Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/5/1)-(6/2/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
OP-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/8/5/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/8/5/3/7)-(2/8/5/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(1/6/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(1/6/4)-(7) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
OP-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2/3)-(1/6/4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7)-(9/1/8) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
OP-4   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(9/1/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(9/1/8)-(1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
OP-5   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/8/10/3)-(9/1/8/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/8)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8)-(1/4)-(5/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/1/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/1/2/8)-(8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-7   WIN (5/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8)-(8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/8)-(8/5/6)-(10/12/13/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-8   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1/7)-(8/5/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(10/12/13/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-9   WIN (10/12/13/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/12/13/7/3)-(10/12/13/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/12/13/7/3)-(10/12/13/7/3)-(10/12/13/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Feb17 Jan15 Dec18 Nov04 Oct22 (smith p)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 ★    
2  BLOW TORCH Mar10 Feb19 Jan13 Aug27 Jul16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  SUITABLE Jan29 Nov26 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
4  COMMANDER CARL Mar05 Feb04 Dec11 Nov05 Sep04 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00    
5  EE YAH Mar05 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Sep18 (jacobson)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Feb17 Jan14 Dec04 Nov05 Oct28 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
7  VOBISCUM Feb17 Jan22 Apr23     (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
8  LUCKY DUDE Mar05 Feb04 Jan14 Oct26 Oct14 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 123 20.00    
 
OP-2   03/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIANTE SKY Mar09 Feb24 Feb12 May07 Apr01 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
2  PIZZA CHARLIE Mar04 Jan13 Jul11 Jun02 May17 (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 126 1.40 68% 0.50    
3  STRICKLAND Mar03 Feb19 Jan22 Dec11 Nov10 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 126 3.50 ★    
4  OUT OF ALCATRAZ Mar03 Feb19 Nov25 Oct22 Aug18 (shorter aaro)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00    
5  MR WORKS Mar03 Feb24 Feb12 Jan15   (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 114 5.00 ★    
6  POINT BLANK Mar03 Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 May08 (fires h)HARR KELSI 121 30.00    
7  SUNSIGN Feb26 Feb04       (lauer mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 126 8.00 ★    
8  MR. WULLY BULLY Feb24 Feb03 Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 (pish danny)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOWL YEAH Mar12 May08 Apr10 Mar13   (wilson m)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
 
OP-3   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLAM DUNK SERMON Mar10 Jan14 Dec30 Sep25 Jul31 (vance th)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  COLONEL BOWMAN Feb20 Nov06 Oct10 Aug21 Jun05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.50 ★    
3  PIONEERING PAPA Mar10 Dec11 Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 1.80 ★    
4  LT. JUNIOR GRADE Jan01 Nov12 Oct15 Sep22 Sep01 (van thomas)BAZE C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FREUDIAN FATE Mar09 Feb20 Jan01 Dec18 Nov07 (dixon tim)TRIANA JR 118 20.00    
6  ALEX'S STRIKE Feb24 Feb03 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 (puhich mike)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  DRIFTER Feb26 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Oct27 (mcknight norman)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
 
OP-4   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN SOCIAL Feb20 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
SCR  KING DOODLE Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Nov13 Oct12 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  ORDER OF MERIT Feb26 Feb04 Jan07 Dec16 Oct19 (soto fermin)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 6.00 ★    
4  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Mar09 Jan20 Dec07 Nov05   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 ★    
5  WORK ALL DAY Mar12 Feb04 Jan21 Jan01   (hewitt michael)COURT K 120 30.00    
6  THINKINGNDRINKING Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06   (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
7  KENTUCKY BOURBON Mar04 Feb03 Jan14 Sep30 Sep07 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 1.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SANTINO'S FANTASY Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 (shorter aaron)FUENTES ERICK 111 20.00    
SCR  IKE WAZOWSKI Mar05 Feb17       (green ike)JORDAN R 116 12.00 12% 7.10    
 
OP-5   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLDING PATTERN Mar02 Feb11 Jan08 Dec10 Oct03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
1A  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN Mar02 Feb05 Dec30 Jun11 May07 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
SCR  TROPHY DADDY Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Sep24 (antwine michael)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
3  OBVIOUSLY TOO Mar02 Jan08 Sep24 Aug27 Aug08 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 124 6.00 ★    
4  ORBITAL STARR Mar02 Jan08 Aug02 Jun19 Jun04 (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00    
5  REEF'S DESTINY Feb05 Sep17 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 20.00    
6  HAMAZING WISDOM Feb26 Jan20 Nov18 Nov02 Oct01 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 12.00    
SCR  ROCK CITY ROCKET Mar02 Jan08 Sep18 Jul31 Jul03 (martin timot)JORDAN R 124 30.00    
8  OJITOS Mar16 Mar02 Jan08 Nov11 Oct27 (hewitt micha)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00 9% 10.50    
9  MAHOMEY Feb26 Jan22 Dec10 Oct02 Jun04 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 1.40 49% 1.00    
10  HERITAGE PARK Feb05 Jul29 Jun19 May13 Apr23 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
 
OP-6   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACTION Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 Sep17 (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  MIRACLE WARRIOR Feb02 Jan07       (richard chris)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  AMERICAN OUTLAW Jan29 Dec17 Nov21 Oct15   (fincher to)ERAMIA E 118 15.00 ★    
4  BACKSIDE BUZZ Feb24 Feb03 Jan15 Jan08 Dec16 (vance tho)TORRES A 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 Oct13 Sep21 (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 20.00    
SCR  BLING BLING BLING Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 ★    
7  COFFEE CALIENTE Feb04 Jan20 Nov26 Oct22 Sep17 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
8  ARMAN Feb19 Oct02 Aug14 Jun23   (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
OP-7   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMOR ME NOW         (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of EMPRESSIVE LADY by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  STAND PROUD Mar12 Jan27 Dec16 Sep25 Aug05 (witt erni)TORRES A 125 3.50 15% 5.80    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
3  ATLANTIC DANCER Mar02 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 Oct29 (zito nicholas)CABRERA DAVID 125 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  GOIN TO THE SHOW Mar02 Feb04 Jan29     (puhich mike)BAZE C 125 20.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HEATH by PULPIT)
5  MOUNT CRAIG Mar02 Feb04 Nov27 Nov03 Jun26 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
6  BOLZY Mar02 Feb10       (von hemel )ERAMIA E 125 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
SCR  FURTHER EVIDENCE Jan28 Oct23 Sep24     (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 30.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FLY GIRL by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
8  LIFE ON THE NILE Mar02 Feb20 Jan13 Apr16 Mar19 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
9  BLACK POWDER         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
10  ONTHESTAGE Feb25 Jan07       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
 
OP-8   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD MULE Feb19 Jan20 Dec09 Nov05 Aug27 (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★    
2  WARREN L Sep19 Aug22 Jul23     (anderson dou)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
3  JEREMY'S JET Oct29 Oct08 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 (mcente)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 20.00    
4  SCATAMARAN Dec14 Nov05 Sep10 Sep01 Aug18 (richard chris)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
5  TIVY Mar04 Feb03 Jun09 May20   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  MAJOR BLUE Mar11 Feb18 Sep29     (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
7  LIL SWEET THANG Feb18 Jan28 Dec17 Nov21 Oct28 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 118 6.00 ★    
8  TOO MUCH INFO Dec09 Aug26       (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
OP-9   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATA STORM Jan22 Oct20 Sep11 Jul29 Jun17 (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.00    
2  ASPEN CLUB Feb11 Jan21       (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00    
3  CLASSY SOCKS Mar05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 (vance d)BEJARANO R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PEACE DOG Jan21 May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 (broberg karl)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00    
5  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Mar12 Jan15 Dec31     (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
6  WESTHEIMER STREET Feb26 Jan20 Dec11     (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
7  TOPF ROAD RULES Feb26 Jan20 May07 Apr22 Apr03 (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00 6% 15.60    
8  STOMPING HOTROD Feb23 Jan18 Feb26 Jan28 Jan15 (richard chri)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
9  AFLEET SKY Feb26 Jan20 Dec10 Mar18 Feb26 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
10  LOCHMOOR Feb26 Jan22 Jun22 May29 Apr23 (riecken b)TORRES A 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 May07 Apr23 (hornsby tammy)BAZE C 121 30.00    
12  BETTYS CASH Mar11 Feb05 Dec10 Apr30 Apr09 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00 23% 3.40    
13  MACHO ROCCO Feb25 Jan12 Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 (richard chri)JORDAN R 121 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.