Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(1/4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/4/2/7)-(6/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(6/1/3)-(1/7/2/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(1/7/2/12/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(1/7/2/12/6)-(3/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/7/2/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/12/6)-(1/7/2/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/12/6)-(1/7/2/12/6)-(1/7/2/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/12/6)-(3/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/12/6)-(3/6/2/5)-(5/1/3/4/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(5/1/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(5/1/3/4/9)-(2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-7   WIN (5/1/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4/9)-(5/1/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4/9)-(5/1/3/4/9)-(5/1/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4/9)-(2/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/4/9)-(2/4/6)-(1/8/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
GP-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   02/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE MARTINI Jan10 Dec17 Sep14 Aug16 Feb18 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 123 1.80    
2  ACQUIRED TASTE Jan21 Dec31 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (delgad)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  KINDNESS IS FREE Jan10 Dec28 Nov25 Nov03 Aug28 (silvestri rich)RIOS M 123 30.00    
4  APEROL SPRITZ Dec28 Dec08 Sep09 Aug19 Apr14 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
5  BREATH OF HEAVEN Jan10 Oct06 Sep06 Aug03 Jul20 (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 123 20.00    
6  GIRVACEOUS Nov11         (mongeon p)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  UNCAPTURED SKEET Jul14 Jul08 Jun18 May21   (campos bernar)MORALES ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
GP-2   02/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA FUTURE Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Oct22 Sep29 (cazares laur)ZAYAS J 121 4.50    
2  HEALS THE SOUL Jan20 Dec16 Nov17 Jul30 Jul14 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  DEVILS ONLY FRIEND Jan31 Dec29 Dec21 Sep16 Aug26 (ferris m)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
4  ROLLING ON Jan26 Dec21 Nov25 Oct22 Aug26 (crichton r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  ROYAL QUALITY Jan17 Dec10 Oct22 Sep08 Aug10 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
6  TAKECAREOFBUSINESS Jan28 Nov25 Oct22 Mar10 Feb02 (santiago joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE Feb11 Jan14 Dec24 Sep13 Aug12 (david a)JARAMILLO E 123 4.00    
 
GP-3   02/21/2024 7260ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A SURE THING Jan14 Dec17 Nov05 Oct12 Feb19 (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by LE HAVRE out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  BOLTORO Jan10 Dec17 Oct14 Sep07 Jul31 (vanden brit)EGAN DAVID 123 15.00 10% 8.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
3  VERSIFY Jan14 Aug29 Aug01 Jul05   (stormfelt juli)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HALO'S VERSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  DARK POOL Nov05 Oct05 Sep03 Aug05   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 21% 3.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  DIGITAL TRADE Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 Oct13 Sep03 (valery paul)PANICI LUCA 123 20.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of TRADE BALANCE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  TENACIOUS EMPRESS         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MEMENTO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  ANNA LUCIA Jan05 Oct05 Jul08 May24   (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
GP-4   02/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POURQUOI PAS (IRE)         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESSENTIALLY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  SIRGONZO         (ferris m)RIVERA JON 116 20.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of BAETYKATY by CAT THIEF)
3  MAIN LINE CIPHER Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 May04 Mar31 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 7% 12.70    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  FIFTY ONE FIFTY Jan12 Oct20 Aug26 Jul29 Jun04 (ramirez m)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of LAGO LINDO by HIGH COTTON)
5  AJAAYB Jan12 Dec22 Nov19 May20 Apr29 (nunez eduardo)PEREZ EDGAR 123 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEZAH by TAPIT)
6  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Oct16 Aug13       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAMPAGNE ICE by ROMAN RULER)
7  YORKSHIREMEN         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of FROYO STAR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
GP-5   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LET ME DOWN Jan24 Dec08 Nov24 Jul26 Jun24 (parbhoo shivanan)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
2  SWAGGISH Feb07 Jan18 Dec15 Oct30 Oct12 (begg bent)JARAMILLO E 123 8.00 10% 9.50    
3  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Jan10 Jun23 Apr15 Mar18 Nov13 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
4  MUFRIH Jan20 Nov12 Aug23 Jun25 May06 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 8.00    
5  EUPHORIA STAR Feb09 Jan24 Dec31 Oct07 Sep17 (santillana fran)SERPA ANGEL 123 30.00    
6  SWATH Jan24 Dec08 Nov17 Sep07 Aug04 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MANNIX (IRE) Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 Sep08 Aug12 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  MISTER MOORE Dec31 Dec15 Nov11 Oct18 Sep22 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
9  IMPRESSIVE SPEED Oct08 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jun11 (ramirez luis)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 6.00    
10  EYES OF CHAMPION Jan24 Dec31 Dec14 Nov17 Oct07 (negrete javier)RIOS M 123 20.00    
11  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Jan24 Dec31 Oct24 Oct09 Sep26 (maver mario)MORALES ANGEL 123 30.00    
12  ARAK Jan24 Dec31 Nov18 Oct06 Sep10 (sanchez amador)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-6   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME HARDY Jan26 Dec28 Sep06 Jul15 May13 (servis c)JARAMILLO E 121 15.00    
2  ROSEBUD'S HOPE Dec17 Nov02 Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 (dobles eliza)ZAYAS J 123 15.00 9% 9.50    
3  BRAMBLE BAY Nov18 Oct06 Jul27 Jul08 May20 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  AMAZIN QUEEN Oct07 Sep09 Jul29 Jun17 May27 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50    
5  MISS M M Jan21 Aug31 Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 (breen kel)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LATIN NIKKITA Feb07 Jan19 Dec22 Aug24 Jul27 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  LOVE HER LOTS Jan14 Oct14 Sep23 Aug18 Jun16 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
 
GP-7   02/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXANDRA'S SONG Dec26 Nov11 May23 Apr07   (vanden ber)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  PARTY SHAKER Jan11 Dec09 Dec01 Nov11 Oct28 (jehaludi mohamed)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
3  PARDY PLEASER Jan25 Dec02 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 4.50 7% 12.80    
4  DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Jan17 Dec15 Oct08 Aug28 Jul08 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 3.50 7% 14.10    
5  ON THE DOT Jan06 Dec08 Oct22 Oct01   (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 46% 1.20    
6  SPECIAL AFFAIR Jan25 Dec26 Dec07 Oct28 Sep24 (de cerda)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
7  HEAVEN IN MIND Feb01 Jan04 Dec07 Nov05 Oct28 (sano antonio)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
8  SWEET MISS Jan05 Dec07 Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 (williams mat)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 12.00    
9  NICKY JOLENE Jan25 Jan04 Nov04 Sep24 Jul09 (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-8   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACHEL'S ROCK Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 Oct12 Sep17 (david a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
2  KATHLEEN O. May06 Apr02 Feb18 Nov25 May06 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  DRIFAROS Jun24 Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 Jul09 (pompay terri)ZAYAS J 123 4.50    
4  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE Jan13 Apr22 Mar25 Aug17   (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 34% 1.90    
5  CHARLIE'S WISH Jan14 Dec09 Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
6  BAZINGA C Feb10 Oct30 Sep17 Nov26 Oct19 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-9   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKAY FINE Jan19 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 Aug28 (david a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 40% 1.50    
2  SISTER NELL Jan24 Oct12 Sep03 Aug05 Jul27 (jimenez l)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00    
3  CRIMSON PRINCESS Jan24 Dec22 Oct27 Sep04 Feb01 (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS Oct07 Sep15 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 (stormfelt julie)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
5  NO WASABI FOR ME Jan01 Dec10 Sep10 Aug13 Jul21 (gambol)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS Jan24 Dec03 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
SCR  STARSHIP LEGEND Feb10 Nov27       (dwoskin steven)PANICI LUCA 123 15.00    
8  CONFER Jan24 Dec22 Dec03 Nov05 Sep29 (cazares laur)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE) Jan27 Jan01 Nov22 Oct29 Oct06 (dobles eliza)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.