Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/6)-(4/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (9/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/1/6)-(4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/6)-(4/8/9)-(5/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/9)-(4/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/9)-(4/8/9)-(4/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/9)-(5/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9)-(5/9/1)-(6/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/1)-(5/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/1)-(5/9/1)-(5/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/9/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(7/4/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(7/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(7/4/8/9)-(3/6/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/9)-(3/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/9)-(3/6/7/2)-(10/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(10/3)-(1/4/5/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (10/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/3)-(10/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (10/3)-(1/4/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FG-10   WIN (1/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKSALOT Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Aug29 Jul30 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
2  BLUSHING BONNIE Oct06 Aug02       (tracy tann)ALBERT S 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROGUE DIAMOND Oct19 Aug22       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  CIGARS N CARS Nov24 Sep05 Aug17     (jeansonne )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  SEVILLA Nov02 Oct11 Aug16 Aug01 Jun24 (gutierrez fa)TORRES A 117 3.50    
 
FG-2   12/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND COUNTRY Nov07 Oct17 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  STRUMMIN MARY Jun18 Jan05 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 (zeringue w)ALBERT S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KRAFTY TAFFY Sep24 Jul26 Jun29 May25 May08 (peterson jes)MURRAY M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SASSI JOLIE Aug09 Jun15       (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 3.00    
5  DRAMA QUEENIE Sep19 Sep01 Aug15 Aug02   (simpson da)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 4.50    
6  RED REVENGER Aug24         (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
7  CLASSIC DEAL Oct29 Jul16       (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
FG-3   12/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABLED RULER Oct12 Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Nov23 Oct30 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00    
SCR  IMPLICATOR Nov23 Nov02 Jun21 May14 Mar22 (ramirez-r)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00    
4  SILENT POWER Oct30 Oct12 Aug24 Jul19 May30 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
SCR  DIAMOND DAVE Aug20 Jul06 Nov04 Sep30 Aug05 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
6  ROOSTER RUN Sep10 Jun05 Feb10 Dec14 Nov23 (munoz yovani)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARLIE'S CREED Oct12 Jul19 Jun21 May17 Apr19 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
8  EGO Nov01 Sep26 Sep09 Aug24 Aug09 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
9  GUITAR BOY Nov02 Sep25 Sep09 Jul31 Jul04 (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
FG-4   12/05/2024 4950ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE BLUE SKY Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Sep22 Jul02 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Sep16 Aug03 Jun24 Jun12 May11 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Sep24 Aug10 May24 Mar24 Feb22 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00    
4  DIFFERENTLY Oct28 Sep26 Aug20 Jun24 May28 (delacruz m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  XCARET Nov21 Nov01 Aug25 Feb15 Dec06 (guillory h)ALBERT S 120 8.00    
6  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Oct19 Oct10 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
7  DASHYNS DREAM Oct30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul04 May25 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
8  MISS DISTINCTIVE Nov22 Oct17 Aug22 Aug10 Jul31 (ramirez-r)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
9  START SINGING Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 Jun18 Jun07 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
FG-5   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF PAGE Nov09 Jun28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec02 (rubin donald)MCMAHON J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRONT AND SILVER Nov09 Oct26 Sep02 Aug15 Aug02 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
3  OURS AND THEIRS Sep26 May20 May07 Mar10 Feb10 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
4  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Sep10 Aug23 Aug10 Jun28 May08 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00    
5  COUNTRY LADY Sep25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun07 Apr26 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
6  MISS KENNEDY Sep24 Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 May07 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 10.00    
SCR  LAKE MARIE Nov24 Jul25 Jun05 Mar14 Feb25 (munoz yovani)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00    
SCR  VALE MALE Nov23 Mar24 Mar02 Feb03 Dec09 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
9  DROP DEAD SEXY Sep25 Jul09 May10 Mar14 Feb10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
FG-6   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PESO PESADO Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 May08 Apr19 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OTRA COSA Nov06 Oct23 May04 Apr10 Feb03 (larrosa ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 8.00    
3  YOUNG TUSCAN Jul18 Jun10 May22 Mar14 Aug21 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  PRODIGY PARADISE Oct23 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Feb16 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Nov16 Oct23 Aug26 Aug15 Jul26 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
6  MAGAWILDTIME Oct30 Oct11 Sep11 Aug23 Aug03 (degeyter )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  DREWMAZING Oct23 Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
8  ORDER UP Oct16 Aug23 Jul18 Jun29 May18 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00    
 
FG-7   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER JACK Oct30 Oct19 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 114 12.00    
SCR  CALICOCO Aug02 Jul06 Mar23 Mar02 Jan13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
3  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Oct11 Aug16 Jul30 Jul06 Jun01 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 119 12.00    
4  ORLEANS TOURIST Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 May30 May03 (marechal merlin)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  HOUSE BOURBON Oct19 Sep25 Aug14 Jun13 May22 (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00    
SCR  DEER CROSSING Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar14 Feb08 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 119 3.50    
7  REAL CITY SPEED Sep23 Apr13 Mar14 Jan13 Dec09 (larrosa ju)MARQUEZ L 119 5.00 66% 0.50    
8  COFFEE COUNTY Jul11 May31 Apr19 Mar06 Feb08 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SYVESTAR Nov24 Sep11 Aug12 Jul06 May04 (wilson shane)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-8   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPER'S HOOLEY Nov07 Sep21 Mar13 Jun17   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
2  SMART N INTUITIVE Sep26 Aug30 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COMANCHE WARRIOR Aug09 Jul05 May09 Apr24 Dec30 (terre david)COHEN DAVID 117 4.00 56% 0.80    
4  OVER AND OLLIE Nov10 Oct09 Aug31 Jul12 Jun16 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
5  PESO IN MY POCKET Sep11 Aug14 Jun11 Feb23 Feb02 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
6  PREMIUM Oct23 Sep11 Jul30 Jun26 May29 (hargrave )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 21% 3.70    
7  CRAKEN JAX Jun01 May10 Mar09 Jan04 Dec07 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCKY ROMANCE Nov03 Sep29 Sep07 Aug04 Jun23 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 118 6.00    
SCR  LIKE THIS Oct17 May04 Apr18 Mar09 Feb17 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
 
FG-9   12/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Nov15 Oct29 Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 (delany sarah)PARKER L 118 20.00    
SCR  DUMBSTRUCK Sep26 Aug14 Jul12 Jun06 Apr25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00    
3  CAT ON TIME Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 Aug20 Jul18 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 May23 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50    
5  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 Aug07 Jul26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
6  COASTAL DEFENSE Sep30 Sep20 Aug06 Jun22 May06 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
SCR  CAROOM Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 Apr17 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
SCR  SABI Oct16 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jun02 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  EL PERFECTO Nov22 Sep26 Aug14 Jun07 May10 (claire alexi)TORRES A 121 12.00    
10  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Oct17 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun20 (russell brit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
FG-10   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT TONITE Nov23 Nov02 Oct17 Sep22 Aug15 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  WHISKEY AND EASY Aug22 Jul11 May09 Mar24 Feb18 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
3  COME ON COME ON Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul26 (hirdes john)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
4  MOR JAZZ Nov14 Oct12 Sep24 Aug26 Aug08 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  CADILLAC COWBOY Nov16 Oct25 Oct02 Sep16 Aug27 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANMANCAN Sep18 Sep03 Jan12     (hartman c)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
7  BAD DECISIONS Nov02 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 Jul04 (cangemi da)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
8  TAP ON BY Nov23 Sep20 Aug30 Jun10 May26 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
9  MALIBU BRAD Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Oct03 Aug04 Jun16 May25 Mar16 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.