Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-2 $11.16 $2.16 24%
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-2-7 $13.56 $4.56 51%
KEE-7   EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $19.81 $7.81 65%
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-6-1 $46.03 $34.03 284%
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $16.00 $4.00 33%
KEE-8   WIN (10/6/11/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  13 $21.88 $11.88 119%
    EXA (10/6/11/13/2)-(10/6/11/13/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  13-10 $48.11 $28.11 141%
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(10/6/11/13/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-13 $38.60 $18.60 93%
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(7/6/2/1)-(10/6/11/13/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-2-13 $105.60 $75.60 252%
KEE-9   WIN (5/4/1/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  13 $13.28 $3.28 33%
    EXA (5/4/1/13/12)-(5/4/1/13/7/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  13-12 $36.10 $11.10 44%
    DD (10/6/11/13/2)-(5/4/1/13/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  13-13 $65.86 $40.86 163%
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(10/6/11/13/2)-(5/4/1/13/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00  2-13-13 $108.24 $58.24 116%
    PK4 (6/2/4)-(7/6/2/1)-(10/6/11/13/2)-(5/4/1/13/12) 300 $0.50 $150  6-2-13-13 $726.78 $576.78 385%
    PK6 (1/4/7/5)-(3/12/5/6/7)-(6/2/4)-(7/6/2/1)-(10/6/11/13/2)-(5/4/1/13/12) 6000 $1.00 $6000  1/3-5/13/14/15-6-2-13-13 $8426 $2426 40%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STORY HOUR 7 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 1¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 4.55  
5  UP ON THE EDGE 5 5 52½ 52 51¼ 21 2¼ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 3.56  
1  CRUSHED ICE 1 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 41½ 31¾ (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.38 S
2  ASIAN MATRIARCH 2 1 31½ 41½ 41¼ 31½ 42½ (sweezey j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 30% 2.40 7.13  
4  THESTRAL 4 8 74½ 83½ 74 66½ 510 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 31% 2.30 3.03  
3  DARK DAHLIA 3 6 84¾ 73½ 84½ 88 610 (casse w)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 7% 12.80 6.64  
8  SWEET CHABLIS 8 4 41½ 31 31 55½ 710¼ (mckeever and)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 7.66  
6  SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 7 63 62½ 63¾ 77½ 812 (shirer a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 17.12  
 
KEE-2   10/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:214 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ELSTON GUNNN 9 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★ 8.72  
  (by MO TOWN out of LITTLE SWEET by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  WEXFORD ONE 5 5 31½ 42   31½ 2hd (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 4.00 3.45 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of KANSAS KIS by CONSTITUTION)
4  THAILAND 4 10 95½ 95½   64 31 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 14% 6.10 2.65 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEEN BEE TO YOU by OLD TOPPER)
7  VASY (IRE) 6 6 63 52½   53½ 41 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 40% 1.50 1.82  
  (by SPACE BLUES out of BEAUTIFUL ENDING by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
8  SHIPMATE 7 9 84½ 84½   74½ 52 (ramsey nolan)TORRES A 119 15.00 61.61  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of THIGH HIGH BOOTS by STORM BOOT)
9  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE) 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 62½ (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 79.31  
  (by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
11  SUN CHASER 10 2 42 31   43 73¼ (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ENVIED by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
1  BROSNAN 1 4 52 63½   85 87 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.13  
  (by SWAIN (IRE) out of PEACEFUL ROAD by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
3  BECAUSE OF LOVE (IRE) 3 12 107½ 108   108¼ 98½ (kerrick lacy)CURTIS BEN 119 30.00 66.87  
  (by DREAMS TO REALIT out of LOVE AND WAR by WAR CHANT)
2  PENN STAR 2 11 74 74   98 1012 (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 119 30.00 47.53  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHURCH BY THE SEA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
13  EL HALCON (ARG) 12 8 1210¾ 1111   1111¾ 1117 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 119 50.00 ######  
  (by VOLATILE out of APPLE MARTINI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  THIRD PICK 11 7 117¾ 1211¼   1217¾ 1227¾ (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 ######  
  (by BASIN out of DELIGHTFUL DAWN by ACT OF DUTY)
SCR  KILBY GIRL               (ward a)ESPINOZA V 116 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALEXANDRIA by CONSTITUTION)
SCR  NOAHS PRIDE               (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of SWEET CHANTAL by SNOW RIDGE)
 
KEE-3   10/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK MATE 1 6 31 41¼   11½ 11¼ (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 6.44  
2  IMPLEMENTATION 2 5 52 52¼   31½ 21¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 2.42  
5  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 5 1 41 21   41¾ 33 (navarrete )VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 15.00 19.38  
3  HARRODSBURG 3 2 1½ 11   21½ 46½ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 1.00 65% 0.50 0.63  
4  SIR WELLINGTON 4 3 2½ 31   53¼ 58½ (robertson hugh)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 26.99  
6  GOLD LUCK 6 4 62½ 63¼   65¾ 612 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
 
KEE-4   10/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY WALK 1 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1hd (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 48% 1.10 1.97 W
6  MERCY WARREN 5 7 62¼ 4¾   2½ 2hd (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 2.66  
4  DE' ANS EIGHTY 3 5 52 61¾   32 31½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 6.00 24% 3.20 7.52 S
5  COMMANDED 4 6 72¾ 72   53 41¾ (mckeever a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.62  
7  ABITIBI 6 3 41 51¾   63¼ 53¾ (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.47  
2  ASK AMANDA 2 4 3½ 3½   77¼ 610½ (bahena ism)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 30.00 40.88  
8  GLORIETTE 7 2 2½ 2nk   43 711¼ (shorter aaron)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 3.26  
SCR  TIFFANY TWIST               (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121 1:38 2:031 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COMMON DEFENSE 5 54 54 41¾ 52½ 1½ 11¾ (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 11% 7.80 1.62 W
3  EL REZEEN 3 66 65½ 73¾ 63 42 21¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 40% 1.50 1.84 P
12  CRYSTAL QUEST 12 89½ 77½ 63¼ 31½ 2½ 32½ (trombetta mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 13% 6.50 7.68 S
7  BAIL US OUT 7 78 87¾ 105½ 84½ 52¼ 42¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 17.80 8.33  
2  FACTOR ANALYSIS 2 1010½ 1112¼ 84¼ 11 3½ 54¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 69.20  
1  DAUNT 1 1214½ 1214¼ 127½ 106 74¼ 64½ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 57.42  
6  MUTAAWID 6 1112½ 1012¼ 95¼ 116 86¼ 77 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 7% 14.10 12.32  
4  PRESIDER 4 32 32 31½ 42 62¾ 87 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00 24.52  
10  CALYCANTHUS 10 99½ 99¾ 117½ 126½ 96¾ 99½ (arnold ge)TORRES A 122 20.00 94.69  
11  GOES THE CLOWN 11 43 42 51¾ 73½ 106¾ 1017¼ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 21.75  
9  BIG TO DO 9 2½ 21 2nk 95½ 1210¼ 1125 (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 30.00 ######  
8  NOT FALLING BACK 8 1½ 11 1nk 21 118¼ 1230 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 36.06  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 30.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE               (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CUT TO THE CHASE 6 5 1½ 11   13½ 14¾ (ward a)ESPINOZA V 121 2.00 32% 2.10 3.00 W
  (by CONCORDE'S TUNE out of THIRD DOUBLE by NODOUBLE)
2  AMERICAN PEARL 2 3 42½ 32   23½ 24¾ (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 21% 3.70 1.60 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ACQUA FRESH by ECCLESIASTIC)
7  TAVERNA 7 1 32 21   33½ 37 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 ★ 4.54 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  SHESA CHERRY 3 6 53 42½   46½ 410¾ (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 12.46  
  (by CURLIN out of CHERRY LODGE by BERNARDINI)
4  CONTEMPLATE 4 2 2½ 53   510 521 (harty eoin)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 15% 5.80 9.16  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  HISSYFITTER 8 4 63½ 64½   612½ 623½ (colebrook ben)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 23.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
5  WICKED ONE 5 7 89½ 78   715 729½ (asmussen steven )CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 6.11  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
1  EXISTENCE 1 8 78½ 810   817 832½ (elliott)DE CRUZ 124 30.00 43.98  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GOLDEN SHEBA by CORONADO'S QUEST)
 
KEE-7   10/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Franklin Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:203 :433 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIME TO DAZZLE 2 6 75 74½   31½ 13¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 15% 5.70 3.03 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of STARIA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  IN OUR TIME 5 1 1nk 1½   11½ 23¼ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 17% 4.70 5.66 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
1  PONDERING 1 7 64½ 64   21½ 33¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.75 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
5  PIPSY (IRE) 4 2 43½ 43   42 43½ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 2.51  
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
8  CART GIRL SAM 7 5 54 53½   54 56¼ (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 121 20.00 22.73  
  (by TAPITURE out of COUNTY CLUB by CITY ZIP)
4  WON HAPPY MAMA 3 3 32½ 32½   66 613½ (murphy travis )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00 55.43  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  LUNA LOUSKA 6 4 2nk 2½   76¼ 714½ (delgado gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 34% 1.90 2.13  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of JAMAICAN SMOKE by DOUBLE NINER)
SCR  FUTURE IS NOW               (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LADY CRUSH               (murphy tr)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
 
KEE-8   10/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  J J'S JOKER 9 2 41½ 41¼   21 11 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.94 W
10  ONE COOL DUDE 7 3 3½ 2nk   11 21 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 42% 1.40 2.97 P
5  BACKGROUND 4 6 62¼ 61¾   63¾ 33½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 7.40  
6  LIGHTNING STRUCK 5 5 1nk 3.2   53½ 44 (diodoro robert)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00 20% 4.00 7.40  
9  SUTHERLAND 6 1 2nk 1nk   31 54 (kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 2.17  
2  GLUCKSTADT 2 8 76¾ 74¼   42½ 64 (martinez kel)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.59  
3  DENINGTON 3 7 88¾ 87¼   87¼ 78¾ (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 21.00  
11  MUCHO MOJO 8 4 52 51¾   76¼ 89¾ (habeeb dona)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 9% 10.20 6.78  
1  HOMETOWN HERO 1 9 910¼ 97½   97¾ 911¼ (moreno ti)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 61.74  
SCR  GUANARE               (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50    
SCR  LEND IT TEWMEY               (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
SCR  OVERBORE               (fletcher )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
SCR  XANDER               (davis christophe)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:214 :444 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ALPYLAND 12 1 31½ 2½   22 11¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 10% 8.80 5.64 W
  (by VEKOMA out of IL BRIGANTE by KELA)
12  CHASING FREEDOM 11 2 11½ 1½   12 21¼ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.98 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INTO MYSTIC by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  BLUEGRASS TOWN 1 5 73¼ 64   34 33¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 11% 8.20 3.85 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BURGUNDY ICE by STORM CAT)
10  NO JOKE JOE 9 7 86¼ 87   78½ 47¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 17.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WAR POPPY by STORM BLAST)
5  COWBOY ROY 4 3 42 32½   44 57¼ (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 30% 2.30 5.06  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TIMETOTIME by NOT THIS TIME)
11  RULER OF THE SKIES 10 11 1212¼ 1213½   1011 69¼ (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 79.33  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUNNY SKIES by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
7  SPIRIT OF A WALKON 6 10 53 53½   57 710¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 4.80  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DELTA'S KINGDOM by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  CYNICAL HUMOR 3 12 107¾ 97½   89 810½ (ward a)ESPINOZA V 116 4.00 28% 2.60 4.68  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRAW IT by TAPIT)
6  GRACE MET CUPID 5 6 63¼ 74½   910½ 911 (ramos ben)CURTIS BEN 119 15.00 17.60  
  (by CUPID out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  ROAD TRIPPIN 2 8 97¼ 108   1111¼ 1011¼ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 71.15  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DOLCE NOTTE by BERNARDINI)
9  EMILIANO 8 4 21½ 43   68 1113½ (lopez elias)SAEZ LUIS 119 30.00 51.03  
  (by BENCHMARK out of COLLECT YOUR BET by SAROS (GB))
8  MIDSHAKIN 7 9 119¼ 1110½   1213¼ 1215 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 119 20.00 43.21  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SH SH SHAKIN' by RICHTER SCALE)
SCR  ELECTION NIGHT               (radosevich sh)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of CAMEO PERFORMANCE by OSCAR PERFORMANCE)
SCR  GREEN SCREEN               (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PENJADE by AIR CHIEF MARSHAL)
SCR  SHE'S ON A ROLL               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 3.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of SUMMERSAULT by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.