Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4/6/1)-(5/3/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/2)-(4/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/1/3)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5/2)-(4/1/3/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/5/2)-(2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6/7)-(1/5/2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(2/7)-(3/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/5/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/5/6/1)-(2/7/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/9/6)-(6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/5/4)-(3/9/6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/6)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6)-(6/5)-(1/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/6/2)-(1/9/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WAIT Jan14 Oct26 Sep19     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
2  PARAMOUR Dec31 Nov27 Sep17     (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 6.00    
3  THE GREY BEAUTY Dec22 Nov27 May12 Mar18 Feb25 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  CHEYANN GLITTERS Dec18 Jun07 Mar20 Feb13 Jan27 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 4.00 ★    
5  PINEAPPLE ALLEY Dec01 May04 Apr16 Mar25 Feb19 (david b)CULP BRIANNE 117 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  REALITOS Jan14 Dec22 Dec02 Aug06 Jul08 (savoie she)ALBERT S 109 10.00 ★    
7  B B GUN BULLSEYE Jan14 Dec15 Sep25 Sep06 Aug28 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00    
 
FG-2   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONRAD THE RED         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 125 3.00 68% 0.50    
1A  FOWLER CASTLE Oct02         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.00    
2B  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jan22         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 1.80 7% 12.40    
SCR  CELLULOID HERO Jan08 Nov19 Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.80 ★    
3  KISLOVODSK Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov25 Oct08 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 2.50 ★    
4  JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT Jan08 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12 Jan22 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 10.00 ★    
5  WESTERN COMMAND Nov17 Sep29       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 117 3.00 ★    
 
FG-3   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Jan12 Dec26 Nov25     (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  OWEN THE ICE MAN Jan07 Dec22 Dec01 Sep17 Aug13 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 ★    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
3  ANDERS SMILE Jan12 Dec04 Nov19 Oct07   (david b)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of UNFRIENDLY KOO by FRIENDLY LOVER)
4  SUIT OF WANDS Jan05         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  IRON MOON Jan20 Dec26       (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
6  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jan13 Dec01 Nov11     (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 120 12.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  MAIN DUDE Jan12 Dec22 Dec08     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of FORMAL DESIRE by FORMAL DINNER)
 
FG-4   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY THREE Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov17 Oct08 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  GEORGE ALLEN Jan07 Dec15 Nov24 Oct26 Jun04 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  BATTLE OF WILL Jan12 Dec19 Nov19 Sep05 Aug03 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
4  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep12 Aug16 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 6.00    
5  MARTINIZED Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 May20 May06 (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  WICKED ROSE Jan12 Dec29 Nov25 Oct26 Mar16 (johnson he)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 ★    
7  WOODS N WATER Jan12 Dec16 Dec01 Nov19 Nov02 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 6.00 ★    
 
FG-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERY PLAYBOY Dec01 Oct19 Aug09 Jul16 Jun04 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 ★    
2  SWOT ANALYSIS Jan07 Dec11 Oct09 Sep04 Jul22 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.20 65% 0.50    
3  AVAILABLE STAR Jan13 Dec16 Nov21 Oct01 Sep10 (jacks kare)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
4  FATHER GOOSE Jan18 Jul22 Jun15 May28 May07 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
5  CREOLE CHARLIE Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Aug06 Jul09 (alonzo how)ALBERT S 116 8.00 ★    
6  JAX MAN Dec10 Aug04 Jun04 Apr22 Mar27 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 ★    
7  YANKEE SEVEN Jan21 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Aug06 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 10% 8.80    
 
FG-6   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY BREEZE Jan05 Nov24 Sep17 Aug11 Jun25 (devaux cherie)PARKER L 121 2.50    
2  COUYONS CAUSE Jan05 Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 (austin a)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
3  OAK HILL LG Jan07 Dec15 Nov12 Oct08 Jul27 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
4  DUVEE Jan05 Dec11 Nov24 Mar16 Feb12 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 ★    
5  ITS WILD AGAIN Nov24 Oct28 Sep17 Aug15 Mar26 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 ★    
6  GOOD OLD CHARLIE Dec19 Sep12 Aug30 Jul31 Jul05 (pish danny)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
7  LILRASCALMAN Dec17 Nov26 Sep24 Sep11 Jul23 (meaux h)SINGH R 121 12.00    
8  CHARLI MICHAEL Jan01 Dec03 Nov04 Oct07 Jul29 (faucheux r)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
9  EASY RUNNER Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 Aug24 Jul20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
 
FG-7   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (mcpeek ken)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TAYLOR A. LITTLE J by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  CITY OF GOD         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MARASCHINO RED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNAPPEASED by GALILEO)
4  ICE TIME Jan05 Dec03       (sharp joe)ASHTON GAVIN 120 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
5  MO SATURDAYS Oct30 Oct09 Sep01     (stall m)LANERIE J 120 5.00 10% 9.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
6  DUAL MONARCHY Jan05 Dec03       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SURFER'S PARADISE by CONGRATS)
7  MORE THAN FIVE Dec26 Dec03 Oct23     (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIVE STAR MOMMA by FIVE STAR DAY)
8  GUIGUI Sep07         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PRINCESA CARINA by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
SCR  JOINT VENTURE Dec26 Oct15 Sep24     (flint bern)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of I'M WONDERFUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SAM STORMY Oct30 Sep08       (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIDNIGHT MANGATA by MAXIOS (GB))
SCR  FORTUNE Dec08 Oct01 Sep01 Aug12   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAGICAL MOOD by FORESTRY)
SCR  FOE Jan06         (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MUNNIAN by MUNNINGS)
SCR  SIR LIAM         (gelner scott)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ZOOEY by ZAFARRANCHO (ARG))
SCR  RIGHT KARMA         (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of MUST BE FATE by EUROSILVER)
SCR  COWBOY VALUES Dec10         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BODELLA by BODEMEISTER)
 
FG-8   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS RANSOM Jan15 Dec10 Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
1A  WICKED ALEX Jan08 Dec03 Sep05 Aug20 Jun21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.00 ★    
2  WHY JOEY WHY Dec17 Aug24 Jul20     (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 ★    
3  MR. NASTY TIME Aug20 Jul23 Apr29 Mar03 Feb10 (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  BITSY'S CUSTOM C Jan01 Dec08 Jul29 Jun08 May21 (magnon jas)ALBERT S 116 12.00 6% 15.60    
5  LT. BONURA Jan12 Dec19 Jul24 Jun11 May21 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
6  GRACIDA Jan12 Dec28 Dec03 Oct28 Aug17 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 ★    
7  NOSY BANKER Jan01 Dec02 Nov19 Jul20 Jun18 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
8  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Oct12 Aug18 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
9  BIG BELLA BROWN Dec23 Dec02 Nov09 Oct04 Apr19 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.