Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/5/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/5/2/7)-(2/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/7)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/7)-(2/5/3)-(6/5/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/5/7/9)-(3/7/6/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (6/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/9)-(6/5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/9)-(6/5/7/9)-(6/5/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/9)-(3/7/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/9)-(3/7/6/10)-(9/12/10/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/7/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/10)-(3/7/2/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/10)-(3/7/2/6/10)-(3/7/2/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/6/10)-(9/12/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/10)-(9/12/10/1/7)-(10/3/5/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-6   WIN (9/12/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/10/1/7)-(9/12/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/10/1/7)-(9/12/10/1/7)-(9/12/10/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/12/10/1/7)-(10/3/5/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/12/10/1/7)-(10/3/5/7/9)-(2/6/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (10/3/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/7/9)-(10/3/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/7/9)-(10/3/5/7/9)-(10/3/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/7/9)-(2/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/7/9)-(2/6/8/3)-(9/2/5/8/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-8   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(9/2/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/3)-(9/2/5/8/4)-(7/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-9   WIN (9/2/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/8/4)-(9/2/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/8/4)-(9/2/5/8/4)-(9/2/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/5/8/4)-(7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/8/4)-(7/3/4)-(2/3/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-10   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-11   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5/8)-(2/3/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME DAY Jan17 Nov01       (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of CURRY CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SHELLAC Aug25         (morey willia)RAMOS D 121 4.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of NABEELAH by BERNARDINI)
D BIGALOW Feb08 Jan18 Dec19 Oct18 Sep28 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
TROUBLE TIME         (vaccarezza ni)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHE'S TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SHOT GUN SHACK Mar22         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MR. MONEY out of OPPENHEIMER by FAST BULLET)
PROUDLY HAILED (GB) Aug03 Jun08 May08 Apr13 Feb22 (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by MEHMAS out of SPANGLED by KRIS S.)
 
CD-2   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Sep18 Aug10 Jun03 Apr06 Dec01 (spraggins kenneth )MOJICA O 121 15.00    
PENROD Sep12 Aug01 Jun12 May22 Apr30 (orantes j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCIP Jun21 May31 Mar14 Jan05 Nov02 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
TOP GUN TOMMY Sep11 Aug02 Jun21 May06 Mar22 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
AMERICAN OUTLAW Aug09 Jun27 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
J J'S JOKER Jul25 Jul17 Jun28 May25 May10 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
LILTONYTWOPHONES Aug28 May31 May17 May05 Apr09 (moreno ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK'S LAW Aug04         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PRINCESS BERTRANDO by BERTRANDO)
QUARRY Sep04 Jul21 Jun22     (drury thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by FORTY NINER out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
POLITICS Sep10         (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TACITUS out of VALLESTINA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
OUTLAW EMPIRE Aug22 Jun22       (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN CHARM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
NO HAY DOS Sep10 Aug02 Jul06     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
  (by CONNECT out of ELLA BRILLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MR. J Aug20 Jul24       (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PROPS Aug31 Aug04 Jul21     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GLORYZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CD-4   09/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON SHARPENS IRON Aug16 Jul14 Jul06 May29 May02 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  LA HOULIGAN Aug09 Jul23 Jun14 May08 Apr19 (compton g)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  GAMBLERS TAIL Sep04 Jul27 Jun29 May23 May01 (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
EXCEL CALCULATOR Sep12 Jul24 Apr27 Apr06 Mar14 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
ASKARI Sep04 Jul29 Jun12 May18 Apr19 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
RACING DRIVER Jun28 May26 May03 Mar29 Feb28 (delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
WHAT'S UP DOC Aug16 Jul20 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
GOOGOL JOKE Aug16 Jul06 Jun04 May26 May01 (medina robert)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
CURVINO Aug24 Aug07 Jun20 Jun01 May02 (williams matt)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOLID LEFT Aug09 Jul14 Jun05 May09 Apr12 (santamaria carlo)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   09/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER RISE         (walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PROMISE OFTHE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TOUCH OF MAGIC Aug23         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of ANGEL IN DISGUISE by HALO)
AMERICATHEGREAT Aug29 Jun29 May15     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA by A.P. INDY)
JOSIE JOE         (mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ISLA by CARNIVALAY)
SCR  ATROPA Jul12         (devaux cheri)RAMOS D 119 15.00    
  (by VAGUELY NOBLE (GB) out of BELLERA by BERNARDINI)
JUST SINGING         (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TALKIN AND SINGING by SONGANDAPRAYER)
KENTUCKY BELLE         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
  (by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS out of SOUTHERN TENACITY by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
SHOT AT PERFECTION Aug10         (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of KHITAAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DREAMING OF JUNE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LONELY JUNE by VIOLENCE)
10  INTERVIEW         (brown cha)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CD-6   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOAHS PRIDE Sep13 Jul18       (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 6% 16.70    
FUOCO VIVO         (crichton )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
EMANCIPATION Aug22         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 5.00    
WOLFCAMP Aug10         (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
CHICANERY         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
SCR  BLACK HORNET Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
ELEOS Sep13 Sep01 Aug07 Jul18   (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREE CHOICE Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 May29 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 119 30.00    
BANKER'S JET Sep06         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 51% 1.00    
10  WAY BEYOND Sep07 Jul13       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
11  MISKELL         (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
12  BLUE MOUNTAINS         (mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
13  TREBLEWITHTHECURVE         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
14  MCFASTY Aug24 Jul21       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-7   09/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANDERING KIRBY Aug11 Jul06 Jun01 Mar22 Feb23 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 118 30.00    
GOLDEN SUNSHINE Aug22 Jul06 May31 Apr19 Mar22 (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
NEXT UP Aug24 Jul26 May25 Apr26 Mar14 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MEAN EILEEN Aug30 Jun14 May17 Nov06 Oct11 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
SCATTITUDE Aug28 Jul26 Jun15 May08 Mar23 (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 21% 3.90    
TABLE FLIRT Aug19 Jul13 Jun05 May02 Apr08 (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SHE'S GOT WILL Sep06 Aug02 Oct06 Sep08 Aug15 (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  MO EXPECTATIONS Aug26 Jul05 Jun14     (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
PRETTY SASSY Aug19 Jul15 Feb15 Jan19 Nov24 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SWEET TREASURE Nov07 Aug17       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
11  DROP THE HAMMER Sep06 Aug03 Jul06 May17 Apr11 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
 
CD-8   09/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST WANTED Aug23 Jun01 May02 Mar08 Nov29 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WILL TAKE IT Jun29 May22 Apr25 Mar08 Feb01 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY TAKE CHARGE by WAR FRONT)
SURLY FURIOUS Aug11 Jul09 May19 Apr08 Feb23 (wismer s)CURTIS BEN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  THIS IS USCAR Aug10 Jul05 May26 May02 Apr07 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of JOURNEY ON by GOOD JOURNEY)
TUMBARUMBA Aug10 Jun29 May22 May04 Jan25 (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NAIVE ENOUGH by STREET SENSE)
INDISPENSABLE (ARG) Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 Nov26 Sep29 (sadler w)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
THREE TECHNIQUE Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Nov02 (cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WHO DEY May16 Oct26 Sep18 Aug11 Jun09 (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 18% 4.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CD-9   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE PALACE Aug24 Jun28 May26 Apr26 Mar28 (bahena fe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
LEGADEMA Sep11 Aug20 Sep21 Jun09 May11 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
PIGALLE Sep10 Aug10 Jun21 May30 Nov23 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 4.00    
IN JUST MY HEELS Jun21 May31 Apr26 Mar28 Feb23 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAT'S CAVE Jul31 Jul05 May30 Apr23 Nov29 (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NON VIOLENCE Sep11 Jun21 Apr26 Apr04 Mar04 (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
EVERLAND Aug24 Aug10 Jun29 Mar01 Jan24 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
GRAN MIRELLA (ARG) Sep06 Aug06 Jul15     (mott rile)TORRES A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT SHOT Aug21 Jun27 Apr27 Apr06 Feb15 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  STANDOUTSENSATION Jul20 Jun13 Apr27 Mar15 Feb15 (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
11  NEON ICON Jun01 Apr18 Feb15 Nov28 Oct23 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   09/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY D'S Aug22 Jul05 Jun05 May17 Apr12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
HIT SHOW Aug03 Jun28 Mar01 Jan18 Nov29 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ACTRESS by TAPIT)
RATTLE N ROLL Nov29 Sep28 Sep30 Sep02 Jul01 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
PRINCE OF POWER Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Apr19 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
MYSTIK DAN Aug09 Jun28 May31 May03 Jan25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MA'AM by COLONEL JOHN)
DISARM Aug31 Aug02 Apr19 Mar14 Sep28 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EASY TAP by TAPIT)
BANISHING Aug22 Jul20 Jun29 May31 May03 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DOWAGER by A.P. INDY)
 
CD-11   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIFIABLE STEEL Aug07         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of NORTHERN BEAUTY by MUNNINGS)
SWAY HOUSE Aug16         (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by VOLATILE out of D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN by BROKEN VOW)
REVEL TOAST Aug27 Aug07       (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TULANIAN by TWIRLING CANDY)
NANZIG Aug03 Jul05 Jun06 May15 Apr16 (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
TACTICAL COMMAND Sep07 Aug10 Jul20     (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE out of HALO BELLE by SAINT BALLADO)
LOLLY POPPIN Aug18 Jul26       (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
SMOKIN HOT STUFF         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NAPLES MIST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FROSTY FOR EVER Aug31         (blair jordan)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of TATTERSAIL by TWIRLING CANDY)
FIREBIRD SUITE         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 12.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of JILL'S FIREBIRD by BIRDSTONE)
10  SISTER WIFE         (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  NEW DIVA         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
  (by LIDO PALACE (CHI) out of NEW SONG by EASTOVER COURT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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