Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (5/2/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3/8)-(5/2/7/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3/8)-(5/2/7/3/8)-(5/2/7/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3/8)-(1/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3/8)-(1/5/4)-(2/5/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/8)-(12/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/8)-(12/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/8)-(12/3/2)-(4/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (12/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/3/2)-(12/3/2/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/3/2)-(12/3/2/10/8)-(12/3/2/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/3/2)-(4/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (12/3/2)-(4/8/3)-(7/5/2/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(7/5/2/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(7/5/2/1/4)-(1/8/7/9/12) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-7   WIN (7/5/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1/4)-(7/5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1/4)-(7/5/2/1/4)-(7/5/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/1/4)-(1/8/7/9/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/1/4)-(1/8/7/9/12)-(3/8/1/6/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-8   WIN (1/8/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/9/12)-(1/8/7/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/9/12)-(1/8/7/9/12)-(1/8/7/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/9/12)-(3/8/1/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/8/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/6/10)-(3/8/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/6/10)-(3/8/1/6/10)-(3/8/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Mar08         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
SENOR VEGAS         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00 21% 3.70    
GAME AND GORMLEY         (castille carro)THORNTON G 118 15.00 5% 17.80    
BACK BAYOU Mar10 Feb15 Jan27 Dec30 Sep04 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 5.00    
YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov23   (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SLEW CITY HENRY Feb17 Dec29 Sep12 Sep03   (jarvis robert)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
BOSTON BLITZ Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Feb10 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
GRAN CHICO Mar22 Mar06 Feb01     (pomier devi)STOKES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAUCER EYES Mar10 Dec20 Oct18 Sep03 Aug20 (gomez rafael )LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00    
10  KEV MAN Mar15 Mar01 Feb17 Jan20   (williams ke)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 10.00    
SCR  WICKED PUNCHES Mar06 Feb09 Jan20 Dec19   (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 6.00    
 
EVD-2   04/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF OURS N STORMY Feb03 Jan04 Oct11 Aug13 Jul27 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Mar03 Feb13 Jan25 Dec30 Dec16 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
SCR  RELENTLESS DANCER Mar23 Feb29 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 3.50    
RISKTAKER Feb08 Dec28 Nov18 Oct18 Sep10 (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
WIN YA WIN Mar14 Feb18 Feb01 Dec21 Dec08 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 21% 3.70    
BETTABE BOURBON Jan25 Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Aug27 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
SCR  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Mar16 Feb12 Jan04 Nov17 Nov03 (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 8.00    
 
EVD-3   04/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDLAND KID Mar15 Feb23 Feb09     (shamsie rand)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00    
RED ROCK SOLUTION Mar15 Feb13 Dec21 Nov30   (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
TEMPLE OF PEACE Mar15 Feb24 Feb13 Jan27 Dec30 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 3.50    
AUTUMN ROB Feb08 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Aug29 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKING STAR Mar21 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
CANAL ST. CUPID Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
CONNECTIQUE Mar06 Feb01       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
BAD BRAD Mar22 Feb09       (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
 
EVD-4   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GEORGIA DAWN Apr11 Feb24 Feb03 Dec27 Nov25 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
DRE ME LESS Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Jan01 Oct25 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
BITSY C C LIL GIRL Feb24 Jan04 Nov17 Oct14 Jul27 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 117 10.00 10% 9.10    
SIMPLE SUNDAY Feb17 Jan06 Dec21 Dec09 Nov24 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 15.00    
COMMERCIAL FLASH Apr06 Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 Jan13 (terre david)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 29% 2.40    
A WISH FOR MADELYN Feb25 Feb09 Dec29 Nov18 Nov02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 26% 2.90    
BEAUTIFUL ENDING Jan15 Dec09 Oct13 Aug19 Jul27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 4.50    
CASHEW Feb10 Dec06 Nov03 Oct13 Aug03 (gelner scott)DEL-CID MARLON 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULL OF GLORY Feb01 Jan06 Nov24 Nov04 Jul30 (west henry)DEONAUTH P 123 12.00    
ALL OF US Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Apr06 Feb16 Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROLL ON OUT Feb23 Feb08 Jan20 Dec19 Dec01 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
CLASSIC RED RACER Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 Dec15 Nov15 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 20.00    
KIT KAT KIDD Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Dec20 Nov22 (knudsen kent)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
POINT AT YOU Apr06 Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Nov15 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
CUSTOM PRAYER Feb22 Dec14 Nov15 Oct18 Aug11 (ladner john )QUILES ANTONIO 120 8.00    
CARLOS' BLAST Feb16 Dec20 Nov24 Nov15 Oct18 (latour nichol)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
10  HOLIDAY DIAMOND Feb18 Jan28 May20 Mar01 Feb11 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 120 20.00    
11  SUNSET WAR Apr06 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
12  TIME TO MEDDLE Mar22 Feb29 Feb01 Dec17 Nov24 (terre david)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.50 72% 0.40    
 
EVD-6   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY THREE Mar10 Feb18 Jun11 May08 Mar03 (balderas alf)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
UNCLE BRAD Apr06 Feb16 Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 (ward ronnie)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 20.00    
MARTINIZED May20 Apr21 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (david b)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
HARDLY ABLE Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Dec07 Nov09 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
REAL ACTION Jan28 Nov30 Feb25 Jan21 Oct08 (briley lonnie)STOKES A 120 15.00    
MOTAWAAFEQ Dec16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 12.00    
CAJUN AMI Feb10 Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 1.80    
CHI TOWN HUSTLER Jan26 Jan04 Dec07 Dec10 Nov19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
EVD-7   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NERVY Mar22 Feb25 Feb08 Jan18 Dec03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00 8% 10.90    
COFFEE COUNTY Mar06 Feb08 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
RUN ON ACES Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 Dec07 Oct20 (perron gerar)BARRERA J 123 20.00    
PEANUT N IKE Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Oct20 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
I DON'T VENMO Apr05 Feb03 Jan26 Jan04 Dec09 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
ANDERS SMILE Feb02 Jan01 Dec02 Nov18 Feb24 (david b)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
PERRINS Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 Mar16 Feb24 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
THROWIN' SHADE Apr05 Mar22 Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
WOOD RIVER Feb23 Jan18 Nov04 Jun09 May05 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 10.00    
10  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Apr05 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec01 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
 
EVD-8   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGOFBROKENHEARTS Mar21 Jun17 May08 Mar22 Mar03 (mouton patrick)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.00 55% 0.80    
UP N GONE Mar21 Mar02 Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
MAGAWILDTIME Jan21 Dec08 Nov23 Apr21 Jan18 (cormier winston)STOKES J 120 20.00    
GUITAR DOCTOR Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 Dec07 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SUNDAY BREEZE Mar07 Jan27 Dec17 Oct24 Mar22 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 120 2.00    
SCR  MANLY DEEDS Feb10 Jan13 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
IRON IN THE FIRE Mar21 Feb22 Dec21 Mar01 Feb10 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec20 Dec09 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
FIELD OF VISION Mar03 Feb03 Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 (alfortish s)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BIND FAITH Feb18 Nov10 Oct18 Aug12 Jul07 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
11  DRILLING REPORT Feb24 Jan13 Jan01 Nov18 Jul07 (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
12  PESO PESADO Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-9   04/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONE STAR MAX Mar15 Jan18 Dec31 Dec16 Jun04 (balderas al)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 4.50 7% 13.30    
ROYAL DE BE Mar29 Feb16 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
CHARLIE'S CREED Mar08 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
HUMOR ME PLEASE Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Feb23 Feb03 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50    
LITTLE WARRIOR Mar20 Feb24 Feb15 Jan19 Dec29 (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
OUR HEATSEEKER Mar20 Feb04 Jan18 Jun03 Apr27 (david b)DEL-CID MARLON 115 15.00 6% 16.30    
SKY DINSKI Apr06 Feb24 Jan14 Nov24 Nov04 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
WINMOR WENDY Jan04 Dec06       (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
CALL ME FIREY Feb24 Feb15 Dec21 Dec01 Nov17 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
10  Z'S GUITAR Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 Oct14 Aug11 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.