Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(7/6/2)-(9/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(9/6)-(4/6/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/6)-(9/6/1)-(9/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (9/6)-(4/6/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6)-(4/6/3/8)-(8/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/8)-(8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/8)-(8/7/5)-(6/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/2/9)-(8/7/5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(6/2/7)-(7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(7)-(9/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-7   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7)-(9/5/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(9/5/7)-(9/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/6)-(9/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/5/7)-(9/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10/8)-(9/2/3/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SULTRY SALLY H Feb25 Feb05 Dec16 Nov26   (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
2  LADY IN WAITING Mar01         (collins)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
3  CAMI RACHELLE Mar17 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 (salzman timo)LEWIS M 115 4.00 9% 9.60    
4  ESTILO AMOROSO Mar17 Feb17 Feb08     (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 ★    
5  KELSEY'S ANGEL Mar17 Feb17       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Mar17         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
7  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Mar24 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec10 (juarez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
8  LOOKING FOR FLARE Aug27 Aug05       (bailes robe)THORPE DARIUS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
CT-2   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY STRIPES Feb21 Feb02 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 (zook jeff)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
2  LATE IN THE GAME Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 Dec14 Nov11 (sigler g)LARROSA G 126 8.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  ICING Mar18 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 (cash norman )LEWIS M 119 5.00    
4  FREEDOM RIDER Mar11 Feb09 Jan19 Jan07 Dec14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 10.00 ★    
5  STEAL THE CASH Mar01 Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 Aug26 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
6  CANDY INVASION Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 4.50 26% 2.80    
7  COASTAL MISSION Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 May14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 0.60 27% 2.70    
 
CT-3   04/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG REDWHITEBLUE Mar08 Feb27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov18 (jones e)BAEZ M 119 10.00 ★    
2  ENANO Mar22 Mar03 Jun07 May17 Apr13 (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00    
3  TIZNOW TIME Mar23 Mar17 Jan11 Dec09 Oct27 (covello)NUNEZ ANAHI 118 30.00    
4  ONLY GET'N BETTER Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 Dec08 Nov17 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 8.00    
5  LIGHT WORK Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Jan17 Jan09 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
6  ADARA Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 126 1.80 20% 4.00    
7  SHADE TREE CORNER Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Jan06   (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 30.00    
SCR  CRISTIANO BOY Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 ★    
9  CHROME HEIR Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SECRET SANCTUARY Mar19 Mar09 Feb04 Jan28 Jan14 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
CT-4   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LICIOUS Mar16 Mar01 Jan11 Nov26 Nov03 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00    
2  SALAMINA Mar18 Mar09 Feb25 Jan15 Dec29 (juarez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
3  KOBE'S GIRL Mar31 Mar04 Feb16 Dec31 Dec17 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 7% 13.00    
4  MIZZEN Mar25 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Dec10 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
5  CAPTIVATING GAL Mar30 Mar12 Feb25 Feb04 Jan28 (rodriguez jes)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
6  TOUT ENSEMBLE Mar25 Feb23 Jan19 Dec14 Dec02 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  HIDDEN SPRINGS Mar15 Feb10 Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
8  HIGHWAY QUEEN Mar31 Mar22 Feb10 Feb02 Jan11 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00 6% 15.00    
 
CT-5   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEREND JACK Sep24         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
2  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Mar18 Mar11 Feb17 Jan05 Nov30 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 126 10.00 ★    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  TOTHETRAINSTATION Mar30 Mar18       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 30.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
4  COLONIAL ROAD Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec17 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 119 20.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CHEROKEE RAIN by CHEROKEE COLONY)
5  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Mar18 Jan28       (runco c)LEWIS M 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
6  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Dec08 (boykins kevi)MARRERO CARLOS 116 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
7  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Mar09 Feb15       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
8  ZIGGY STARDUST Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
9  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Mar18 Jan28 Jan04 Nov05 Oct19 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 3.50 ★    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
 
CT-6   04/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TWO KID Apr01 Feb25 Jan18 Jan14 Dec09 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
2  JAYJAYDEE Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan27 Dec16 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 36% 1.70    
3  UNEQUIVOCAL Mar17 Feb25 Feb18 Jan29 Jul14 (aguirre an)RIVERA R 115 4.50 ★    
4  CANTAKEITANYMORE Mar01 Feb01 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
5  OUR HOISTED MAST Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Mar01 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  WELLING Jan08 Dec04 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  DR. FERBER Mar31 Mar09 Feb01 Nov19 Oct22 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   04/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXICAN KRYPTONITE         (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 119 20.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of TACTICAL TESS by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  ALWAYS GET REVENGE Mar23 Feb02 Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 126 20.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  TAKE AIM Mar11 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WILD EYED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  BODYSLAM Mar23 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 116 6.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CAYUGA'S WATERS by LANGFUHR)
5  MONEY MAC         (cruz jaim)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SPRING FLING by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  COLONEL CAPPY Jan11 Dec03       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of OUR TREASURE by REPENT)
7  RUNAWAY ROAD Feb16         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BANG AWAY by SKY MESA)
8  GOLDEN ADAGE         (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
SCR  GUN FACTOR Mar17         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZINDI by VINDICATION)
10  THE CLOWN Jul22 Jun05       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 8.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of SUSAY SIXINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LEGENDAIRE         (perkins be)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
 
CT-8   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Mar04 Feb16 Jan06 Dec02   (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00    
2  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Mar18 Mar11 Jan19 Nov18 Nov11 (hamlin kathlee)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
3  LUCKY BLONDE Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
4  NO DENYING DENIS Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
5  KEEP ON SPURRIN Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Mar16 Dec15 Nov04 Oct08 Sep23 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 10.00 ★    
7  DENALI D'ORO Mar11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct07 Sep16 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  IHEARTRAINACOMN Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Nov18 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
9  FRENCHIES GOLD Mar18 Feb08 Dec02     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 33% 2.00    
10  NEAREST N DEAREST Mar18 Jan21 Dec18 Oct22 Aug25 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
SCR  JUBA BABY Mar18 Nov24 Oct13 Sep22   (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  IT'S A REAL HONOR Apr01 Mar11 Mar01 Jul30 Jun30 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
SCR  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Mar18 Feb11 Jan06     (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
 
CT-9   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Mar23 Feb22 Jan18 Jan12 Nov24 (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 122 20.00    
2  TURN TO ME SUCREE Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Nov14 (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  STYLISH PAINT Feb25 Feb04 Dec10 Oct15 Sep24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  MAE SAI PRINCESS Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
5  SO RED THE ROSE Mar18 Feb24 Jan18 Jun30 May18 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
6  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Jan25 Dec02 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 12.00    
SCR  CHIT CHAT GIRL Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 Jan14 Dec17 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
8  ONEPRETTYTHING Mar23 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 ★    
9  CHINA CAT Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Sep22 Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 (brooks e)VEGA L 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  RIDGELYSREDHOT Dec07 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 Aug11 (johnson m)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.