Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - April 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/2)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/2)-(1)-(2/3/6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(2/3/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/7/3/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(2/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/4/5)-(3/4/1/2/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/9/7/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/4/5)-(2/9/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/4/5)-(2/9/7/4/5)-(2/9/7/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/7/4/5)-(3/4/1/2/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/4/5)-(3/4/1/2/12)-(8/3/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/4/1/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2/12)-(3/4/1/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2/12)-(3/4/1/2/12)-(3/4/1/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2/12)-(8/3/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2/12)-(8/3/1/2)-(8/4/9/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/2)-(8/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   04/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALINE Apr08 Mar13 Feb20 Apr12 Mar29 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
ZUMURUDEE Apr08 Mar13 Dec18 Aug16 Jul22 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Apr17 Mar27 Feb20 Jan15 Dec03 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
FRISCO KID Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb20 Jan29 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 6% 14.70    
SHARP WARNING Mar25 Feb26 Jan30 Dec18 Oct20 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Apr22 Mar25 Mar14 Feb23 Feb02 (christian)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Apr08 Mar13 Feb20 Nov17 Aug09 (hernandez miguel)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-3   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEWEL AZUL Apr11 Mar19 Feb27 Jan31 Aug12 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
LOTSA LACE Apr15 Mar19 Feb26 Aug26 Aug06 (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLY ZAGS Mar06 Feb19 Jan05 Nov24 Oct23 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00    
SCR  DUST MAKER Apr02 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov12 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Apr11 Mar25 Mar04 Feb06 Jan04 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
LORRAINE'S LEGACY Mar19 Jan03 Dec22 Oct19 Aug24 (gangidino lisa)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
 
TUP-4   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALLY STANFORD Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 May14 Nov21 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FEEL FREE Mar11 Feb15 Jan31 Dec04   (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
CAPO SORELLA Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 Dec03 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
HEAVENLY VIOLET Apr10 Apr02 Mar21 Feb20 Feb06 (williams dewey)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Apr10 Mar21 Dec10 Dec02 Sep25 (lawrence h)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Apr04 Mar25 Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
LOTSA LOU Apr10 Mar21 Feb26 Feb07 Mar25 (person kenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED GRANT Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 Sep17 Sep09 (birdwel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
BIYOMBO Apr04 Mar26 Feb15 Dec12 Jul31 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
INCREDIBE MO Apr03 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 Jan05 (whitehouse wilt)CRUZ M 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
IMISSBAYMEADOWS Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 Nov05 Oct15 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
INNOCENT MAN Apr18 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29 Nov09 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUBITO SLEW Apr02 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 May28 (koler steve)MAWING A 124 12.00    
WESTERBERG Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 Feb21 Feb05 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
TUP-6   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A THOUSAND DREAMS Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 Sep23 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 12.00    
CRIMINAL RECORD Mar18 Feb22 Nov11 Nov01 Sep13 (asprino alfre)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 May05 Apr01 (weaver gordon)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
COME CORRECT Apr08 Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 Oct22 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
LILLY CHROME Apr16 Feb19 Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
METAROSE Apr10 Mar20 Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Apr10 Mar26 Feb29 Feb06 Jul08 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
TIZ FOR REAL Apr10 Mar19 Feb15 Dec12 Oct18 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
BORN TO REIGN Apr10 Mar19 Feb06 Oct18 Sep27 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
10  REALREALGOOD Mar20 Mar05 May06 Mar14 Feb01 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   04/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHAIKY'S COMMAND Feb28 Feb06 Jan13 Dec10 Oct08 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jul09 Jul01 May06 Apr17 Mar07 (simpson shann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
RUN SNAPPY Feb13 Jul04 Jun10 May13 Jan17 (uranga j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
DARNQUICK Apr10 Mar21 Feb28 Jun04 Jan27 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
NUMEROLOGIST Apr10 Feb29 Dec18 Nov21 Oct21 (denniso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
ECONOMICAL Apr04 Mar19 Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 (whitehouse wilt)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  POPS AWESOME Apr16 Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Aug16 Jul03 Jun24 May27 May05 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
BEDROCK (GB) Apr09 Mar21 Mar13 Feb12 Nov14 (homer jason)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00    
SCR  PRIME EXAMPLE Apr09 Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 Jun03 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
11  SO CAL MEMORY Apr18 Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 Jul08 (cruz omar)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00    
12  CHUCK NAZTY Apr09 Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTPORT CAPTAIN Apr15 Mar14 Dec01 Nov09 Aug13 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
I AM FREAKY FAST Mar21 Feb22 Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR. CAPTAIN JACK Apr15         (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
BRAVO KOLT Apr03 Oct28 Oct22 Oct07 Sep02 (johnson d)IRONEYES R 117 20.00    
CRYSTAL BANDIT Mar12 Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 (or)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
ORTH Apr03 Mar06 Feb12 Feb01 Dec04 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
FLEET OF FLAGS Apr15 Mar19 Feb27 Feb06 Jan12 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
GODSEND (GB) Apr04 Feb05 Jan13 Aug11 Jul04 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BEER BEGONE Oct08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (evans justin)REYES R 116 8.00    
 
TUP-9   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH ANGEL Dec01 Nov10 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 (evans justin)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GODDESS OF WAR Mar11 Feb19 Jan31 Dec31 Apr01 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
CHARMANT E Apr18 Mar20 Feb26 May06 Mar04 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Apr08         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
HOT LAVA CAKE Apr17 Apr04 Feb18     (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Feb26 Jan31 Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
NANG SINGHA Jun03 Jun10 Apr10 Mar12 Jan02 (hone bart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
STARDUST DREAMS Apr10 Feb22 Jan31 Apr01 Mar12 (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SHE'S MY NIECE Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 Jan01 Nov18 (ortiz man)IRONEYES R 111 4.00 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.