Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/8/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/7/6)-(5/8/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/7/6)-(5/8/2/7/6)-(5/8/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4)-(6/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/5/1)-(1/3/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/7)-(3/4/2/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/7)-(3/4/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/7)-(3/4/2/6/10)-(1/9/2/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6/10)-(3/4/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6/10)-(3/4/2/6/10)-(3/4/2/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6/10)-(1/9/2/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6/10)-(1/9/2/10/5)-(13/10/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (1/9/2/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/10/5)-(1/9/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/10/5)-(1/9/2/10/5)-(1/9/2/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/2/10/5)-(13/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/10/5)-(13/10/1/5)-(7/1/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (13/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/10/1/5)-(13/10/1/12/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/10/1/5)-(13/10/1/12/5)-(13/10/1/12/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/10/1/5)-(7/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/6/5)-(7/1/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARVIEW TWINKLE Oct11 Jul06       (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 124 6.00    
2  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Dec18 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  FUTURE FORTUNE Jun30 Jun16 Apr26 Apr14 Apr05 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 30.00    
4  NOBLY Aug11         (ubide max)FERRER C 124 20.00    
5  LIAR FOR HIRE Nov24         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  NOUVEAU RICHE Nov03 Oct23 Oct13 Aug18 Jul21 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  HO HO HO LETS GO Sep10         (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 30.00 11% 7.70    
8  HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Nov20 Sep23       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.60 18% 4.70    
9  LADY LYLA Dec18 Sep06 Jul21 Jun16 Apr14 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 117 15.00    
 
TAM-2   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANCY Oct19 Sep17 May23 Apr26 Mar31 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 122 1.00 51% 0.90    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DI MARIA by DATA LINK)
2  ARROW GHOST Dec27 Nov30 Sep06 Jun09 May26 (paramo martin)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of KICKIN KIMBERLY by ESKENDEREYA)
3  NIGHT OF MAGIC Oct29         (gardea)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
4  HEAD OF THE CLASS Oct12 Sep14 Aug23 Jul06   (pickett g)DIAZ S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CASH RESERVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  STANLEY CAT Dec27         (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by STANFORD out of DISCATSONTHESQUARE by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  TAKE THE GOLD Dec12 Nov02 Oct17 Aug06   (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of DELTA GOLD by GOLD TOKEN)
 
TAM-3   01/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPWINEYESTERDAY Dec13 Sep02       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCIO Dec13 Oct27 Oct05 Aug24 Aug13 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
3  PORTRAIT OF ADDIE Dec13 Sep27       (lerman s)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
4  I'MWISHINGONASTAR Dec13 Oct26 Oct06 Sep14 Aug23 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
5  LEMONPEPPASTEPPA Nov28 Oct26 Aug28 Jul28 Jul13 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 118 1.40 12% 7.30    
6  SMART UNION Nov28 Oct13 Aug29     (motion graham)CENTENO E 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
 
TAM-4   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL RIVER Dec27 May03       (ellebracht gary)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  WO HOP Dec06 Nov18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
3  GRAND PARK VIEW Dec27 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Aug15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MITHRIDATES Dec22 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Sep28 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
5  BLUE SKY'S SYL Mar15         (wasiluk jr)HESS SARA 113 15.00    
SCR  TATTOOONTHISTOWN Oct04 Jul12 Jun02     (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
7  WIZARDOFEZ Dec01 Oct11 Jul07 May22   (parra hern)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 5.00    
8  DUNKIN' RUN Apr12 Mar20       (clark a)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00    
9  RUSTY PISTOL Dec22 Feb24 Jan22 Dec30 Sep23 (jones doug)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SMEAUXKINITUP         (munoz carlos)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
TAM-5   01/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPING GIANT Dec20 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  HOLIDAY FANTASY Sep28 Sep14 Aug16 Jul14 Jun22 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 12.00    
3  STYLE ME ROYAL Dec20 Nov23 Oct11 Sep26 Aug08 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  GOLDEN JUAN Dec20 Sep14 Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 123 1.40    
5  YONO Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Aug18 Jul19 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00    
6  GRAND DANIEL Dec22 Nov17 Oct25 Nov25   (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
7  GREYZER Dec20 Dec04 Oct04 Sep25 Sep07 (de karla)COTTO L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  STREET GLIDE Dec20 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Jul28 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
TAM-6   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVIELEE Dec13 Nov20 Aug30 Aug22 Jul27 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 106 20.00    
2  MACLIN Dec08 Nov08 Oct10 Jul19 Jun22 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 118 2.00 11% 8.20    
3  DR. PERRY Dec05 Nov16 Oct05 Sep15 Aug24 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  JABRAN Jun21 May09 Apr26 Mar29 Feb15 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 118 3.00 27% 2.80    
5  KALINBA Dec08 Nov25 Nov12 Oct30 Oct13 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
6  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Dec28 Apr12 Mar03 Jan31 Jan12 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BURN JAKEY BURN Dec11 Sep21 Aug04 Jul05 Jun10 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 10.00    
8  NEON DEION Dec29 Nov27 Sep25 Sep11 Sep02 (campbell j)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 6.00    
9  CITY HUMOR Oct23 Oct07 Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 (marrero nestor)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00    
10  INDULGE Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 (simone mic)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   01/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMIRATES HONOR Dec18 Sep01       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  WOLF BEACH Dec21 Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 (delgado h)CASTANON L 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Dec21         (pimental )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 6.00    
4  CAPTAIN PERFECT Dec07         (terranova p)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
5  MY LITTLE CAIBO Dec07         (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR TANGO Dec20         (vazquez ed)URDANETA J 120 30.00    
7  EL DE TOCHO Dec20         (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
8  KING PLUTUS Nov30         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
9  WEEK'S STRONG         (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
10  MYWIFEHASAGUN Dec18 Nov27 Oct22     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  VINO COURAGIO Dec21 Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 4.00    
SCR  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE Dec21 Oct03 Aug30     (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00    
SCR  GAP TO GAP Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 Sep07   (avila car)REYES LEONEL 120 1.80    
SCR  CITY TIME Dec22 Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 3.50    
 
TAM-8   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Dec13 Nov27 May01 Apr21 Apr07 (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS DIZ Dec21 Nov20 Nov06 Sep18 Aug31 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
3  PIZZICATO Dec24 Dec13 Nov27 Aug30 Aug09 (rivera francis)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00    
4  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Dec13 Nov27 Oct11 Sep15 Sep07 (mazza joseph )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
5  BARBARESCO BABY Dec24 Nov03 Oct26 Oct04 Sep08 (spanabel k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TARIBA DREAM Dec21 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 2.50    
7  LITTLE CARLEY Dec24 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Sep08 (kutt don)RODRIGUEZ O 122 20.00    
SCR  BLACK AND SILVER Dec13 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 8.00    
SCR  THATSTHEWAYITIS Nov25         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
10  LUNA AMARILLA Sep23 Sep04 Aug12 Jul20 May03 (marrero nestor)HESS SARA 115 8.00 23% 3.40    
11  STARSHIP RELIANT Nov27         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
12  DREAMING OF CARLI Dec22 Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 122 3.50 ★    
13  DON'T TELL AMY Dec24 Dec05 Nov16 Oct06 Aug16 (cordero anto)BATISTA A 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-9   01/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELASTBULLETSMINE Feb14 Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 Oct13 (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  HOPESNDREAMS Dec24 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
3  RUNAWAY DIVA Sep22 Aug15 Jul27 Apr07 Mar15 (hemingway miche)CENTENO E 119 12.00    
4  SCARLET POPPY (IRE) Dec14 Oct25 Aug31 Jul27 Jun28 (ward a)EGAN DAVID 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  SWEET LAURA Dec04 Oct08 Sep20 Aug25 Jul26 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIMELESS ROSE Aug21 Jun20 Apr13 Mar17 Jan31 (granitz antho)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 ★    
7  KATIES A LADY Dec18 Nov23 Oct18 Sep04 Aug16 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
8  HEAVEN RULES Dec24 Nov23 Oct21 Oct18 Sep20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00    
9  NO NO NO NEVER (IRE) Nov10 Oct01 Apr05 Mar03 Jan28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE Aug09 Jul11 May23 Apr24 Mar09 (sancal m)GALLARDO A 119 20.00    
SCR  CHEM MAJOR Dec27 Dec18 Oct15 Apr24 Mar13 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
SCR  GIN GIN May03 Apr06 Mar02 Jan13 Nov25 (cox h)MORALES PABLO 119 0.60    
13  VICTORIA'S DANCER Dec14 Nov23 Oct17 Sep20 Aug17 (avila car)REYES LEONEL 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.