Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(8/3/5/9/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(8/3/5/9/7)-(2/9/10/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-2   WIN (8/3/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/9/7)-(8/3/5/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/9/7)-(8/3/5/9/7)-(8/3/5/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/5/9/7)-(2/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/9/7)-(2/9/10/4)-(1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/4)-(2/9/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/4)-(2/9/10/4/8)-(2/9/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/10/4)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/4)-(1/4/5)-(6/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/5/9)-(4/3/7/10/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-5   WIN (6/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/9)-(6/5/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/9)-(6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/9)-(4/3/7/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9)-(4/3/7/10/1)-(7/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-6   WIN (4/3/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/10/1)-(7/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/10/1)-(7/1/2)-(4/9/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-7   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-8   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/6)-(4/9/8/6) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH AL SPARKY Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  SHARP CHARLIE Apr20 Mar11 Feb16 Dec27 Nov30 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00    
SCR  INTHEALY Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 Dec17 Nov25 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
4  SILKY'S DANCE Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Sep03 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
5  J B GRAY Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Dec23 Dec01 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  BANKROLL Apr22 Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 122 2.50    
7  ROCK STAR ALEX Mar16 Feb11 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
LAD-2   05/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET CHARLENE Mar05 Nov26 Nov05 Sep19 Jul11 (beene linda)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
2  BISTINEAU BELLE Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 Aug25 Jul23 (romero gerald )GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00    
3  BAILEY'S CHARM Feb23 Dec02 Nov18 Oct27   (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
4  BON CHANCE BET Apr19 Mar10       (richard russell )STOKES A 124 8.00    
5  CECE WAVE Apr16 Mar31 Feb15 Jan27 Dec20 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 12% 7.70    
6  FIELD OF LIGHTS Nov18 Oct28 Aug27 Aug17 Jul23 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 122 5.00    
7  CAT B CAUSE Apr12 Feb28 Feb17 Jan27   (modica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SWEET LITTLE ROSE Mar23 Mar10 Feb26     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  SMILING ANGEL Mar18 Feb23 Feb11 Sep12 Aug27 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 8% 11.80    
 
LAD-3   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYPRIANO Apr14 Feb15 Jan14 Oct27 Sep26 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
2  GOLD MERRITT Mar18 Mar01 Dec01 Nov05 Jul22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  DONNA'S COURT Feb16 Feb03 Jan01 Dec18 Dec03 (singh s)SINGH R 122 20.00    
4  MR. PRIORITY Apr21 Mar15 Mar04 Feb21 Jan12 (thompson)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 6% 14.90    
5  SUCH Feb17 Jan19 Dec02 Nov12 Aug24 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 122 10.00    
6  REECE'S PRIORITY Jan12 Dec19 Dec10 Nov10 Aug24 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
7  YES BAB Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
8  GRIEF Apr14 Feb15 Dec15 Nov19 Oct06 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
9  LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Apr14 Feb18 Feb09 Jan04 Dec21 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
10  PERFECT PERIGEE Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Sep26 Aug29 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
LAD-4   05/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELAIRE Mar01 Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Mar22 Feb04 Jan05 Dec11 Nov24 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 Jul24 (gibson jonas)MELANCON G 122 3.00    
4  COHERE Mar19 Feb16 Jan08 Dec23 Sep18 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 17% 5.10    
5  INTO WISHING Feb25 Jan18 Jan08 Nov16 Oct13 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
6  FAR BEYOND Apr29 Feb17 Jan26 Dec10 Nov11 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 4.50    
 
LAD-5   05/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALUTE NOW Mar26 Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 Nov12 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
2  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Apr19 Mar24 Mar02 Jan21 Jan08 (richard russell )STOKES A 122 15.00    
3  YOU YOUR DADDY SON Feb18 Jan11 Dec14 Dec01 Oct28 (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00    
4  WESTERN STAR Apr29 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Dec16 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
5  KINGPRIN Sep27 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul09 (smith crai)STOKES J 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
6  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Apr22 Feb18 Dec15 Oct29 Oct20 (johnson b)MELANCON G 117 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  OLDER AND WISER Apr14 Feb10 Jan08 Nov26 Sep05 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  FLOWER CAT Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 Nov25   (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
9  DUDE DROP KID Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 Jan08 Dec17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
10  AMAVI Mar26 Mar10 Sep17 Aug20 Aug07 (adcock charles)BURNINGHAM J 122 20.00    
SCR  DEMON HUNTER Mar04 Jan22 Jan01 Dec08 Nov26 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
LAD-6   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL PEPPER Apr13 Feb12 Jan27 Dec19 Nov25 (winslow janine)SINGH R 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
2  SEE YA BYE Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Dec16   (butler w)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
3  DON'T BLINK TWICE Feb22 Jan20 Dec08 Nov09 Sep27 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 12% 7.20    
4  VALENTINE ANGEL Jan29 Dec30 Jan07     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
5  BROADWAY PEARL Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30 Jul04 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 116 10.00    
6  CORONA DEL MAR Apr07 Mar18 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
7  MILU ROCKET Jan21 Dec21 Jun07 May22 May06 (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 12% 7.30    
8  SENSING GOLD Apr19 Feb10 Jan11 Sep19 Apr15 (vincent jar)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 12.00    
9  COURT COSTS Apr21 Mar25       (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
10  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 Nov09 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
LAD-7   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBECCA G Apr21 Jan28 Jan14 Dec20 Nov19 (nelson r)VARGAS P 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  THEBOYZGALAXY Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  IRONIT Mar18 Feb26 Jan16 Dec04 Nov02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
SCR  FORTY NINE MODEL Mar23 Apr20       (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
5  L G GIRL Feb17 Dec16 Nov22 Oct21 Aug26 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
SCR  WENDY WILECAT Apr20 Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
7  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
 
LAD-8   05/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHARME'S PHAITH Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 Feb20 Jan27 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 ★    
2  HELIOCHROME Feb23 Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
3  DECLARE WAR Apr02 Feb20 Oct26 Oct08 Sep05 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
4  WHITAKER Apr14 Mar22 Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
5  PAYNTED LOVER Feb11 Jan18 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
6  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 ★    
7  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Mar15 Feb10 Dec29 Nov17 Oct26 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50    
8  CREME DE BALI Mar03 Feb10 Dec01 Sep26 Aug25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Jan08 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 Sep21 (cravens ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.