Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(6/5/2)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(7/1)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/1/3/4)-(4/3/2/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4)-(4/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4)-(4/3/2/5)-(3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(3/1/6)-(6/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/10/9)-(8/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/9)-(6/10/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/10/9)-(6/10/7/9)-(6/10/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/10/9)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/9/3)-(8/4/1/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET T Jan11         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 123 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SWEET TANGENA by LION HEARTED)
2  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 123 4.50    
  (by JUBA out of SCOTTISH PUNCH by MY BOY ADAM)
3  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jan04 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep07 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
4  IRISH FLIGHT Jan04 Aug19 Jun02     (espinosa vi)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of HOW IS MY GIRL by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.80 62% 0.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LYNN'S A TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
6  IT'S ONLY MONEY Jan04 Dec17 Dec06 Oct15 Sep03 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of JUST FOR MONEY by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  COLONIAL ROAD Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 Nov18   (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 116 8.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CHEROKEE RAIN by CHEROKEE COLONY)
 
CT-2   01/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESPERANNNA Jan06 Dec31 Dec02 Oct28 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
2  BET THE QUEEN Jan11 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
3  K K CAN Jan11 Nov30 Sep28 Sep02 Jan13 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 5.00    
4  RIDE ON BEAUTY Nov26 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul22 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
5  UNLOCK Jan05 Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 Sep12 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
6  MI YAYIS Jan05 Dec09 Nov19 Oct16 Oct02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  BLACK PANDA Jan11 Nov30 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
8  CAN I GET AN AMEN Dec09 Oct20 Jul28     (hayes kirsten)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   01/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANNONRUN Jan07 Oct22 Oct05 Sep13 Apr28 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MAGICIAN out of BLASE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
2  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Oct01 Aug31 (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 123 12.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of OVERTIMEANGIE BABY by SPECTACULAR BID)
SCR  PAPA CHARLES Jan19 Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Oct26 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AMERICAN MEGAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  ZINFATUATION Dec21 Dec06 Sep14 Aug29 Jul11 (norris steph)BATISTA A 123 12.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
5  TARAASHOQ Jan07 Oct27 Oct14 Aug30 Aug23 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 123 0.60    
  (by CURLIN out of LEAR'S PRINCESS by LEAR FAN)
SCR  VALENTIN C Aug30         (parra h)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FAWAAREK by SMART STRIKE)
7  ADARA Jan07         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 123 4.50 39% 1.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MATTIE CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
 
CT-4   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICIOUS VELMA Nov15 Jun21 Jun05 May09 Mar17 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 113 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  JACK'S LILLY Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  PRACTICALLY THERE Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  GOSSIPING Jan06 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct19 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IMAGINE VICTORY Dec31 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct27 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 2.50    
6  CAPTIVATING GAL Jan15 Nov30 Jan01     (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
7  SARAH BELLUM Jan06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 Aug18 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
9  DIAL EMMA REILLY Dec03 Nov14 Oct27 Oct07 Sep03 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
SCR  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Nov24 Nov05 Nov03 Oct01 Sep03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY null      
 
CT-5   01/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B. J. MOOSE Nov09 Oct20 Jul23 Jun16 May25 (kopecki e)BAEZ M 116 15.00    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  IN THE LIMELIGHT Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Jul29 Jun17 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 3.50 6% 15.20    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE)         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
4  HARLEY SIOUX Dec17 Nov26       (straughn william )CECIL Y 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  TRAP HOLLER         (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of MISS CITY SLICKER by GRAND REWARD)
6  MY PHOENIX Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Mar16 Feb12 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 123 4.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
7  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Sep03 Aug13 (bowman d)ADAMS L 116 10.00    
  (by THAT'S RICH out of BEAR'SLITTLEBEAUTY by COPELAN TOO)
8  OFFICER STONE         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 5.00    
  (by VINYARDS DREAM out of STONESONG by STONESIDER)
 
CT-6   01/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Nov16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
2  EXCALIBUR Jan06 Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 Nov05 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50    
3  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Nov23 Oct27 Aug08 Jul18 Jun05 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 1.60 64% 0.60    
4  TAPPIN FOR GLORY Jan06 Dec14 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 ★    
5  ELEVATED FOREVER Jan13 Dec21 Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00    
6  GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Oct26 Aug27 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OFFICER APPEAL Dec09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
8  TRIPLE JEOPARDY Jan06 Dec06 Oct15 Sep03 Aug20 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 113 10.00    
9  CHARITABLE SPENNY Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 Jul14 Jun04 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   01/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS SOMETHING Dec08 Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 (tester)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  SIZZLING HOT Jan13 Jan01 Nov14 Sep16   (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
3  SUPER WILDCAT Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov24 Nov04 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
4  AYKIZ Jan12 Nov19 Oct17 Sep20 Jul03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
5  GOT YOUR NUMBER Jan07 Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Sep28 (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
6  DETERMINED LOVE Oct10 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 (mileni nick)SIMPSON JASON 120 3.50 70% 0.40    
7  DEEMED ESSENTIAL Nov23 Sep28 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 ★    
8  MANAROLA Dec09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jul28 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
9  INCLUDE THE BEAST Dec08 Nov19 Oct07 Sep08 Jul28 (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WILLOW MOON Dec08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep09 Aug04 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS N DENIM Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 Aug17 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
 
CT-8   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S MAN Jan12 Dec01 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 (johnston rob)THORPE DARIUS 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
2  JIMMY THE KID Jan13 Dec18 Dec04 Sep16 Sep02 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
3  FRANKEE MERCH Jan07 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep07 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BETTER BOOGIE Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  THE GREAT DANSKY Dec07 Sep25 Aug05 Jul22 May30 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
6  JAMMIN STILL Jan14 Jan06 Dec07 Dec01 Nov19 (caison l)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
7  CAYENNE CREEK Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Aug20 Aug06 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
8  SUGAR DADDY Jan07 Oct27 Oct19 Sep24 Aug04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  HAPPY CHAMP Jun16 May28 May06     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 ★    
10  INTERNET OF THINGS Jan07 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Jul22 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL THUNDER Jan16 Dec04 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.