Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - September 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READ ON Aug27 Aug13       (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 7% 13.20    
2  FLY RIGHT         (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
3  ARI GOLD         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
4  PLEASE BABY Jul23 May27       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Aug20         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE DAN Aug18         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  RUNNING LATE         (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
8  GENERAL JIM Aug13         (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  IMPECCABILITY         (mcpeek g)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
10  SCRAMBLE         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  SUSTENANCE Sep01 Aug03       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
12  CLASSIC CREATION Aug07         (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Aug07 Jul03       (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  TORIGO Aug13         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
SCR  PHILHARMONIC Aug20         (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  BIG WICKS         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON MADNESS Jul23         (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 12% 7.70    
2  TAPIT'S CONQUEST         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
3  FIGHTERTOWN         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
4  MARTY'S MAGIC Aug13         (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
5  CODE OF KINGS         (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
6  PARKWAY         (mott i)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★    
7  POWERFUL Jul23         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
8  UPGRADE Jul24         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
9  SURPRISE PAYOFF Aug13         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
 
SAR-3   09/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSSIE PRIDE Jun09 Apr22 Feb25 Jan29   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  CAPONE Aug13 Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03 (jerkens a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
3  SEAL BEACH Aug17 Jul03 Jun12     (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
4  TIWANAKU Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
5  STRONG QUALITY Mar19 Feb19 Jan23     (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7% 14.40    
6  UP TO THE MARK Jul21         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  PERCEIVED Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May15 Apr10 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 ★    
8  NO BURN Jul21 Jun16 May29 May21 Apr07 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
SAR-4   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL CITY Aug05 Jul02 May29 May05 Mar26 (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PIQUA Aug13 Jul01       (motion grah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 ★    
3  ANNAPOLIS Aug06 Jul04 Jun03     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 0.40 54% 0.90    
4  ETHEREAL ROAD Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr16 Apr09 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 ★    
5  FUERTEVENTURA Jul02 May29 Apr30 Mar19 Feb19 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   09/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK THE WIND Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun12   (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
2  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Aug10 Jul14 Jun18 May22 Apr10 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
3  N Y ANTHEM Aug08 Jul08 May31 May14 Apr05 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
4  BLINDING LIGHT Jul20 Mar26       (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  KING MOONRACER Aug10 Jul14 Jun17     (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
SCR  LEDDY Aug03         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
7  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Jul31 Jul01 Jun04 May28 Mar24 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 ★    
8  MONTATHAM Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun05   (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
9  MOON HUNTER Aug14 Jul08 Jun19 Apr23   (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
10  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 May05 Apr16 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MISTER CHAIRMAN Jul30 May13       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 7% 13.20    
12  HATCH (GB) Aug14 Jul21 May29 Apr23 Feb11 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  FAST N FEARIOUS Aug13 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  COUSIN ANDREW Aug10 Jul28 Jun25 May27 May19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
 
SAR-6   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEART N SOUL         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
2  MINDTAP         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  JUNGFRAU         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
4  MO'S TREASURE Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 May04 (lukas wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 18% 4.40    
5  KAON         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
6  PRAIRIE DUNES         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
7  DESERT WOLF         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
8  AMERICAN HALITE         (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
9  CHAMPIONS DREAM         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  CAGLIOSTRO         (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   09/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMUNDSON Jul30 Jun16 Apr29 Feb27   (diodoro robertin)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 Feb21 (jacobson davi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.00 ★    
2  HIGHER STANDARD Aug10 Jun26 Apr02 Mar09 Feb05 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
3  FOOLISH GHOST Jul04         (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 ★    
4  COST BASIS Aug14 Apr21 Feb19     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
5  ELITE POWER Jun30 Jun05 May07     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  PAYNE Jul13 May30 Apr16 Jan29   (caramori caio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 11% 8.00    
7  HOIST THE GOLD Jul31 Jul03 Apr02 Mar09 Feb12 (stewart da)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
8  SHADOW MATTER Jul20 Jun26 May28 Apr29 Feb21 (diodoro roberti)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
9  MERAAS (GB)         (summers chad)FRESU ANTONIO 123 6.00    
 
SAR-8   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTANT COFFEE         (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
2  BRITERDAYZAHEAD         (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  ARTHUR'S RIDE Aug06         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  DUBYUHNELL         (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  ENZO'S WORLD Aug25         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 50.00    
6  ROCKET CAN Aug06         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
7  TSURIS Aug18         (stewart da)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
8  JUAN VALDEZ         (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
9  FANTASIST         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
10  CRUPI Aug06         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-9   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEAR VISION Aug04 Jul15 May21 Mar05 Feb05 (o'connor m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
2  ANALYZE IT May28         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  LORENZ (BRZ) Jul17         (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 12.00    
4  SANCTUARY CITY Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 May30 May01 (ferraro james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
5  GRADED ON A CURVE Jul09 May20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
6  MONITION May20 Apr27 Mar19     (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  SOULMATE Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 Apr14 (pregman jr)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
SCR  MAD MUNNYS Jul30 Jun23       (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
9  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Aug06 May20       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
10  EYES ON TARGET Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr21   (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
11  NEVER EXPLAIN Jul09 May20       (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/03/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) Jul31 Jun12       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
2  FLANIGAN'S COVE Aug06 Jul03 Jun05 Apr21   (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 28% 2.60    
3  VIRGINIA JOY (GER) Aug06 Jun10 May07 Mar05   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS Aug06 Apr29       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.40 42% 1.40    
5  COASTANA Jul31         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 ★    
6  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr14   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6% 15.60    
7  MARVELOUS MAUDE Jul30 Jun23 May22     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
 
SAR-11   09/03/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAX Jul09         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
2  OLYMPIAD Aug06 Jul02 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  UNTREATED Jul09 May20 Apr02 Feb19   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 12.00 6% 16.00    
4  CHESS CHIEF Aug04 Jun25 Mar26 Jan29   (stewart dallas)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00    
5  AMERICANREVOLUTION Jul02 Jun04       (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  FIRST CAPTAIN Jul09 May20 Apr09 Feb27   (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00 ★    
7  KEEPMEINMIND Jul22         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 126 12.00    
8  DYNAMIC ONE Jul09 Jun04 Apr23 Mar12   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
SAR-12   09/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEANAN Jul29         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
2  IRON LION IN ZION Aug03         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
3  MR BREADWINNER Jul28 May28 Apr30 Apr03 Feb04 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50    
SCR  NOTABLE EXCEPTION Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr20 Jan07 (shirer a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 64% 0.60    
5  RIA'S ANGEL Jul22 Jun17 May01 Apr02 Mar19 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 ★    
6  PATIENT CAPITAL Aug05 Jul02 May07 Apr01   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
7  MILANO Aug25 Jun12 May01     (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
8  ONE MORE BABY Aug04 Jul01 Jun08 May03 Mar25 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
9  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 May29 May01 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT WORKER Aug13         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  JAY'STALKER Aug05         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
12  COMMANDER COMPTON Aug12 Jun11 May14 Apr02   (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jul23 Jul03 May19 Apr16 Apr01 (gutierrez fausti)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
SAR-13   09/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIARA (URU) Jul20 Jun17 Apr28 Feb12 Jan08 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
1A  FULIGNI Aug03 Jun12       (bond ja)HARKIE K 121 12.00    
2  BUNTY WINDERMERE Aug20 Jul09 Jun12 May27 Apr22 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
3  LOLLYGAG Aug12 Jul23 Jun26 Jun04 Apr22 (lauer mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
4  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jun26 May27 Apr28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
5  MY CARA MIA MINE Aug20 Jul23 Feb05     (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  LEMME GET IT Jun17         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
7  RENT CONTROL Jul04 Jun17 May27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 ★    
8  IZEAMALIBUMOON Jul20 Jun25       (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
9  ELI DANCER Aug12 Jul09 Feb18     (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  GALLEY HEAD Aug12 Jul20 May04     (lerman s)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
11  QUICK POWER NAP Jul23 Jun25       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.