Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/7/10/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/1)-(3/7/10/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/1)-(3/7/10/2/11)-(7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/7/10/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/2/11)-(3/7/10/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/2/11)-(3/7/10/2/11)-(3/7/10/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/10/2/11)-(7/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/10/2/11)-(7/2/9)-(6/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/9)-(7/2/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/9)-(7/2/3/9/4)-(7/2/3/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/9)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/3/2/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2/9)-(6/7/5/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(6/3/2/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(6/3/2/12)-(11/12/8/7/3) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/3/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/12)-(6/3/2/7/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/12)-(6/3/2/7/12)-(6/3/2/7/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/12)-(11/12/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/12)-(11/12/8/7/3)-(3/11/12/7/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (11/12/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/8/7/3)-(11/12/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/8/7/3)-(11/12/8/7/3)-(11/12/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/12/8/7/3)-(3/11/12/7/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/11/12/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/12/7/2)-(3/11/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/12/7/2)-(3/11/12/7/2)-(3/11/12/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING GIRL Sep23         (davis jos)CORREA L 121 20.00    
SCR  JUMPIN JOLENE Aug29 Aug21 Aug07     (haran j)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
ANNIE EXPRESS Sep23 Aug29       (west m)PARKER L 121 10.00    
GOODY TWO SOCKS Sep17 Aug29       (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
RUNWAY STAR Sep17 Aug29 Jul17     (garcia gen)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SAINT         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
INCLUSIVE JUSTICE         (granitz antho)FLACO ARCELIO 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
FOCACCIA Sep17 Aug29 Aug07     (mullins scott )ROMAN A 121 4.50    
PETER'S DREAM Sep23 Jul17 Jun27 Jun11   (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00    
 
IND-2   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOSSIER Sep03 Aug06 Jul06 Jun19 Jun08 (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAY Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 May04 Aug09 (mullins scott )ROMAN A 119 10.00    
BINGE Sep16 Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 Jul11 (davis jos)CORREA L 119 3.00 61% 0.60    
MIKIE O'PRADO Sep26 Sep03 Aug03 Jul11 Jun11 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 121 5.00    
MR NEGATIVITY Sep23 Sep06 Aug13 Jul29 Jun11 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
GOOD SUGAR Sep26 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul31 (haran j)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
SHIPSHAPE Sep10 Aug20 Aug08 Jun27 Jun18 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
ORO AZTECA Sep16 Sep05 Aug13 Jul03 Jun11 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
 
IND-3   10/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($40.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN SWAGGER Aug12         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
MO TOWN JAZZ         (deegan c)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN VISION Sep09 Aug05       (cox bra)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
STARGAZZERS DREAM Sep05 Aug12 Jul17     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
ROARING JUSTICE Aug28         (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
PROBATIONER Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun14 (caramori cai)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
MISSION IMPROBABLE Sep25 Jul02 Jun05     (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
FINANCIAL WHIZ Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 Jun19 May09 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 122 12.00    
TIZ A SHOWDOWN Sep11 Aug18       (baker james)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50    
10  INFINITE LUCK         (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 15% 5.50    
11  DOGWOOD CROSSING Sep10 Aug07       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-4   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27.88K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERCY OTIS Sep19 Aug25 Jul21 Jun22   (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
EVALINA Sep21         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
MAX'S REDEMPTION         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
RYZEN         (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 12.00    
HONEY GIRL RUBIA Sep26 Sep04       (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 121 30.00    
MADAME MARKIEVICZ Sep21         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
VIRAL PLANE LADY Sep04 Aug10       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.40 48% 1.10    
HONEYBEEBOBBIE Aug25 Jul21       (gonzal)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 30.00    
I'M A TRAVELLER         (beckman whit)ROMAN A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-5   10/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29.92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE NEAT Sep12 Aug26 Jul20 May29 Apr13 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
BRIGHT SPARK Sep26 Jan27 Jan13 Dec02 Nov10 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUPREME LEADER (GB) Sep12 Sep01 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (silva miguel)PEREZ E 120 15.00    
CABALLO FELIZ Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 Jun18 May23 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 10.00    
BACKYARD JUSTICE Sep16 Aug22 Jun26 Jun10 May08 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 12.00 6% 15.40    
PERUVIAN LUCKY Aug19 Jun25 Jun04 May13 Mar21 (gerteisen)CORREA L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
PICO D'ORO Sep04 Aug19 Jul19 Jun16 Jun05 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
MY BROTHER KEITH Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 Jul20 Jun23 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
WISSAM SHARAF Sep26 Sep04 Jul29 Jul09 Jun17 (gonzalez lil)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
10  FIERCE ASSAULT Aug22 Jul29 Jul02 May21 Mar15 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 122 30.00    
11  FAST FALL Sep08 Jun24 May05 Jan04 Dec11 (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
12  TRANSCENDENTAL Jul07 Jun01 May26 Mar04 Dec06 (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SCENIC JUSTICE Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 May22 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00    
 
IND-6   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VORTEX EXPRESS Sep16         (herrell ron )CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of POLAR VORTEX by JOHAR)
WICKED VETTE         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BUD'S LITTLE EDGE by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
ROYAL JUSTICE Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun11   (west m)PARKER L 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLDEN PIONEER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
LUNA LLENA Sep16         (garcia isr)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 20.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of PROUD MOVER by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  HAZEL MY CANDY Aug22 Aug01 Jul05     (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SPOOKY RIDGE Sep16         (langemeie)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of AMBERLY VILLAGE by FLATTER)
SCR  HOOSIER PROMISE Sep16         (granitz j)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GHOSTSTONE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DIRTY TALKER Aug29         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of POPPY'S DREAM by BROKEN VOW)
YOTOWIN         (haran john)ROMAN A 121 20.00    
  (by YORKTON out of POSITIONEDTOWIN by WELL POSITIONED)
10  GOLD DELIGHT         (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SHADES OF LIGHT by SOUVENIR COPY)
SCR  QUIBBLE Aug01 Jul05       (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 116 30.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of PRIZE WINNER by PURE PRIZE)
12  JUSTALOVETAP         (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
 
IND-7   10/07/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENFREW Sep16 Feb18 Jan06 Nov11 Sep27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMAZING PEYTON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
UME Sep16 Aug09 Jun18     (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
ONDA BRAVA Aug26 Jul20 Jun08 Dec27 Nov17 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
STAR WATCH Sep11         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MUNCHKIN MONEY by FREUD)
HOLD MY HALO Sep16 Jul22       (miller )DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MODENA BAY by VOLKSRAAD)
MIA MARCELA Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 Nov17 Sep27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DIAL HOME May25 Apr25 Mar23     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of LENAWEE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
ELHUBOOB Sep16 Aug25 Jun29 Apr20   (walsh brendan )ROMAN A 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVING VINDICATION by VINDICATION)
QUALITY CREDIT Aug17 Feb17       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STOPCHARGINGMARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  INNOCENT NYGHT Sep16 Aug21 Jun26 May25 Sep28 (michael b)BEALMEAR C 115 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
11  MIYAKO Sep01 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 Apr25 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
12  U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Sep16 Aug21 Jul11 Jun06   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEEKING LUCK by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  POLYRHYTHMIC         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of JAZZMINEGEM by MINESHAFT)
SCR  PALMILLA'S BET Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun19 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 30.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
 
IND-8   10/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO SAY Aug10 Jun30       (medina rober)RAMOS D 118 30.00    
BALTIMORE HEART Sep17 Aug26 Aug10 Jul03 Jun05 (williamso)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEY MANDATE Dec23 Nov26 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
DOUBLEDOGJUSTICE Sep11 May13 Oct28 Oct11 Aug19 (paquette i)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 May18   (hughes g)PRESCOTT R 118 4.50    
MUCHO MOJO Sep12 Jun28 May25 May02 Mar23 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122 10.00    
GALLOPING D'ORO Jul16 Jun24       (walsh brendan )ROMAN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PUBLIUS Aug26 Aug10 Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 (foster )DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
MEMPHIS PHAROAH Sep19 Aug15 Jul24 May05 Apr06 (waltz bri)BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00    
10  TWIRLING TROILLET Sep26 Aug26 Aug10 Jul05 Jun23 (king l)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 12.00    
11  THREE ON THE TREE Sep12 Aug19 Jun30 May31 Apr30 (lovell michelle)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
12  ROYAL SALUTE Aug18 Jul15 Jun08 Sep30 Aug27 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  ROTARY DIAL Sep17 Aug15 Jun24 Jun12 May23 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.