Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (7/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/4)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/4)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(4/1/3/6)-(6/10/7/9/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/6)-(6/10/7/9/3)-(4/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/10/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/9/3)-(6/10/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/9/3)-(6/10/7/9/3)-(6/10/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/5/2/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/7/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2/4)-(6/7/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2/4)-(6/7/5/2/4)-(6/7/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cincinnatian Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL DIAMOND Jun10 May29 May08 Apr22 Oct10 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
1A  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jun07 May22 Apr22 Aug12 Jul22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
1B  FEELING EASY Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 Nov30 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
1X  TIERNEY Jun12 May22 Nov30 Oct10 Sep21 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
HISTORYINTHEMAKING Jun18 May29 Feb21 Feb07 Dec28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 10.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Jun12 May29 May13 Apr22 Apr10 (poole m)BRACHO A 116 6.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
DANZANITEAWAY May24 May15 May02 Feb07 Jan22 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
GREEN LADY (IRE) May31 May11       (drury jr)MCKEE J 116 4.50 21% 3.90    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
MIZ KEETA Jun19 May28 May06 Mar25 Sep04 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 4.00 21% 3.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
LIPSTICK N LASHES May31 May11 Apr25 Feb14 Jan17 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 116 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
 
BTP-2   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO GOLD Nov09 Oct23 Sep20 Aug24 Aug09 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 30% 2.40    
GAPPER Jun07 May04 Apr27 Feb03 Jan12 (baez sergio)COLON H 117 1.60    
CHECK THE FACTS Jun12 May31 May18 Dec07 Nov22 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
TIER ONE Jun12 May14 May09 Nov29 Nov14 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
BLAZING BURROUGHS Sep20 Aug26 Aug09 Jul29 Jul08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUBY LAYNE Jun10 May20 Jan11 Jan05 Dec06 (fletcher kevin)HESS SARA 118 4.50    
SCR  K S GERALDINE Jun14 Nov13 Oct28 Sep15 Aug29 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 123 5.00    
MISS SOVELIA May31 May17 Mar29 Mar21 Feb21 (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
BAYTOWN ANGEL Jun16 May27 May12 Apr22 Oct23 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 6.00 10% 8.70    
ABIGAIL G Jun15 Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 Nov01 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00    
PARTAKE May29 Mar29 Nov12 Oct10 Sep07 (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50    
PATRIETTIC Jun14 May16 Apr23     (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
BTP-4   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPREAD THE RISK May26 Apr28 Feb18 Jan21 Dec16 (ewing ann)MCKEE J 120 2.00 9% 10.40    
ROYAL ITCH Jun14 May23 May16 May03 Apr23 (wilson david )SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.50    
MISS MO MESA Apr12 Mar16 Feb10     (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 6.00 8% 11.40    
ROYAL HONEY         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 3.50 57% 0.80    
KENTE KLARKE Jun14 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 Jan04 (jones phil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 12.00    
FLAT OUT FAY Jun14 Jun06 Dec27 Nov29 Nov13 (aguirre juan )ORANTES CESAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Jun17 May29 May14 Dec23 Dec11 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 4.00    
 
BTP-5   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIKEM Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 (shetron phyll)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50    
PRINCESSTAPITURE May25 May11 Apr10 Feb17 Feb03 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
KING'S LEGACY Jun15 May25 May16 Apr26 Mar09 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
NAUGHTY NELLIE Jun15 May25 May04 Feb29 Feb03 (bends p)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
AFFICIONADO (FR) Jun14 Jun09 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00    
DICHOTOMY Jun15 May25 Oct03 Sep18 Sep06 (haehn terry)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00 36% 1.80    
LUCKY SHORE Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 Feb08 Dec27 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 125 5.00 8% 10.80    
ADDISON Jun15 Mar29 Mar09 Feb24 Feb07 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 12.00    
ZIGGZAPPA Jun15 May23 Apr25 Mar29 Feb24 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00 6% 16.30    
10  LUNAR ICE Jun15 Mar29 Mar13 Feb24 Jan17 (evans mic)CORREA L 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
11  GIN N SIN Jun04 May25 May10 Apr26 Apr10 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
12  CELESTIAL SPIN Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 Jan27 Jan06 (cristel j)NAVAS YOEL 123 20.00    
 
BTP-6   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON TAP May30 Apr24       (sims a)MOJICA JR 120 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PENNY by CITY ZIP)
ON THE CUFF Jun06 Dec28       (jones e)HESS SARA 120 4.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of OUR MATILDA by WOODMAN)
WHERE IS LISA Jun13 May23 Mar15 Mar02 Jan26 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of HAYLEY AGNES by REDEEMED)
EL GUNNER Jun13 May15 Apr25     (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 2.00 75% 0.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
WARRING THUNDER Jun13 May29 May15 Mar16 Feb23 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN May24 May11 Apr26 Mar14 Feb21 (raines lindse)SOSA LAUREANO 125 10.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of BECAUSEI'MWORTHIT by INDIAN EXPRESS (GB))
 
BTP-7   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE ENOUGH Jun08 May24 May16 Feb24 Jan27 (adams l)HESS SARA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NIGHT KISS Jun18 May20 May01 Jan27 Dec01 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 123 2.00    
MY ANGELICA Jun20 May25 May11 May03 Mar09 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOMITIA LUCILLA Jun01 Jan27 Jan06 Nov24 May30 (estvanko )CORREA L 125 6.00    
KAIYAS SONG Jun20 May16 May02 Apr22 Mar16 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
FOR THE BISCUIT Jun14 Jun06 Dec30 Dec12 Nov28 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 123 4.50 56% 0.80    
DR. BELLA Jun14 May11 Apr26 Mar29 Feb29 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
YOGURT Jun05 Jan03 Dec08 Aug30 Aug12 (short billy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
 
BTP-8   06/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAR Mar24         (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
GHOST PLAZA         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PALMILLA'S BET Jun19 Apr14 Feb10     (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
ALTER THE STARS Jun12 Feb24 Jan17 Dec22 Dec02 (suarez javi)JIMENEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of STARSHIP UNIVERSE by MINESHAFT)
MOONLIT MISCHIEF May25 Apr18 Oct23 Sep17 Nov25 (medina robert)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIANO by RUBIANO)
LAST LEGACY May31         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ALEXIS ROAD by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SALTY MAMA         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by PALACE out of SALTY WAVE by SALTY SEA)
KATNAPPING Jun12 May31 Oct07 Sep16   (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
BLOSSOM DIVA Jun12 May30 May18 Apr27 Mar06 (quezada inoce)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  CAUSE IMA ROSE Jun12 May08 Apr14 Feb24 Feb03 (guida ant)CORREA L 125 4.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
SCR  MISS TEN K Jan26 Dec23       (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.50    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.