Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/5)-(5/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(5/4)-(5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2/6/7)-(5/4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(6/1/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(6/1/7)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(4/1/6/8)-(3/4/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8/2)-(4/1/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8)-(3/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8)-(3/4/9/10)-(3/6/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/4/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/10)-(3/4/9/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/10)-(3/4/9/10/2)-(3/4/9/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/10)-(3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8/7)-(3/6/5/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBROKEN STAR Dec19 Dec10 Nov07 Jul28 Jul10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  CHASING FAME Dec13 Jul30 Jul09 Apr05 Mar09 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
3  XTREME MAYHEM Nov29 Nov14 Sep14 Aug28 Jul14 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  CATS TOUCH Dec15 Nov16 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
5  BOTERO Dec14 Sep19       (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  LONELY PRIVATE Nov21 Nov07 Sep17 Aug17 Jul02 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-2   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Dec19 Nov28 Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  YANKEE GO HOME Nov28 Sep05 Aug12 Jul03 Apr13 (pierce l)CARRENO J 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  PRINCE GRAYGRAY         (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
4  INGENIERO         (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 6.00    
5  AMADMADWORLD Nov28 Nov09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
6  IMPASSIONED CLAIM         (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 4.50 ★    
7  CENTAURUS Aug28         (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-3   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVIERA CHAMP Dec10 Nov28 Nov09 Sep15 Sep04 (birdwell te)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
2  STRAUS'S PLACE Dec10 Oct29 Oct10 Oct01 Aug26 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 122 8.00 ★    
3  BREXTON Dec19 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
4  HELLO HANDSOME Dec19 Nov23 Aug27 Jul18 Apr26 (br)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
5  FULL DRAW Dec10 Nov29 Nov21 Oct15 Sep16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
6  CHROME KING Dec21 Dec10 Dec01 Nov04 Sep23 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 ★    
7  AUTISM SAVANT Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 Aug29 Aug01 (torres-cas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZESTFUL Nov22 Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 May29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  AX MAN Dec19 Sep07 Jun11 Apr27 Feb11 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  CONVENTION (IRE) Nov26 Oct04 Sep05 Aug15 Apr30 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 May21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
5  TARTINI Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Sep24 Sep09 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TORIADOR Jun18 May14       (palma milton)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00    
SCR  RACE HOME Dec21 Sep05 Jul23 Jul04 Apr27 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
TUP-5   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PICK IT UP Dec19 Nov29 Nov04     (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
2  LAZARUS COME FORTH Dec19 Nov30 Feb26 Feb10 Jan19 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
3  LOVER BOY TOM Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Oct01 Sep09 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
4  ALPHABETICAL Dec02 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Oct07 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00    
SCR  SYZSLAK Dec19 Nov30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Sep12 Aug29 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  MORE ACTION Dec19 Dec08       (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SILENT DECLARATION Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 Sep02 Aug06 (pierce l)CARRENO J 124 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OF FIRE Dec26 Nov14 Nov05 Sep03 Aug08 (silva l)LEON A 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  SHEZ A GRINDER Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 Oct09 Sep18 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 20.00 ★    
3  BONITA RAPIDS Dec26 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug11 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
4  SHOE GAME Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 Nov05 Sep12 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  FUN PADDY Nov19 Oct07 Sep09 Aug04 Jul19 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
6  AND I KNOW Dec19 Nov21 Jul17 Jun24   (mendoza eloy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  TIZ TENACIOUS Nov28 Nov04 Sep19 Aug13 Aug01 (leon prisci)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
8  APRILINTHEPINES Dec26 Nov14 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   01/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY ROSIE Nov20         (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
2  MISS CONTINENTAL Dec05 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 Aug07 (dennison h)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00 ★    
3  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 Oct24   (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  BEAUTIFUL MESS Dec08         (vanwinkle david)LEON A 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
5  WE WANT ANOTHER Dec15 Nov25 Jul18 Jul10   (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00    
6  MAMBO GIRL Nov25 Oct02 Aug28 Jul29   (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
7  ISLAND BEAUTY Dec15 Nov25 Nov08 Sep02 Jul17 (simpson s)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00    
8  MYREEBEN HARBOR Dec14 Sep17 Aug28     (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
9  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Sep17   (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
10  TOP HAT TIGRESS Dec26 Dec09 Nov18 Sep03 Aug20 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00 10% 8.80    
 
TUP-8   01/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APART OF MY CHARM Dec15 Nov30 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
SCR  RENEGADE PRINCESS Nov16 May01 Mar25 Feb18 Jan09 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
3  MISS AGGIE BLING Dec14 Nov26 Sep08 Aug21 Jul03 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Nov30 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 10.00    
5  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
6  CRIMINAL RECORD Dec17 Nov19 Aug18 Jul17 Jul04 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  LADY NOGUEZ Nov14 Oct16       (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
8  DYNAMIC MIMI Dec15 Nov21 Jun18 May13 Mar04 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 10.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  DADDY'S GIRL May02 Mar31 Mar08     (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
10  MS SALLY Nov30 Sep12 Aug15 May03 Feb22 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00    
SCR  SATURDAY SERVICE Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug26 (dennison h)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.