Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - September 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READ ON Aug27 Aug13       (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 7% 13.20    
2  FLY RIGHT         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
3  ARI GOLD         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
4  PLEASE BABY Jul23 May27       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Aug20         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE DAN Aug18         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  RUNNING LATE         (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
8  GENERAL JIM Aug13         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  IMPECCABILITY         (mcpeek kenneth)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
10  SCRAMBLE         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  SUSTENANCE Sep01 Aug03       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
12  CLASSIC CREATION Aug07         (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Aug07 Jul03       (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  TORIGO Aug13         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
SCR  PHILHARMONIC Aug20         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  BIG WICKS         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON MADNESS Jul23         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 12% 7.70    
2  TAPIT'S CONQUEST         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
3  FIGHTERTOWN         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
4  MARTY'S MAGIC Aug13         (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
5  CODE OF KINGS         (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
6  PARKWAY         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★    
7  POWERFUL Jul23         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
8  UPGRADE Jul24         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
9  SURPRISE PAYOFF Aug13         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
 
SAR-3   09/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSSIE PRIDE Jun09 Apr22 Feb25 Jan29   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  CAPONE Aug13 Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03 (jerkens james)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
3  SEAL BEACH Aug17 Jul03 Jun12     (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
4  TIWANAKU Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
5  STRONG QUALITY Mar19 Feb19 Jan23     (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7% 14.40    
6  UP TO THE MARK Jul21         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  PERCEIVED Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May15 Apr10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 ★    
8  NO BURN Jul21 Jun16 May29 May21 Apr07 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
SAR-4   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL CITY Aug05 Jul02 May29 May05 Mar26 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PIQUA Aug13 Jul01       (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PICKAWAY (IRE) by PIVOTAL (GB))
3  ANNAPOLIS Aug06 Jul04 Jun03     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 0.40 54% 0.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MY MISS SOPHIA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  ETHEREAL ROAD Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr16 Apr09 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
5  FUERTEVENTURA Jul02 May29 Apr30 Mar19 Feb19 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CASANOVA STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
 
SAR-5   09/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK THE WIND Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun12   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
2  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Aug10 Jul14 Jun18 May22 Apr10 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
3  N Y ANTHEM Aug08 Jul08 May31 May14 Apr05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
4  BLINDING LIGHT Jul20 Mar26       (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  KING MOONRACER Aug10 Jul14 Jun17     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
SCR  LEDDY Aug03         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
7  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Jul31 Jul01 Jun04 May28 Mar24 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 ★    
8  MONTATHAM Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun05   (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
9  MOON HUNTER Aug14 Jul08 Jun19 Apr23   (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
10  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 May05 Apr16 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MISTER CHAIRMAN Jul30 May13       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 7% 13.20    
12  HATCH (GB) Aug14 Jul21 May29 Apr23 Feb11 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  FAST N FEARIOUS Aug13 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  COUSIN ANDREW Aug10 Jul28 Jun25 May27 May19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
 
SAR-6   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEART N SOUL         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
2  MINDTAP         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  JUNGFRAU         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
4  MO'S TREASURE Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 May04 (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 18% 4.40    
5  KAON         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
6  PRAIRIE DUNES         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
7  DESERT WOLF         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
8  AMERICAN HALITE         (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
9  CHAMPIONS DREAM         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  CAGLIOSTRO         (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   09/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMUNDSON Jul30 Jun16 Apr29 Feb27   (diodoro robert)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 Feb21 (jacobson da)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.00 ★    
2  HIGHER STANDARD Aug10 Jun26 Apr02 Mar09 Feb05 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
3  FOOLISH GHOST Jul04         (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 ★    
4  COST BASIS Aug14 Apr21 Feb19     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
5  ELITE POWER Jun30 Jun05 May07     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  PAYNE Jul13 May30 Apr16 Jan29   (caramori ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 11% 8.00    
7  HOIST THE GOLD Jul31 Jul03 Apr02 Mar09 Feb12 (stewart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
8  SHADOW MATTER Jul20 Jun26 May28 Apr29 Feb21 (diodoro rober)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
9  MERAAS (GB)         (summers chad)FRESU ANTONIO 123 6.00    
 
SAR-8   09/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTANT COFFEE         (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
2  BRITERDAYZAHEAD         (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  ARTHUR'S RIDE Aug06         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  DUBYUHNELL         (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  ENZO'S WORLD Aug25         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 50.00    
6  ROCKET CAN Aug06         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
7  TSURIS Aug18         (stewart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
8  JUAN VALDEZ         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
9  FANTASIST         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
10  CRUPI Aug06         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-9   09/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEAR VISION Aug04 Jul15 May21 Mar05 Feb05 (o'connor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
2  ANALYZE IT May28         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  LORENZ (BRZ) Jul17         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 12.00    
4  SANCTUARY CITY Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 May30 May01 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
5  GRADED ON A CURVE Jul09 May20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
6  MONITION May20 Apr27 Mar19     (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  SOULMATE Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 Apr14 (pregman jr)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
SCR  MAD MUNNYS Jul30 Jun23       (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
9  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Aug06 May20       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
10  EYES ON TARGET Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr21   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
11  NEVER EXPLAIN Jul09 May20       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/03/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) Jul31 Jun12       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of MOI MEME by TEOFILO (PER))
2  FLANIGAN'S COVE Aug06 Jul03 Jun05 Apr21   (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
3  VIRGINIA JOY (GER) Aug06 Jun10 May07 Mar05   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW (GB) out of VIRGINIA SUN by DOYEN (IRE))
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS Aug06 Apr29       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.40 42% 1.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
5  COASTANA Jul31         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
6  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr14   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6% 15.60    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IT TAKES TWO by DANCE CENTRE)
7  MARVELOUS MAUDE Jul30 Jun23 May22     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAIT YOUR TURN by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
SAR-11   09/03/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAX Jul09         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
  (by ARCH out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  OLYMPIAD Aug06 Jul02 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  UNTREATED Jul09 May20 Apr02 Feb19   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 126 12.00 6% 16.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  CHESS CHIEF Aug04 Jun25 Mar26 Jan29   (stewart dalla)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
5  AMERICANREVOLUTION Jul02 Jun04       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
6  FIRST CAPTAIN Jul09 May20 Apr09 Feb27   (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA (IRE) by ARAZI)
7  KEEPMEINMIND Jul22         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of INCLINATION by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  DYNAMIC ONE Jul09 Jun04 Apr23 Mar12   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BEAT THE DRUMS by FOLLOW THE DRUM)
 
SAR-12   09/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEANAN Jul29         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
2  IRON LION IN ZION Aug03         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
3  MR BREADWINNER Jul28 May28 Apr30 Apr03 Feb04 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50    
SCR  NOTABLE EXCEPTION Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr20 Jan07 (shirer matt)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 64% 0.60    
5  RIA'S ANGEL Jul22 Jun17 May01 Apr02 Mar19 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 ★    
6  PATIENT CAPITAL Aug05 Jul02 May07 Apr01   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
7  MILANO Aug25 Jun12 May01     (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
8  ONE MORE BABY Aug04 Jul01 Jun08 May03 Mar25 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
9  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 May29 May01 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT WORKER Aug13         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  JAY'STALKER Aug05         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
12  COMMANDER COMPTON Aug12 Jun11 May14 Apr02   (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jul23 Jul03 May19 Apr16 Apr01 (gutierrez faus)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
SAR-13   09/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIARA (URU) Jul20 Jun17 Apr28 Feb12 Jan08 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
1A  FULIGNI Aug03 Jun12       (bond harold )HARKIE K 121 12.00    
2  BUNTY WINDERMERE Aug20 Jul09 Jun12 May27 Apr22 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
3  LOLLYGAG Aug12 Jul23 Jun26 Jun04 Apr22 (lauer mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
4  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jun26 May27 Apr28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
5  MY CARA MIA MINE Aug20 Jul23 Feb05     (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  LEMME GET IT Jun17         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
7  RENT CONTROL Jul04 Jun17 May27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 ★    
8  IZEAMALIBUMOON Jul20 Jun25       (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
9  ELI DANCER Aug12 Jul09 Feb18     (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  GALLEY HEAD Aug12 Jul20 May04     (lerman roy )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
11  QUICK POWER NAP Jul23 Jun25       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.