Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/3/6)-(5/8/1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/1)-(3/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(3/9/5/8)-(3/1/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/8)-(3/1/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/8)-(3/1/8/7/4)-(4/8/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/1/8/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/7/4)-(3/1/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/7/4)-(3/1/8/7/4)-(3/1/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/7/4)-(4/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/7/4)-(4/8/9/3)-(3/7/5/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/3)-(4/8/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/3)-(4/8/9/3/2)-(4/8/9/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/9/3)-(3/7/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/3)-(3/7/5/8/1)-(2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/7/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/8/1)-(3/7/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/8/1)-(3/7/5/8/1)-(3/7/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/5/8/1)-(2/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/8/1)-(2/6/5)-(1/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/4/1)-(2/6/5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/4/5)-(8/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(8/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/2)-(8/1/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/2)-(8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S TROUBLE Feb16         (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00 6% 16.70    
2  APRIORITY AVENGER         (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 6.00    
3  HAPPY SEASON Feb16 Jan08       (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 4.50 ★    
4  GRAY DANE Jan28 Jan08 Dec15 Nov17 Oct28 (bernard john)VARGAS P 125 6.00    
5  GOT ME A CHRYSLER Feb16         (david b)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  SAUCY ARGUMENT Feb09         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 8.00 ★    
7  VETERANS DAY Dec10         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00    
8  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jan29 Jan08 Dec16     (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 125 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
FG-2   03/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERTHOUGHT Feb10 Jan05 Dec19 Dec11 Nov03 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 116 6.00    
2  OCTOBER SURPRISE Dec14 Nov04 Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 15.00    
3  ARCTIC ROSE Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 Nov24 Oct19 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  MUSCADINE Jan26 Jan07 Jul20 Jun29 May27 (wiggins lon)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
5  EAST LEX Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Jun28 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  PLEMMONSTON Feb16 Jan01 Dec11 Nov17 Oct02 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 4.50 10% 9.40    
7  XIETELEHUAS Jun11 May14 Apr22 Jan28   (broussard )ALBERT S 116 15.00    
8  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Jan20 Oct07 Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  KEYS INCLUDED Feb12 Jan27 Jan06 Nov25 Jun11 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
FG-3   03/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC BEAST Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Nov09 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  QUEEN'S MISSION Jan22 Jan06 Nov20 Nov12 Oct07 (lopez elias)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
3  QUINN MURPHY Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Aug07 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  ANGEL OF VERDUN Feb09 Jan15 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 (ladner joh)ALBERT S 116 12.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  CANDY'S PARADE Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 Jul21 Jun09 (delany sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
6  ROYA Feb09 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
7  IZEONPOINT Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 11% 8.10    
8  TOTAL MALICE Feb09 Dec11 Nov18 Oct13 Sep19 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
FG-4   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIGAR VAN Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 Oct19 (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 117 8.00    
2  GOTTA DEAL Feb15 Dec15 Sep13     (wilson shane)CULP BRIANNE 122 10.00 ★    
3  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Feb17 Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 Aug11 (mouton pat)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 10.00 7% 13.60    
4  MIZSPELT Feb15 Jan11 Dec27 Nov02 Oct15 (alberto a)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 46% 1.20    
5  PERFECT STRIKE Feb10 Jan11 Dec08 Oct22 Aug26 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
6  GILDERSLEEVE Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 May23 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 12.00    
7  NORTHERNREFLECTION Feb24 Jan26 Aug03 May11 Mar19 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
8  WAR TROLLEY Feb17 Jan22 Jan06 Nov27 Nov17 (west g)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
9  KINGS WAGER Feb03 Jan07 Jun17     (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
FG-5   03/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS KENNEDY Feb20 Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 (duke steven)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  VIOLA STAR Feb20 Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 May14 (husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
3  START WELL Feb15 Jan19 Jan06 Dec20 Dec08 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  CZAR'S BALLERINA Feb11 Jan29 Dec22 Nov03 Sep25 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
5  SKY HIGH SUSAN Feb04 Jan22 Dec31 Nov25 Aug24 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
6  LOVERS NEVER SAY Feb11 Jan21 Nov26 Oct28   (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
7  MEAN AMERICAN Feb03 Jan14 Dec22 Dec15 Dec01 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  FUHR MEO Feb15 Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 Nov18 (melancon donald)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 7% 12.80    
9  TRINITY HOPE Feb11 Dec22 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 (duhon o)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
 
FG-6   03/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE Feb09 Nov09       (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 ★    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
2  BLAME THE TOLL Feb09 Jan22 Dec22     (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.50 41% 1.50    
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SOULTITLESREADY Feb05 Dec09 Oct12     (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOUL TITLE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  TRANSPARENCY Feb09         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 125 4.50 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
5  KIKI KRAZY Feb09         (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 117 4.00 6% 14.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AUNT ELS by CONSOLIDATOR)
6  QUALITY Jul02 Apr10 Feb26 Jan15   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TREASURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  I AM UP Jan19 Mar10 Feb19 Jan23   (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
 
FG-7   03/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA'S ARABESQUE         (bauer phil)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  THISONEISFORYOU         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
3  GOLD PLUS         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROSES PLUS by VALUE PLUS)
4  ISLANDINTHESTREAM         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COLORFUL CHARADES by DISCREET CAT)
5  SISTER SEEK Sep18 Aug29       (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 115 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SEEKING MS SHELLEY by CACTUS RIDGE)
6  ZOOM ERIN Aug13         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  AUDACIOUSNESS Jan16 Oct16 Sep14 Aug06 Jul04 (stall m)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STRIKING IMPACT by SMART STRIKE)
8  BADGELAND Dec31 Nov24       (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
SCR  LADY DYNAMO         (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  DESTINE TO RACE Feb18 Jan21 Oct02 Sep14 Aug19 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of BRUISED ORANGE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LURE'EM IN Jan21 Sep06       (block chris)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  JADE D'AMORE         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STRATEGIC MISSILE by STRATEGIC MISSION)
SCR  BLACK ACE Feb22         (courville r)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 12.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of PINK LENINADE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  GOLDEN VIEW Jan21         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DELIZIA by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  MARMO MOON Oct29 Oct13 Sep14 Aug14   (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  SAN MATEO KAT         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN AWAY'S SIS by CITY ZIP)
 
FG-8   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY LADY Feb10 Jan13 Dec23 Nov16 Oct08 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 114 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  MACEE Feb12 Dec22 Jun15 May12 Apr14 (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  FUNKYLITTLESHACK Dec26 Jun24 May20 Mar04 Feb05 (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Nov03 Aug27 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
5  NON BINDING Feb01 Jan06 Jun25 May26 Apr30 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
6  SHESABEAUTYDANCER Feb12 Dec26 Nov26 Oct06 Mar25 (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 ★    
7  DEAL ME A PENNY Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 Dec08 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 6.00    
8  CCED FOR STEPH Feb10 Dec22 Nov18 Aug20   (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 114 8.00 45% 1.20    
9  CRYPTO BRAVE Feb23 Jan11 Dec26 Dec01 Nov10 (zenon shelto)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN NINJA Feb04 Oct14 Aug20     (silva miguel)PARKER L 114 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.