr23 Apr05 Mar24 Feb04 (adams l)REYES R 121 5.00    
GULLANE May20 Mar28 Jan23 Dec21 May13 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
FUTURE VICTORY May31 May18 Apr01 Mar17 Feb09 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
DAWN WEST May20 May13 Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 (skeens jeremy)COLON H 121 8.00    
MY GRASS IS BLUE May24 Apr29 Apr01 Feb18 Jan28 (pitts dan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50    
 
BTP-4   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOOIT May11 Apr23 Feb08 Jan13 Nov11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 8.00    
SCR  PRANA May25 Apr28 Jan13 Dec07 Nov10 (hiles a)MCKEE J 117 4.50    
QUIERO MAS May11 Apr23 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
WASSER May25 Apr05 Mar22 Feb15 Feb01 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00    
MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE May10 Apr05 May19 Mar16   (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
SPRING MAGIC Sep19 Aug24 Jul08 May30 May15 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 4.00 10% 9.30    
 
BTP-5   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIZA'S HONOR May13 Mar17 Feb14 Jan06   (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 117 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  HESTON May26 May04 Mar30 Mar04 Jan20 (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL May26 May01       (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 3.50    
NAVY CROSS May20 May06 Apr14 Mar25 Feb24 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 1.80    
WEAPON Apr29 Feb23 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLMEMARTHAJANE Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Dec30 Nov26 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  ADMAA May15 Mar15 Jan24 Oct31 Oct04 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 4.00    
COMMANDANDCONTROL May31 May06 Apr23 Jan14 Dec28 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 10% 8.80    
BELLE OF ST. JOHN May26 May17 Apr28 Mar11 Feb18 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
QUICKY DESIRE May17 May04 Mar09 Aug23 Jul13 (lobo h)MCKEE J 121 3.00    
 
BTP-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS May31 May13 Apr28 Apr03 Mar21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCAPITURE May20 May04 Feb23 Jan13 Jul01 (wells duane)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00    
TABOO HOO May25 Apr28 Mar29 Mar10 Jan24 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 117 6.00    
SWEET BABY RAY May31 Mar30 Feb23 Jan27 Nov18 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
LONG BLACK VEIL May31 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Jan02 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 117 5.00    
TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS May12 Oct29 Feb11 Jan08   (sims matt)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.00 7% 13.40    
 
BTP-8   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGWOODS BECCA May26 May18 Apr27 Mar23 Jan13 (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
VIVI BRASS May27 May08 Apr25 Mar30 Oct26 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
WITCHING HOUR (FR) Jun04 May19 Apr23 Apr06 Jan14 (danner do)CORREA L 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
AWESOME VALOR May27 May16 Oct18     (adams l)REYES R 125 6.00    
HER TIME IS NOW May27 May18 Apr29 Jan25 Jan11 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
SHADY DAISY May22 May03 Apr12     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00    
BIRD SET FREE Jun01 Apr18 Mar09     (pitts c)COLON H 125 15.00    
OPTIMIZME Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 Oct24 Sep30 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 3.50 8% 11.70    
MARLAND May26 May18 Mar23 Feb03   (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 12.00    
10  SHEZADADDYSGIRL Apr28 Feb18       (anderson sus)TAPARA BRANDON 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.