Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (2/3/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-3   Win (6/1/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-4   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-5   Win (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-6   Win (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-7   Win (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-8   Win (8/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HIGHLY WICKED Jan13 Dec02 Nov18     (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  RE RE'S RAINBOW Jan27 Dec29       (david b)CULP BRIANNE 112 3.50    
ZIPPING MOLLY Jan27 Jan13       (ducoing stur)ALBERT S 112 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MADISON'S SCREEN Feb04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02   (ducoing j)RIQUELME J 117 4.00    
PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Feb05 Jan01       (scherer eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
REINA ACES Feb03 Jan13 Dec16     (richards co)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00 8% 12.10    
SANGIOVESE Feb05 Jan01       (sauvan eric)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00    
TAZZHER Jan27 Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Sep17 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
BLESS D'SOUTH Feb04 Jan14 Dec15     (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 125 12.00    
MIDNIGHT FLAME Jan27 Dec29       (sharp joe)MURRAY M 117 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
FG-2   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE STRATEGY Dec11 Nov03 Oct09     (shirer a)PARKER L 122 2.50    
NOTION Dec26 Nov24 Oct09 Sep07   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
BUTLER CABIN         (stall m)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
ROCKALL         (forster gra)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
BRILLIANT COLORS Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 Nov17 Oct02 (asmussen stev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
TIZZY TANTRUM Dec23 Nov24       (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
 
FG-3   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Feb02 Jan14       (gibson jonas)PARKER L 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
REVERENT Jan22 Jan08 Dec16 Apr30 Apr08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
LIFEASWEKNOWIT Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 Aug11 Jul20 (mouton patri)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 6.00    
WAR TROLLEY Jan22 Jan06 Nov27 Nov17 Oct22 (west g)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 6% 17.10    
GTUONE BUCK Jul24 Jun13 May22     (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
BANKROLL Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Nov02 Sep15 (scherer t)MELANCON G 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
MAGIC LIGHTNING Jan08 Dec01 Aug09 Jun07 May29 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  BLUE RIDGE RED Jan22 Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 Jun30 (jackson darre)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Jan15 Dec23 Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
TOP NOTE Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Nov17 (claire ale)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 4.50    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 Jun15 May26 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
EXCLAIM Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep25 (savoie sher)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
LEROY JENKINS Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 Aug25 (alonzo howard)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
COSTELLO'S KITTEN Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 Jan13 (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
MOSH PIT Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Aug14 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 122 4.50    
RONITHELIMODRIVER Jan27 Jan06 Jul07 Jun02 May14 (leonard iii)PARKER L 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
FG-5   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT BUCK Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Oct08 Aug27 (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
BELLO CREEDO Feb03 Jan06 Dec03 Sep27 Sep13 (landry ray)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
BACK BEAT Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 (asmussen stev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 9% 9.50    
MIDNIGHT DREAMING Dec03 Nov11 Sep22 Jul30 Jun26 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SPECIAL OPERATOR Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 Jul10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  BLACKTECA Feb04 Dec23 Nov19 Nov05 Sep30 (scherer gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 6.00    
MONGOLIAN BEE Feb03         (silva migue)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
FG-6   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISIONOFWILDTIMES Jan22 Dec01 Aug20 Aug06 Jun20 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 6.00    
GATOR PROUD Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 (boxie joseph)ALBERT S 116 12.00    
VALE MALE Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 Sep13 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
AVERI EVER AFTER Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 Aug21 Jul25 (duke steven)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
MISHPACHAH Jan28 Dec29 Dec03 Oct26 Mar26 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  BLESSED ANNA Jan28 Nov25 Jul10 Jun20 May21 (faucheux ron)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00    
BOX OF PICTURES Jan28 Jan16 Dec04 Jun14 May22 (camejo jose )URDANETA J 121 4.00 9% 10.70    
MEDLEY Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Feb05 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
FG-7   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 Sep22   (sharp joe)PARKER L 122 5.00    
1A  BRU NA BOINNE Jan28 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30   (calhoun william)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
GHOSTLY GIRL Feb04 Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct16 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
2B  SAVAGE DARLING Jan28         (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
CHARRIERE Jan14 Dec19       (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
SOUTHLAWN Nov20 Oct28 Sep17 Jul31 Jun03 (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
FOREST CHIMES Jan21 Dec31       (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
HAYUNEVANO Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov19   (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 7% 14.20    
HUNTLEIGH Jan21 Oct20 Sep16     (casse w)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SWEET ALYSSA Jan21         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
 
FG-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI SOLUTION         (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 20% 4.10    
GOLDEN CONFUSION Oct20         (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00    
SCOOTERIA         (camejo jose )URDANETA J 125 5.00 8% 11.10    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Jan26 Jan05 Dec27 Nov25 Nov12 (dison phillip)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
SEA OF LIGHT Jan22         (alonzo howard)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
PARTY LITTLE BOY Jan26 Jan16       (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00    
ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 Nov04 Oct19 (zenon char)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 20.00    
CHECK ME OUT Jan26 Jan01 Dec11 Jun27 Jun04 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.