Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/3/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4/1)-(2/3/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4/1)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (2/3/8/4/1)-(3/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/4/1)-(3/2/4)-(6/1/5/4/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1/5)-(3/2/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1/5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/1/5/4/7)-(8/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/1/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/4/7)-(6/1/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/4/7)-(6/1/5/4/7)-(6/1/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/5/4/7)-(8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/4/7)-(8/5)-(7/1/3/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/5)-(7/1/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(8/5/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(8/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(8/5/7/3)-(3/5/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3/2)-(8/5/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/7/3)-(3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3)-(3/5/1/6)-(8/1/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(8/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3/7)-(8/1/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HIGHLY WICKED Jan13 Dec02 Nov18     (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  RE RE'S RAINBOW Jan27 Dec29       (david b)CULP BRIANNE 112 3.50 ★    
2  ZIPPING MOLLY Jan27 Jan13       (ducoing st)ALBERT S 112 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MADISON'S SCREEN Feb04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02   (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 4.00    
3  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Feb05 Jan01       (scherer er)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  REINA ACES Feb03 Jan13 Dec16     (richards )HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00 8% 12.10    
5  SANGIOVESE Feb05 Jan01       (sauvan eric)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00    
6  TAZZHER Jan27 Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Sep17 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
7  BLESS D'SOUTH Feb04 Jan14 Dec15     (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 125 12.00    
8  MIDNIGHT FLAME Jan27 Dec29       (sharp joe)MURRAY M 117 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
FG-2   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE STRATEGY Dec11 Nov03 Oct09     (shirer a)PARKER L 122 2.50 ★    
2  NOTION Dec26 Nov24 Oct09 Sep07   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  BUTLER CABIN         (stall m)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  ROCKALL         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  BRILLIANT COLORS Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 Nov17 Oct02 (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 ★    
6  TIZZY TANTRUM Dec23 Nov24       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
 
FG-3   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Feb02 Jan14       (gibson jonas)PARKER L 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  REVERENT Jan22 Jan08 Dec16 Apr30 Apr08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
3  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 Aug11 Jul20 (mouton pat)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 6.00    
4  WAR TROLLEY Jan22 Jan06 Nov27 Nov17 Oct22 (west g)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 6% 17.10    
5  GTUONE BUCK Jul24 Jun13 May22     (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
6  BANKROLL Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Nov02 Sep15 (scherer t)MELANCON G 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  MAGIC LIGHTNING Jan08 Dec01 Aug09 Jun07 May29 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  BLUE RIDGE RED Jan22 Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 Jun30 (jackson dar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Jan15 Dec23 Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
2  TOP NOTE Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Nov17 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 4.50 ★    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 Jun15 May26 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
4  EXCLAIM Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep25 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
5  LEROY JENKINS Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 Aug25 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  COSTELLO'S KITTEN Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 Jan13 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
7  MOSH PIT Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Aug14 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 122 4.50 ★    
8  RONITHELIMODRIVER Jan27 Jan06 Jul07 Jun02 May14 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
FG-5   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLANT BUCK Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Oct08 Aug27 (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  BELLO CREEDO Feb03 Jan06 Dec03 Sep27 Sep13 (landry ra)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
3  BACK BEAT Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 9% 9.50    
4  MIDNIGHT DREAMING Dec03 Nov11 Sep22 Jul30 Jun26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
5  SPECIAL OPERATOR Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 Jul10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  BLACKTECA Feb04 Dec23 Nov19 Nov05 Sep30 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 6.00 ★    
7  MONGOLIAN BEE Feb03         (silva mig)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
FG-6   02/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISIONOFWILDTIMES Jan22 Dec01 Aug20 Aug06 Jun20 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 6.00    
2  GATOR PROUD Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 (boxie jose)ALBERT S 116 12.00 ★    
3  VALE MALE Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 Sep13 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
4  AVERI EVER AFTER Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 Aug21 Jul25 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
5  MISHPACHAH Jan28 Dec29 Dec03 Oct26 Mar26 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  BLESSED ANNA Jan28 Nov25 Jul10 Jun20 May21 (faucheux ron)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00    
7  BOX OF PICTURES Jan28 Jan16 Dec04 Jun14 May22 (camejo jos)URDANETA J 121 4.00 9% 10.70    
8  MEDLEY Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Feb05 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
FG-7   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 Sep22   (sharp joe)PARKER L 122 5.00    
1A  BRU NA BOINNE Jan28 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30   (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  GHOSTLY GIRL Feb04 Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct16 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 ★    
2B  SAVAGE DARLING Jan28         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
3  CHARRIERE Jan14 Dec19       (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  SOUTHLAWN Nov20 Oct28 Sep17 Jul31 Jun03 (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
5  FOREST CHIMES Jan21 Dec31       (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  HAYUNEVANO Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov19   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 7% 14.20    
7  HUNTLEIGH Jan21 Oct20 Sep16     (casse w)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
8  SWEET ALYSSA Jan21         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
 
FG-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI SOLUTION         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of MI ISABELLA by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
2  GOLDEN CONFUSION Oct20         (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SCOOTERIA         (camejo jos)URDANETA J 125 5.00 8% 11.10    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PENELOPE PLUM by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  HEZA SEXY ZONG Jan26 Jan05 Dec27 Nov25 Nov12 (dison phill)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
5  SEA OF LIGHT Jan22         (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
6  PARTY LITTLE BOY Jan26 Jan16       (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
7  ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 Nov04 Oct19 (zenon ch)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 20.00 ★    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of ONDA FAST TRACK by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
8  CHECK ME OUT Jan26 Jan01 Dec11 Jun27 Jun04 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by UNIFIED out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.