Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/1/5)-(7/6/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(7/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(7/6/8/2)-(6/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/2)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/2)-(6/1/3)-(6/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/3/5/8)-(1/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/8)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/8)-(1/8/7)-(1/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(1/7/2)-(7/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(7/3/2)-(6/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(6/5/2/4)-(3/7/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-9   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4/9)-(6/5/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4)-(3/7/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-10   WIN (3/7/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/8/5)-(3/7/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/8/5)-(3/7/2/8/5)-(3/7/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKY BOY Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 May12 Apr21 (banks chri)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
SCR  MUSED (GB) May30 Apr27 Mar16 Feb15 Jan04 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
COUNTRY GUY Jul07 May05 Apr20 Mar16 Feb15 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Jun22 May25 May12 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
STAR KANOO Jun22 May18 Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HOPPIN JOHN Jul14 Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar29 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00    
MOHAAFETH Jul18 Oct08 Sep14 May22 May06 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 122 3.50    
 
HAW-2   07/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE SCOUT Jun30 Jun15 May20 Apr30 Jan13 (martinez a)FELIX E 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
LILY'S WOOFY Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 Apr13 Mar31 (randazzo ted)EMIGH A 124 3.00    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Jun30 Jun14 Apr27 Nov18 Sep09 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
SAMARITA Jun21 Jun01 May04 Apr10 Dec02 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
FIRST KITTEN Jun29 Jun18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   07/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  U S HONOUR NAP May26 May11 Apr20 Apr07 Nov18 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
BLOOMING GARDEN Jul06 May26 Apr28 Apr07 Nov11 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERFUMER Jun15 May26 Apr20 Mar31 Jan11 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 122 5.00    
PALHACO Jun27 Jun01 May18 May11 Apr20 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 May14 Apr27 (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
JIM AND JIM Jul11 Jun15 Jun08 May26 May05 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 22% 3.70    
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 May25 (zawitz joel)MOJICA O 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
JET FLIGHT Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 May04 Apr21 (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
HAW-4   07/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDIT SWANSON Jul18 Apr16 Mar23 Feb04 Jan04 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
TRY TRY AGAIN Jun30 Jun09 May18 May12 Apr21 (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Jul07 Jun09 May25 May12 Mar27 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Jul11 Jun15 May26 May03 Apr19 (simonovich )BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00    
SCR  CODE RUNNER Jul07 Apr17 Jan12 Dec09 Nov09 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 124 1.80    
AHEADOFTHEGAME Jul07 May18 May07 Aug26 Aug05 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 57% 0.70    
JEFF THE LION Jul07 Jun01 May04 Sep04 Aug06 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   07/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Lady Carey Turf Sprint Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CADENCIA Jun27 Jun09 Apr20 Apr07 Feb09 (morey e)FELIX E 124 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of TANGO TIME by DANEHILL DANCER)
LAURA'S CHARM Jun23 May26 Apr30 Feb08 Dec14 (kerrick lacy)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of QUALKRIS by MALIBU MOON)
RILEYS REDEMPTION Jun18 Apr08 Nov16 Nov09 Oct25 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EVANA by EVEN THE SCORE)
WIDE WEST (IRE) Jun22 Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Oct01 (baumgardner be)COA J 120 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DEER VALLEY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
AMERICAN STARLET Jun08 May18 Apr27 Sep02 Jun22 (kenneally ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BOLDY by FOREST WILDCAT)
OEUVRE Jun16 May19 Apr13 Mar23 Feb13 (block chris)MOJICA O 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
FACCIA BELLA Jul06 Jun09 May04 Feb10 Jan21 (block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of WEST KENTUCKY by YANKEE VICTOR)
MOONLIT LADY Jul06 Jun09 May16 Apr12 Mar24 (gutierrez faus)COLON H 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DIPLOMAT LADY by FORESTRY)
DARING DO May24 Apr18 Oct06 Jul16 May28 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
 
HAW-6   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIE BIRD Jun22 Jun16       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 1.40 36% 1.70    
  (by BUCCHERO out of TAKE WING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
C V SHACKLES May30 Mar16 Feb07     (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
MY LAST ESCAPADE         (slager mike)LOPEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
SCR  LA PERFECT BEE Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02   (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 124 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
CRUZIN N CURSIN Jul07         (lindsay rick)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of TARGARYEN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  CLASSIC RICHIE Jul09 Jun14       (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MY SAVING GRACE by SUPER SAVER)
GOOD YEGG Jul07         (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of CUPID'S BEST by POSSE)
C SUITE BOY         (morey e)FELIX E 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of BOSWORTHY by UNCAPTURED)
 
HAW-7   07/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 GOOD Robert Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIMER Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 Jun01 Sep10 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
COMISKEY PARK Jun22 May27 Apr16 Mar30 Dec31 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  FIT TO FLY Jul07 Oct13 Aug16 Jun24 May31 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIMONO by BERNARDINI)
MONEY WAR Jun13 May07 May09     (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MONEY QUEEN by E DUBAI)
SCR  MISTER MMMMM Jul05 May27 May04 Mar16 Feb25 (sharp joe)FELIX E 122 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CELEBRATED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  NOBALS Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 May06 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Jun08 Feb17 Dec02 Oct15 Sep02 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAHNA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MARK OF THE Z Apr19 Oct15 Jun21 Apr22 Apr08 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
  (by ZULU MAGIC out of KATIE FIRST by PREDECESSOR)
CYCLONE ATTACK May25 Nov14 Sep12 Jul30 Jun15 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 30.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ZIP BABY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
 
HAW-8   07/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON TEDDY Jun22 May19 May04 Apr21 Mar31 (reyes martin)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
ALPINE GHOST Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May26 May12 (rodriguez j)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00 6% 16.40    
ALYANAABI Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 May28 May18 (lynch e)MOJICA O 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
DEMAND RANSOM Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May19 (hughes ear)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
SCR  THE GEEK Jul07 Dec10 Oct28     (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
IDEA MAN Jul11 Jun22 May26 May12 Dec02 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
MAQAMAT Jul11 Jun04 May26 Apr28 Apr13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 1.40 46% 1.20    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02 May19 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
 
HAW-9   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INFINITE (ARG) Jun21 Apr26 Jan27 Sep05 Apr09 (ward a)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00    
GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul13 Oct03 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 18.80    
KENNESAW Jun22 Jun02 Aug06 Jul16 Jul05 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 15.00    
RIVZONAROLL Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May25 May04 (rodriguez jos)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DINOS DIXIE Dec03 Nov23 Oct28 Sep23 Sep03 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
TIGHTROPE Jun22 Apr17 Aug10 Jun22 May15 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
THREEFIFTYSEVEN Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr19 Apr04 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00    
SCR  PARKLAND Jan12 Dec21 Nov13 Oct19 Sep07 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
DRAGON DREW Jul13 Jun22 Mar28 Mar09 Feb22 (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL Jun15 May26 May04 Apr16 Nov10 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
11  PINBALLER Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May11 Apr13 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
12  A P BLAZING GREEN Jul18 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr13 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
SCR  ROBO MAN Jul13 Jun12 May16 Jan27 Dec31 (mcgovern )BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
SCR  PADDY'S HOUSE Jul03 Jun12 May30 May07 Mar21 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-10   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIFF Jul06 Jun15 Jun08 May19 Apr14 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
GRAYTANA Jul06 Jun07 May17 Apr26 Sep17 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
GET THE CANDY Jul21 Jun08 May19 Feb07 Jan13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.40 32% 2.20    
BALI BABY Jul06 Jun30 May04 Apr27 Oct24 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
ADIVA Jun30 Jun08 May25 May03 Mar22 (haran john)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELLIE DELI Jun30 Jan26 Dec30 Oct05 Sep13 (rodriguez jos)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
RAMBERT Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May19 Dec28 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
SUMMER DAY Jun23 Jun02 May12 Aug31 Jul30 (mitchell anthon)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 6% 15.50    
APRIL'S GEM Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May12 Apr07 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.