Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/6/5/1)-(2/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(2/6/1/3)-(3/2/8/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(3/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(3/2/8/5)-(7/4/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/6/8/5)-(3/2/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/5)-(7/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/5)-(7/4/5/8)-(5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/5/8)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/8)-(5/2/3)-(4/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(4/2/7/1)-(3/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(3/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBOLING GHOST Jan16 Aug21 Aug09 Jul18   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  VERBIER (IRE) Jan23 Jan06 Dec12 Nov07 Oct19 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
3  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Jan04 Dec14 Oct30 Oct11 Sep15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 2.00    
4  MAIN LINE CIPHER Jan25 Dec28 Dec11 Feb21 Jan25 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  CLOAK AND DAGGER Jan23 Dec12 Nov07 Sep16 Aug01 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY HANDSOME MAN Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 Dec11 Nov27 (ovando mo)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-2   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMMY'S TOY Jan25 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Oct19 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP Jan25 Dec19 Nov19 Oct30 Oct19 (haehn terry)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
3  VISUAL MISSION Jan23 Dec16 Nov11 Nov02 Oct03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 0.60 33% 2.00    
4  SPIRIT OF AKRON Feb04 Jan16 Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 3.50    
5  GOLDEN MONEY Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  STONE COLD CAT Dec19 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct08 (calderon ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
7  LINO'S KID Dec23 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 Aug16 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A WILD CHILD Feb03 Dec04 Nov26 Nov05 Oct09 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  CREEK Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 Oct18 Aug29 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 61% 0.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  KLIMTSTER Jan16 Jan06 Dec23 Dec04 Oct28 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KELLEY MARIE by BERNSTEIN)
4  CALL ME CASSIUS Jun18 May18 Mar23 Jun22 Feb11 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 126 4.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  JOEL'S BOY Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov15 Oct30 (ovando melvin)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of UNDEFEATED MIND by DISCREETLY MINE)
6  GREAT REVELATION Feb03 Jan16 Dec05 Jul14 Jun29 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 9% 10.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
7  ONORE Jan25 Oct28 Sep26 Aug15 Oct25 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
8  PLAYING THE ANGLES Dec04 Nov12 Aug27     (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of T C B KIWI'S by AFLEET ALEX)
 
MVR-4   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT DREAM Jan24 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
2  JEN'S BATTLE Feb03 Jan15 Nov20 Sep30 Sep04 (casalinova ti)BRACHO A 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  WICCA WISDOM Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov13 Oct13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
4  I FEEL THE NEED Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 Sep09 Jul23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
5  DICHOTOMY Jan27 Nov20 Oct28 Sep17 Aug15 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG JAVA Feb03 Jan24 Dec16 May27 Apr23 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★    
7  BLAZING ZENNA Feb03 Jan15 Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 124 15.00    
8  Q BOND Jan24 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep20 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEARLINTHEROUGH Jan24 Dec03 Oct19 Sep19 Sep04 (tumbli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
MVR-5   02/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN N SIN Jan25 Nov13 Oct30 Oct14 Jun28 (meeks )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
2  KAY BEE GEE Jan25 Dec04 Nov12 Jul25 Jun06 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 20.00    
3  MISS SHADY Jan28 Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 Nov10 (trevino st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00 ★    
4  CAGUA Jan15 Jun23 May28 May12 Apr10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SABELLE Dec26 Nov21 Oct19 Aug20 Jul22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET SEDUCTION Jul08 Jun19 Jun03 Apr03 Mar17 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
7  CONSTITUTIONALIST Jan25 Dec04 Nov14 Sep09 Aug21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50 70% 0.40    
8  GIRL BYE Jan25 Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
10  FIRST KITTEN Jan15 Dec27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct17 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-6   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL THE DEAL Jan25 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Oct16 (sondej amy)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
2  GRACE IN EXCESS Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 Nov12 Nov03 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
3  TOVIA Feb04 Jan07 Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
4  COMIC BOOK Jan06 Dec16 Oct30 Sep21 Aug28 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Jan29 Dec06 Nov07 Sep30 Aug20 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  C C GRAND Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Jul18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
7  GARDEN SECRETS Jan06 Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
 
MVR-7   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT NURSE Jan08 Dec11 Oct14 Sep24 Aug14 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SESSA SISU Nov24 Oct22 Sep23 Aug20 Sep14 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  STARCOURT Jan16 Dec27 Nov28 Oct31 Sep27 (roberson denni)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
4  GOLDENEYE MAGIC Jan08 Dec05       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  CAN'T BUY CLASS Oct23 Sep28 Sep07 Jul20 Jun29 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 10.00    
6  STELLA E VELOCE Jan17 Dec07 Nov15 Oct16   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00    
7  MARDENE Jan08 Nov24 Nov08 Oct13 Oct05 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-8   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY SAINT Feb03 Jan16 Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
2  BLUE MAX Jan29 Dec23 Dec04 Nov14 Oct08 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  OUT OF CENTS Oct21 Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Aug12 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 Oct30 Oct21 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
5  CANDY INVASION Jan08 Dec17 Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAME BOY BENNY Feb03 Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
7  SPEITFUL SAM Dec13 Nov05 Sep13 Aug07 Jul20 (londono gen)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
8  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec17 Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 Sep25 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.