Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(9/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(9/2/8/5)-(7/8/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (9/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/5)-(7/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/5)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/4/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/2)-(7/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/2)-(7/4/1/6)-(5/8/10/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/6)-(5/8/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/6)-(5/8/10/3/7)-(10/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/8/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/3/7)-(5/8/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/3/7)-(5/8/10/3/7)-(5/8/10/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/10/3/7)-(10/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/10/3/7)-(10/9/1/2)-(6/3/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/2)-(10/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/2)-(10/9/1/2)-(10/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/1/2)-(6/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/9/1/2)-(6/3/5/7)-(7/10/3/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/7)-(7/10/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/10/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/2/8)-(7/10/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/2/8)-(7/10/3/2/8)-(7/10/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAD THE NOTION May12 Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 (harting chris)SIMPSON JASON 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  SO RED THE ROSE Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FONDA ROMANA Mar02 Jan13 Oct22 Sep10 Sep01 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
4  UPSY DAISY DO May20 Apr13 Mar02 Jan13 Dec03 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
5  A BLONDE THING May18 Apr07 Mar18 Feb16 Jan18 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
6  MOJO MATTERS Apr13 Mar30 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  STYLISH PAINT May25 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60    
 
CT-2   06/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP HAT TREASON Jun02 May12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar17 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
2  CLOSE THE CASE Apr22 Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 12% 7.50    
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS Aug18 Jul28 May26 Mar24 Mar04 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
4  FIND YOUR BOAZ Dec01 Oct27 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 (geris samuel )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
5  FORT FORTITUDE Jun02 May13 Apr22 Mar17 Feb18 (sterling michae)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ELEVATED FOREVER Jun02 Jan28 Jan13 Dec21 Dec02 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00    
7  SPUNTACULAR Apr14 Mar11 Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 10.00    
8  HAPPY CHAMP Jun02 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 8% 11.50    
9  MIAMI MUMBLES Mar17 Feb02 Jun24 Jun15 May19 (johnston rob)ADAMS L 115 2.50 59% 0.70    
 
CT-3   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SPIN May04 Mar30 Feb09 Jul06 Jun09 (locklear james)CECIL Y 122 20.00 17% 4.90    
2  LADY LICIOUS May25 Apr08 Mar16 Mar01 Jan11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  AT THE HALF May04 Apr13 Mar16 Jan21 Nov30 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00    
4  ULTIMATE BREEZE May06 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
5  GOT YOUR NUMBER May25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
6  WATERLOO ROSE Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Nov12 Oct22 (tobin l)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
7  KOBE'S GIRL May11 Apr08 Mar31 Mar04 Feb16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
8  ALL WORKED UP Apr20 Mar30 Mar04 Feb04 Jan25 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 18% 4.50    
 
CT-4   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBERLY May27 May12 Apr28 Mar25 Jan14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SISTER JOANN May27 May12 Apr29 Mar30 Feb18 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00    
3  JACKS SISTER JILL May13 Mar31 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00    
4  WHALE OF A TIME Feb01 Jan14 Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 7% 14.40    
5  ASUE Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Aug26 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
6  MYSTIC MALIBU May18 May04       (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FANCY HER UP May27 Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 Aug25 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 1.20 63% 0.60    
 
CT-5   06/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT May25 May04 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
2  DEVIL'S CANYON Apr20 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 (malgarin)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
3  ADARA May25 May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEMPTING MOMENT May05 Sep05 Aug24 Aug17 Aug02 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 30.00    
5  GRAND JURY Feb02 Jan12 Nov18 Oct16 Sep22 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 61% 0.70    
6  BUBBA G May25 May04 Apr20 Mar16 Mar01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
7  BET ON BITZ May25 May04 Apr13 Mar25 Mar02 (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOSES WATER May25 Apr21 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 6% 14.60    
9  CHERRYS CROSS May25 May04 Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 (huet k)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
10  MIMS HAT TRICK May26 Apr21 Mar01 Nov25   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  GANDHI'S ORION May26 May05 Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00    
SCR  MISS YOU AJAX May26 May04 Apr04 Mar19 Feb19 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 5.00    
 
CT-6   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALERA LOVE May11 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 7% 13.60    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
2  SENTELLA         (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of STORMY LOVE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  ZIDORMI         (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FRAU BLUCHER by LONHRO (AUS))
4  AMERICAN DREAMER May18 Dec08 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
SCR  DEAREST M. A. May18 Apr06       (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of HAYLEY AGNES by REDEEMED)
6  THE MONEY MACHINE May07 Mar10 Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SCORCHED EARTH by ALGORITHMS)
7  LATE NIGHT SPIRIT         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  ESTILO AMOROSO May12 Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 Feb08 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SUGAR MAY by STRATEGIC MISSION)
9  ICY STARE May18 Apr29 Apr19 Feb15 Jan21 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TURN TO LASS by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
10  POEM         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ALJALELA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CT-7   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE May19 May05 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
3  EPIC TIME Dec16 Nov11 Oct05 Aug27 Jul16 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  ENTRY TIME Jun02 Apr14 Mar31 Feb15 Jan11 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
5  FIZBO May05 Jun16 May15 Mar26 Mar02 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONEYQUIST May13 Apr22 Mar31 Dec03 Nov12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.20 60% 0.70    
7  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Feb18 Jan12 Nov25 Oct15 Sep15 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  REMYS SHOWTIME May27 May19 Apr27 Mar31 Mar18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REY O REYES May18 Apr27 Apr13 Apr01 Feb25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
2  WE B SHACKIN May13 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELVIRUS May20 Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 Feb24 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 8% 12.10    
4  PARISHIONER Aug31 Aug03 Jul26 May13 Apr14 (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
5  JOHNNY SWISH May06 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 (knoblauc)BUTTERFLY L 124 15.00    
6  BIG DADDY D R May13 May05 Apr21 Mar30 Dec16 (utterba)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
7  HIERRO May08 Mar01 Dec30 Dec07 Nov11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
8  MI GUSTO ES May20 May06 Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY MIRACLE MAN May18 Apr14 Mar11 Feb09 Jan20 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
10  BERNIE'S ON FIRE May06 Apr27 Mar25 Mar05 Nov11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MYSTIC POINT May18 Apr26 Mar24 Feb23 Jan20 (stites w)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
SCR  PROTA Apr14 Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 Dec14 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
SCR  INDIANA RED May20 Feb01 Jan12 Nov10 Oct21 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.