Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/4/7)-(1/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(1/5/4)-(8/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(8/1/4)-(4/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/9/5)-(8/1/4/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(4/7/5)-(10/9/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-5   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(10/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(10/9/5)-(8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-6   WIN (10/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/3/1)-(10/9/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/9/5)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/9/5)-(8/7)-(4/12/14/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/2/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/2/4/6)-(8/7/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7)-(4/12/14/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/12/14/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/12/14/10)-(4/12/14/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/12/14/10)-(4/12/14/10)-(4/12/14/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IWANNABEPERFECT Apr27 Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 Sep08 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
C F V TU BRUTUS Oct27 Oct10 Sep27 Sep19 Aug29 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
NO DRAMA MOMMA Apr27 Feb20 Feb05 Jan01 Nov20 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
NEVER TO MANY HUGS Apr27 Nov21 Nov10 Oct25 Oct10 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
WEST COAST JUSTICE Nov08 Oct12 Aug30 Jul26 Jul13 (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 15.00    
BERTIE THE BEAUTY May26 May12       (medina tomas)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
SCR  PUMPITUPJUSTICE Apr25 Nov17 Oct31 Oct05 Sep12 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 117 3.50    
NOT A ROLE MODEL Dec22 Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 Sep09 (salas felipe)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
 
IND-2   05/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANSION PARTY         (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MOMBAYLA         (mccutchen j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 4.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALIFORNIA BREEZE by INTO MISCHIEF)
UNTROUBLED         (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of RAMBLING RHONDA by TAPIZAR)
GROVE ST.         (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of VENUE by MINESHAFT)
LAUGH NOW Apr27         (ennis joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LITTLE PAO by TIZNOW)
SCR  KLAY B EVEN MONEY         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
  (by BALLADO'S DEVIL out of EVEN ALY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
NO MANCHES         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00 8% 10.90    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CASH ME OUSSIDE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
 
IND-3   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIGO Apr19 Oct05 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
W W CANDY Apr30 Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 (quinonez )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50    
STORM DADDY Apr16 Mar09 Feb11 Dec09   (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 20.00    
KEEPIN IT CLASSY Apr19 Oct17 Sep22 Aug06 Jul13 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
TIGHTROPE Apr08 Feb25 Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
HOLIDAY HOUSE Apr18 Mar18 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
 
IND-4   05/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY JACK Oct05 Jul11 Jun05 Apr28   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.50 24% 3.30    
BOCO Apr21 Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 Dec28 (hamilton tr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00    
CONNECT ME Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 Mar11 Feb24 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
HEZMORETHANREADY Aug26 Jul30 Jun27 May19   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 16% 5.40    
BLOWN OUT         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 6.00    
AMERICAN DOLLARS Mar11 Feb23 Jan28 Dec04 Oct05 (stewart dallas)PARKER L 120 8.00    
CHANNEL Z Mar15 Sep23       (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 124 30.00    
FAVORABLE RETURN Apr27         (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 3.50 38% 1.70    
LAWMAKER Apr29 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Aug24 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 12.00    
10  T LAW Apr29         (beckman wh)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
11  MADDON Apr14         (maker michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
SCR  DOM GERVASIO Apr16 Mar24 Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 (wong jo)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
 
IND-5   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON MILLER May02         (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
  (by SWEET RETURN (GB) out of CALL HER GONE by CALLER I. D.)
SHA KON O HEY Feb08 Jan26 Dec29 Nov17 Nov08 (mcbride bar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 6.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of CAMARA ANN by ZAVATA)
RUNAWAY IMAGE May03 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Oct18 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 15.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
COWBOY IMAGE Apr25         (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of LUCE MIA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
BUMPY May02 Nov16 Nov08 Oct31 Oct04 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by NOTIONAL out of TEE TOTALLY QUICK by TETON FOREST)
MAMA'S BOY May08         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of FAVORITE SHOW by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
EPIC THE LEGEND Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Sep29 Sep09 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by Z LUCKY out of CIERRA GRACE by PLEASANT TAP)
DOUBLEDOGJUSTICE May02 Apr18 Nov17     (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of DOWNTOWN JUSTICE by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
IND-6   05/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN ELENITA Apr25 Nov17 Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 (garcia israe)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of LUCY by AMERICAN LION)
DISHIN' IT OUT Apr25 Nov17 Nov10 Oct31 Oct19 (patrick g)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of COLD DISH by ICE BOX)
LANTANA JUSTICE Mar23 Jan20 Dec30 Nov23 Nov01 (matthews rand)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of U S GOLD by U S RANGER)
TEN LIL VICTORIES Nov14 Oct26       (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of TEN LIL COWGIRLS by COWBOY CAL)
ITZFOREVER Nov17 Oct19 Sep28     (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of ITZACOLDCASE by GOLD CASE)
IMA N H LADY CAT Apr25 Nov03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug06 (hayes michael )HISBY RONALD 124 20.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of QUEENLASEFA by SEFAPIANO)
SCR  NUTHER BEE May08 Feb08 Jan20 Dec30 Dec01 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by JIMMY WINDOWS out of WHOISVENDELADENTE by DIABLO)
BEYOND JUSTICE May03 Nov14 Oct26 Sep27 Sep14 (nance jonath)MORALES JOSHUA 124 2.50    
  (by ELUSIVE BLUFF out of GRACE OF GOLD by CACTUS RIDGE)
TIZZY JUSTICE Apr25 Nov10 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of KID JUSTICE by STORM AND A HALF)
10  HERE KITTY KITTY May03         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 4.50 49% 1.10    
  (by CSABA out of SHIELD by RAHY)
11  QUEEN D May03         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of QUEEN OF THE WIND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  NOW HERES THE PLAN Apr25 Feb16 Jan18     (eggleston tim)PARKER L 120 4.00    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of FASHIONABLY COOL by TIZNOW)
 
IND-7   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNNING BABY May05 Jan25 Dec10 Aug30 Aug17 (fernandez ed)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00    
TUFFER THAN TUFF Apr19 Feb09 Feb03 Jan14 Nov21 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.50    
SPECIAL PRYCE Jan20 Dec29 Dec17 Oct29 Oct14 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
HARD NIGHT Sep01 Aug16 Jul14 Jun08 May03 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
HIGHEST PRAISE Apr19 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Sep01 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 10.00    
TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Apr27 Nov21 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 15.00    
FENESTRA Apr19 Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
MILTONTOWN Mar24 Mar03 Jan20 Sep15 Aug03 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
LAKE TAHOE Feb09 Jan12 Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
10  KITTENS ADAIR Feb02 Jan19 Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 (egbert jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 20.00    
 
IND-8   05/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLESSED WITH LUCK Apr26 Dec16 Oct27 Sep26 Sep13 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
SCR  CACAHUETE Apr25 Dec14 Nov08 Sep30 Sep07 (egglest)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
SCR  VITALE Apr15 Mar02 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 (reavis l)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
GRACEFUL KITTEN Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
LORD REVELSTOKE Mar24 Feb18 Feb04 Dec28 Dec14 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 122 20.00    
COPPER KING Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun07 May16 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
SCR  JAIS'S SOLITUDE Mar26 Mar09 Jan25 Dec11 Oct23 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 0.80    
SCR  TEXAS GANO Mar09 Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Oct04 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
TAKE CHARGE GENT Mar26 Mar03 Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
10  INHERENT POWERS Apr26 Mar01 Jan30 Jan05 Dec22 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  STEWARDS RULES Mar15 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00    
12  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) May03 Apr01 Mar11 Feb09 Jan11 (elliott michelle)PARKER L 122 12.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  HONKY TONK HERO Feb04 Jan11 Dec22 Nov28 Oct27 (finucane richard)FELIX E 122 30.00    
14  CURRENT May03 Feb04 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 30.00 11% 8.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.