Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5/3)-(4/1/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/4/2/3)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/1)-(6/4/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(3/6/1)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/5/7)-(3/6/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/4)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/6/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/6/2/5)-(4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/1)-(3/6/2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(4)-(6/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/11) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/5)-(6/5/4/9/7) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/5/4/9/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/5/4/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/9/7)-(6/5/4/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/9/7)-(6/5/4/9/7)-(6/5/4/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVINFUNYET Dec11 Jul20 Jun18 May27 May07 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 25% 3.00    
2  WHATS UP SWEETS Jan15 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Jul26 (shirer a)PARKER L 121 2.50    
3  IZEONPOINT Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Aug19 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 ★    
4  QUINN MURPHY Jan06 Dec09 Aug07 Jul10 May28 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  ROMANTIC BEAST Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Nov09 Oct26 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 ★    
6  ABBEY LANE Dec08 Sep19 Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 (wilson shane)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  SUFFRAGETTE Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov09 Oct27 (govea cesar)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00    
 
FG-2   01/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP ON Dec18 Oct10 Sep20 Aug19 Jul31 (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 ★    
1A  SUMMER LOVER Dec04 Nov19       (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
2  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jan08 Dec16       (carter ang)ALBERT S 117 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  NORWOOD Dec18 Dec04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan15 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 125 12.00 7% 13.60    
4  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD Jan13         (scherer t)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ICE AXE Jan13 Jan01 Dec19 Dec09   (dorochenko genna)PARKER L 125 5.00    
6  MADISON LUVS DUKE Nov23 Nov02 May30 May03 Mar26 (stall m)RIQUELME J 125 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
FG-3   01/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDING MAN Dec17 Nov19 Aug19 Jul14 Jun01 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  STEAL IT BACK Jan06 Dec08 Mar11 Feb02 Jan12 (west g)PARKER L 121 10.00    
3  LIKE MIKE Dec17 Oct27 Jul31 Jun14 May18 (tracy tann)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  IZZY'S BABY BOY Nov24 Mar05 Feb05 Jan01   (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
5  GREELEY WENT WEST Dec17 Nov18 Oct12 Aug30 Aug08 (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 ★    
6  WAR COUNT Dec17 Aug20 Jul10 Jun05 Mar04 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  UNANIMOUSLY Dec17 Oct27 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 ★    
 
FG-4   01/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIZZLECITY Dec03 Sep10 Aug08 Jun26 May31 (wilson shane)MELANCON G 122 6.00 ★    
2  KEEN LADY Dec15 Oct20 Sep19 Jul04 Jun09 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  MORE ROMANCE Dec03 Oct22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug03 (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  ZING Jan16 Nov03 Sep16 Aug06 Jul01 (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
5  SECRET MELODY Nov19 Sep25 Jul23 Jun18 May20 (williams ke)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 ★    
6  PLANTS AND BIRDS Jan06 Mar17 Jan28     (cuccia l )HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
 
FG-5   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INAWIC Nov23 Feb02 Jan13     (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 121 8.00 ★    
2  FIRST I'VE SEEN Jan01 Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 Jun04 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  RUE LALA Jan12 Dec01 Mar04 Feb06 Jan14 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.80 31% 2.30    
4  OURS AND THEIRS Jan01 Dec18 Dec03 Aug25 Jul17 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
5  SIENNA BREEZE Jan12 Jan01 Nov23 Oct12 Sep06 (rosier charles)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00 8% 11.50    
6  SPEEDY DUDETTE Jan01 May29 Mar04 Jan14   (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  SCAMPERING GRAYCE Sep24 Aug20 Jul12 Jun18   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Dec17 Oct26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 (breaux samuel)PARKER L 121 4.00    
SCR  TRACK QUEEN Dec29 Sep06 Aug25 Jun17 May25 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Sep25 Sep10 Jul25 Jul11 May11 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 6.00    
4  SERIOUSLY SAM Jan15 Dec17 Jan28 Jan08   (david b)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
5  TARGET VISION Sep10 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
6  CZAR'S BALLERINA Dec22 Nov03 Sep25 Aug24 Aug01 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
7  ALLSTAR MAGIC Jan05 Dec23 Dec04 Nov25 Aug12 (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
SCR  STAR MOMENT Dec31 Dec02       (faucheux )HERNANDEZ J 114 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  DEROUTANTE Sep25 Jul24       (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep10 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
11  LEAD ME Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 Sep10 Jun02 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 ★    
 
FG-7   01/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRUMP Jan06 Dec15 Feb28 Feb03   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION Dec31 Nov27 Sep07 Aug07 Jul14 (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00    
2  RICKY BOBBY Dec31 Nov26 Nov10 Jul16 Jun23 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Jan08 Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Aug26 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 8.00 ★    
4  DOCTOR NASH Dec11 Nov06 Sep30 Jun19 Jan19 (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
5  FAIR DINKUM Dec16 Nov02 Sep18     (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
6  BARTULIA Jan01 Dec09 Nov02     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  TRIVISTA Jan15 Dec17 Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 (landry ja)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCE OF GLORY Jan08 Dec09 Sep15 Aug28 Aug16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
9  GUNTOWN Dec31 Nov27 Apr29 Mar25 Feb19 (asmussen steven )PARKER L 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIEU LE CHAT Jan01 Dec02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (alonzo howard)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
SCR  MY GUITAR Jan08 Dec18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul06 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
2  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Jan20 Dec29 Nov25 Oct07 Jul29 (besancon danny)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
3  CRUSADER EXPRESS Jan12 Dec23 Dec03 Nov16 Apr16 (landry jacoby)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
4  PAYDAY TOO Jan15 Dec27 Nov26 Oct13 Aug20 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 9% 9.50    
5  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 May20 Apr09 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  RUN ROCKET Dec17 Sep20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun14 (charles ke)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
7  C'MON VE Jan12 Jan01 Dec19 Dec02 Apr27 (landry jaco)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNWANTED INTRUDER Dec18 Nov27 Aug25 Jun18 May22 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00    
9  GUITAR TRIBUTE Jan01 Nov27 Sep26     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  I'M D'CAT Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Oct05 Sep20 (brinkman b)ALBERT S 116 12.00    
11  LOUISIANA MOON Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Aug20 Jul08 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
12  GALLANT STAR Jan01 Dec19 Nov13 Nov02 Oct24 (husak j)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.