Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-4   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (8/2/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (9/8/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-9   Win (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-10   Win (6/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-4   04/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST EMERALD Apr18 Apr10 Mar21 Feb26   (christian billy)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00    
X RAY VISION Mar19 Feb15 Dec12 Nov28 Sep22 (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 1.80 45% 1.20    
ROSES FOR SUZZETT Apr18 Apr09 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
BONITA DIXIE Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 Feb07 Sep09 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Apr09 Mar11 Feb21 Feb06 Jan12 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
MISS JOANNIE Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Feb21 Feb07 (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   04/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A MAN'S MAN Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 Sep17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
DISCRETIONARY DAY Apr09 Mar21 Mar12 Feb15 Jan14 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
EL JOY Apr15 Apr06 Mar17 Feb24 Jan12 (tamayo isidro)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Feb03 Dec17 (essex charles)RADKE K 122 6.00    
LAST MARTINI Apr09 Feb22 Oct25 Aug30 Jul23 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
SHOT OF A LIFETIME Apr09 Mar22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec09 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
IL CAPITANO (GB) Apr16 Mar27 Feb21 Feb05 Jan13 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLANDS Mar04 Dec29 Nov24 Sep19   (miller peter)CORBETT W 116 3.50    
COASTLINE HOTTIE Apr03 Feb27 Feb01 Mar26 Mar11 (sepi)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
SINGLE LADY Apr03 Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 Sep25 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Apr21 Feb15 Jan12 Nov04 Sep30 (miller peter)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
UNA PALABRA Feb01 Nov25 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
STREET SHADOW Apr03 Mar11 Nov24 Mar11 Feb11 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
LOCK IT DOWN Apr03 Feb29 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
STARLET COLE Mar28 Feb01 Aug27 Aug12 Jul17 (kenney ry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO MORE SHOTS Feb28 Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 Sep16 (soto antoni)IRONEYES R 116 20.00    
TRACK ROBBER Mar28 Mar18       (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 12% 7.40    
CAPALA Apr03 Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05 (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 20.00    
HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Apr15 Apr03 Mar16 Feb23 Jan27 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 5.00 6% 16.90    
COY ROY         (essex charles)REYES R 121 8.00    
SCR  SUNSET STORM Mar17 Feb02 Dec30 Dec01   (bourdieu martin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
BUDDY'S PAL         (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 121 10.00    
NOW N LATER GATOR Mar28         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
DAVID'S FAITH Apr03 Mar26 Mar12 Feb05 Nov13 (lund valorie)PENA BRYAN 121 20.00    
10  POWERIZED Jan07 Dec09 Jun18     (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
11  A LOT OF VERVE Apr03         (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER BY HIS TAIL Apr03 Mar19 Oct11 Sep04 Aug19 (barrio sergio)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ITS BIG Apr03 Mar18 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
BEL RAGAZZO Apr09 Mar25 Mar04 Feb14 Jan13 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
KIRBY DERBY Apr09 Mar26 Feb28 Feb20 Feb05 (tubbs scott)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Apr03 Mar18 Mar05 Feb21 Oct13 (bean a)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
BROOKYS TAPIT Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb14 Dec09 (evans justin)RADKE K 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Mar21 Mar04 Feb20 Feb09 Jan12 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
EAST RAND Apr09 Mar18 Feb22 Feb07 Jan31 (evans justin)REYES R 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
AVALON KING Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 (silva l)CRUZ M 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-9   04/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERSIDE Apr04 Feb20 Feb06 Jan25 Dec17 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
DEL MAR JERRY Dec30 Nov05 Oct09 Aug13 Jul21 (mccarthy micha)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.00    
SCR  BEER BEGONE Oct08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (evans justin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 15.00    
BUFFETT Apr10 Mar27 Feb24 Feb08 Dec29 (villamar ca)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BRADY BOY Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 Feb12 Jan01 (valerio g)CRUZ M 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
TEMPTED MISSION Aug28 Jul27 Jun16 Apr29 Apr05 (eikleberry kevin)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
BUGLER Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Jan29 Aug17 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
BUCK OWENS Apr05 Mar10 Jan26 Jan13 Dec09 (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-10   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACRODRA'S DEVIL Dec10 Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 (hurtado clemente)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
PANDEMIC GIRL Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 Nov26 Nov04 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
SMOKEMS TAPHOUSE Apr08 Mar21 Feb16 Jan19 Dec26 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S MOON Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 Jun17 (miller peter)MAWING A 124 4.00    
FLIPLIT Mar18 Feb07 Oct14 Jul22 Jul08 (whitehouse wilton)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
GYPSY WIFE Apr09 Mar06 Feb07 Nov14 Sep03 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
LAKER JET Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Oct14 (bean)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
LADY LANA Apr02 Mar18 Feb07 Dec10 Nov17 (vitali ma)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
INVINCIBELLA (GB) Apr11 Mar25 Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
10  MERINO WOOL Apr10 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.