Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/5/4/2)-(5/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (3/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/2)-(5/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/2)-(5/2/3/1)-(9/4/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/1)-(9/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/1)-(9/4/8/3)-(7/1/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-4   WIN (9/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/8/3)-(7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/4/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/6/8)-(1/4/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/6/8)-(1/4/9/6/8)-(1/4/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3)-(8/6/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(8/6/1)-(2/1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-8   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(2/1/4/6)-(5/1/8/13/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-9   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(5/1/8/13/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-10   WIN (5/1/8/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/13/4)-(5/1/8/13/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/13/4)-(5/1/8/13/4)-(5/1/8/13/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   11/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG PAPER Oct02 Sep17 Aug29 Aug01 May18 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Oct29 Sep04 Aug18 Aug08 Nov30 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
3  CASTLE ISLAND Oct08 Aug20 Aug06 Jun08 May02 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
4  KNICKS STORY Aug22 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 Jun01 (ramirez-rodr)TORRES A 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
5  DENINGTON Oct12 Sep13 Jan17 Dec21 Nov26 (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 6% 16.20    
6  MASTER GAME Sep17 Aug21 Aug01 Jun05 May09 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
7  TEXAS RED HOT Sep17 Aug01 Jun26 Jun06 Jun15 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50    
 
CD-2   11/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCK'S LAW Sep27 Aug04       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
2  ALL LEGAL Sep05         (douaihy m)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LARGE RISK Sep28         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.10    
4  STATE CONCEAL Oct03 Sep03 Aug23 Aug02 Jul10 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  PSALMIST Oct29 Oct08 Sep09     (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
6  GRAY IS OKAY Oct08 Aug28 Aug09     (hartman chris)BACON W 119 3.00    
7  OWIE         (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TAKE BACKS Oct23 Oct07 Mar02     (leonard g)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PULGARCITO Aug08 Jun26 May15     (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  HESPER Sep14 Aug24 May17 Apr18 Mar20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 14% 6.40    
4  ALL ABOUT CROGE Feb22 Jan15 Nov27 Sep27 Sep13 (brown pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
5  FORTY LOVE Sep13 Aug03 Jun22 May08 Apr10 (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  BOB'S CARROT Sep24 Aug28 Aug14 Jun22 May18 (schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50    
7  FOCUSYN Apr30 Jan22 Dec29 Sep27 Sep06 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
 
CD-4   11/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY DIXIE Sep19 Aug21 Jul17 Jun11   (heitzman eri)TORRES A 121 5.00    
2  BULLET BABY Jul12 May22 Dec18 Nov27 Oct23 (radcliffe robe)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00    
3  SHE'S ALL ELLIE Sep21 Jun20 Jun08 Aug01   (von don)BACON W 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRIPLE MOON Oct09 Aug28 Aug07     (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  JAILHOUSE RELIGION Oct16 Aug21 Jan01 Dec15 Nov07 (tomlins)DE CRUZ 121 5.00    
6  PICKLEBALL QUEEN Oct19 Sep19 Aug21     (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  VINO ALLA MORA Sep19 Aug24       (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 15.00    
8  MELLY'S BIRKIN Oct27 Sep30 Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
9  SEVENON Oct19 Sep25 Aug23 Aug04 Oct23 (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DE' ANS EIGHTY Oct12 Sep17 Aug03 Jun18 May29 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  BELLA CRUELLA Oct10 Sep19 Aug09 Jun18 May29 (bahena ismae)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 15.00    
3  TIFFANY TWIST Aug22 Aug03 Jun27 May15 Apr25 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRANGO ELECTRICO Sep19 Jun27 May24 May10 Apr16 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
5  GLORIETTE Oct12 Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul17 (shorter aaron)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
6  ABITIBI Oct12 Sep19 Aug24 Aug04 Jun18 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  NIGHT KISS Oct27 Oct16 Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.00 43% 1.40    
 
CD-6   11/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE SUPREME Sep14 Jul26       (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPIT out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
2  COMPLEX TRICK Sep14         (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  ROILING Oct09 Sep10       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
4  MOONLIGHT DASH May09         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
5  PICKLE SHOES         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of AKRON GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  TATANIA         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by TAPIT out of PAULASSILVERLINING by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  CRAWFORD Oct04 Sep06 Aug20 Jul19 Jun14 (oliver victori)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPPED by TAPIT)
8  CUVEE CREED Jan18 Nov13       (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LEVERAGEDTOTHEHILT by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
9  DARING MADISON Feb15 Jan20       (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MITOLE out of DARING GREATLY by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
CD-7   11/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOISES OFF Sep10 Aug31 Jul13 Dec14 Oct05 (lobo h)ORTIZ L 121 4.00    
SCR  SURLY FURIOUS Sep27 Aug11 Jul09 May19 Apr08 (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
3  SMOKEY MANDATE Apr08 Mar22 Feb22 Dec26 Nov28 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIRANDA RIGHTS Oct18 Jun21 May29 Apr29 Aug29 (nihei mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
5  IDRATHERBEBLESSED May17 Apr19 Mar22 Feb15 Jan18 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  POSTER Mar22 Feb08 Dec07 Oct12 Aug19 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  JUDGE DAVIS Sep27 Jul05 Oct25 Sep01 Jul27 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
 
CD-8   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIETTE Jun28         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DONNA ROMANO Oct03 Aug21       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
SCR  SUGAREE (IRE) Oct19 Sep11 Aug15 Jul12 Jul06 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  STARLIT NITE Oct19 Sep12 Aug11     (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
5  WHAT'S UP DOG Nov01 Oct05       (contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 117 5.00    
6  VALALA Oct19 Sep07 Jul31     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  VICTORY MUSIC Aug09 Jun29       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
8  CAMILA CATALINA Oct10 Aug24 Jul27     (hess b)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-9   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER MULE Oct17 Sep24 Aug26 Jul24 Jun17 (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  INCURSION Oct17 Aug02 Jun28 Jun01 Sep08 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SUITED AND BOOTED Oct17 Jun12 May08 Mar27 Feb21 (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
4  CHADO Oct17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Jun13 (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY OWN Sep24 Jul26 Jul03 Dec06 Jul29 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
6  MI DINERO Oct08 Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 Jul11 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHADOW COAST Sep24 Aug01 Jun06 May15 Apr26 (crichton g)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
8  TOM CAT TUESDAY Oct22 Sep24 Aug16 Jul14 Jun07 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00    
 
CD-10   11/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON'S LAW Oct05         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  HELPFUL HOWIE Sep12 Aug08       (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  DUFOOF Sep10         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ANGHAAM by CURLIN)
4  APOLLO'S GLORY Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 Jun28   (stephen anthony)CURTIS BEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TROPICAL WAVE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  THAILAND Oct12         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEEN BEE TO YOU by OLD TOPPER)
6  ZEPPELIN         (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEMMERLE by TAPIT)
7  RULER OF THE SKIES Oct12         (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUNNY SKIES by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
8  DROP SHOT (ARG) Oct05 Aug30       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by EQUALIZE out of DOLLAR LADY (ARG) by FARNESIO (ARG))
9  STILL SOBER Oct25 Aug28 Aug04 Jul06   (caramori e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CAIPIRINHA by TEMPLE CITY)
10  BEALE STREET BOY Oct10 Sep14 Aug02     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
SCR  APACHE ONE SIX         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GAME FAIR by QUIET AMERICAN)
12  HAYES GOAL         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AMERICA'S TALE by GIO PONTI)
13  HOSS N BOSS Sep19         (hartman chris)BACON W 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WICKED LICK by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  FORTUNY         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  NO JOKE JOE Oct12         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WAR POPPY by STORM BLAST)
SCR  LIGHTER         (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GALINA POINT by SAFFIR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.