Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(5/8/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(5/1/2)-(3/6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/10/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/9/1)-(3/4/10/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/9/1)-(3/4/10/9/1)-(3/4/10/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(1/3)-(5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT May14 Dec23 Dec11 Nov30 Nov05 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 119 3.50    
SCR  MISS PLA May11 Nov12       (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 6.00    
LAST CHANCE DANCE May16 Apr26 Mar22 Mar06 Feb24 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 39% 1.60    
ELORA May16 Apr26 Mar22 Feb22   (wittek karyn)MOJICA JR 119 2.50    
SECORD Apr26 Mar27 Feb23 Dec08 Nov18 (esquivel jesu)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00    
SCR  FABULOUS PHILLY May03 Apr25 Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 5.00    
 
BTP-2   05/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMPLEX CAT May14         (hernandez r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KITTERY POINT by INCLUDE)
SCR  TAKE FIVE CHARLIE         (ward a)FLORES R 119 6.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
BUEN SAMARITANO         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BIT OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
TRUTH N SOUL         (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
FORTISSIMO         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
MISCHIEF HUMOR May14 May01       (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 119 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of AKRIS QUEEN by ARCH)
LOVELY REGALO May09         (hernandez rey)LEBRON VICTOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LOVELY GIFT by MINESHAFT)
ED'S REWARD         (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
 
BTP-3   05/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUNDER May11 Mar31 Jan31 Jul07 Apr28 (van thomas)MCKEE J 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
FROOME (IRE) May04 Mar14 Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD SOUL May11 Apr26 Feb23 Jan18 Dec23 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
EL MIC TIESUN May05 Jan28 Jan12 Dec19 Sep20 (mardif james )SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
MY ROAD May18 May04 Feb29 Jan26 Aug11 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
ROYALLY BITTER May11 Mar15 Feb28 Mar31 Mar17 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 123 3.00    
 
BTP-4   05/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALCONS FURY May10 Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 Jan05 (ocasio osvald)PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00    
CONTROLLER Jan01 Dec18 Nov30 Nov09 Sep27 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
CASUAL ATTIRE Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Sep20 Aug26 (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
AZURE SKY May15 Apr20 Dec22 Nov22 Oct13 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.00    
FLYING HOUDINI May05 Apr12 Mar30 Mar14 Feb16 (mardif james )LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
SARGEANT BARGER May16 Apr26 Mar22 Feb16 Jan18 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
ORESTES Sep29 Sep08 Aug06     (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   05/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LUCKY DAY Jan04 Dec13 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 (hernandez rey)LEBRON VICTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCAT SHACK May02 Apr14 Mar31 Dec06 Nov20 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00    
AUTHORITARIAN Dec16 Nov07 Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 5.00 45% 1.20    
JUANITA'S EXPRESS Mar16 Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Oct04 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
GOLDEN TEXT May15 Apr25 Mar20 Feb29 Jan31 (clark lee)MURGIA A 121 20.00    
SCR  COUNTY COURT May17 May02 Mar16 Mar02 Feb07 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 121 20.00    
IN HONOR OF ARTIE May04 Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Dec01 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 30.00    
MOON CHARGER May16 Apr25 Mar28 Feb28 Feb14 (alvarez ner)JIMENEZ J 117 20.00    
JOE PHILLIPS May10 Mar30 Mar07 Feb10 Jan25 (west m)COLON H 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Feb28 Dec15 Oct13 Aug26 Jun16 (van thomas)MCKEE J 121 12.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  NOT YET CHARLIE Apr26 Mar20 Feb21 Feb07 Jan04 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
12  INDOCUMENTADO Dec13 Nov29 Oct26 Oct03 Sep15 (jurado luis)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Mar09 Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 Dec02 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 116 4.50    
SCR  COLBALOAF Mar30 Mar20 Mar02 Feb09 Dec21 (esquivel jesu)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50    
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 Jan03 Dec14 (kordenbrock ma)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
SCR  MR CLINE May10 Aug18 Jul19 Jun15 May30 (cline c)BUSH V 121 10.00    
 
BTP-6   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIRSILS FIRST Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 Feb03   (mardif james )LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
CENTENARY May15 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
LASERJET Apr30 Apr11 Mar16 Feb14 Feb03 (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
ANN KOR Sep23 Aug15 Aug04 Jul08 Dec22 (manning j)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
LITURGIA May09 Apr25 Mar29 Feb29 Feb01 (alessi james)HESS SARA 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
ITSABLINGTHING May02 Apr10 Jan31 Dec19 Nov16 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
SUFFICE Mar15 Nov13 Aug27 Aug02 Jul09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 11% 8.20    
 
BTP-7   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Jan25 Jan04 Dec07 Dec08 Nov21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 1.80 64% 0.60    
GRAN ROJO May09 May31 Oct20 Sep14 Aug16 (jordan rick)ZONETT KEYNER 125 6.00    
JUNE GLOOM May09 Apr23 Jun07 May04 Apr14 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
FRISCO LINE Aug12 Jul26 Jul05 Apr27 Mar30 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 3.50    
FIGHTVILLE Apr29 Mar20 Mar01 Jan30 Jan07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.00    
 
BTP-8   05/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAST HORIZONS May02         (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SKY MY SKY by BERNARDINI)
WARRING THUNDER May15 Mar16 Feb23     (alessi jam)BATISTA X 123 12.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
FIVE HUNDRED         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CITI CHARISSE by CITIDANCER (IRE))
SCR  HAVEGUNSWILLTRAVEL May04         (dalton michelle)MURGIA A 123 20.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RED CITY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
HAROLD'S JOY Apr24 Mar01       (morey e)MCKEE J 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
STEEL LINK Apr19 Mar01 Dec22 Jun17   (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
HIGH RANSOM May04 Mar15       (mardif james )SOSA LAUREANO 123 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of MAIRSIL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  S J MATER Apr24 Apr17 Sep11 Aug15 Jul21 (west m)COLON H 123 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PUNKY B by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  EL GUNNER May15 Apr25       (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
SCR  HAPPY TAILS TO YOU         (orantes r)MCKEE J 123 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HELLO EVERYBODY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.