Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/4)-(2/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1/6)-(4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/2/1)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/5/6)-(9/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-8   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-9   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/11/3)-(9/8/5/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   02/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL EXPENSE Oct08 Jun11 May20 Apr04 Mar18 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
2  BODENHEIMER Dec23 Dec02 Nov11 Oct15 Sep20 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00    
3  THE SINNER IS YOU Oct26 Sep21 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 (rojas murr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 52% 0.90    
4  TACTICAL ATTACK Jan05 Dec20 Nov28 Oct08 Aug06 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 2.50 ★    
5  MR. STANG Jan01 Dec03 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-5   02/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVER A REBEL Dec21 Nov21 Oct14 Aug12 Jul21 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.50    
2  BIGFOOT CITY Oct21 Oct11 Sep04 Aug06 Jul22 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 ★    
3  SEA TO SUCCESS Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 Aug16 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  MASTERING Dec12 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul09 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  MR. WHO Nov13 Oct21 Oct11 Jul03 Jun25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-6   02/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORTH Dec04 Nov06 Oct01 Sep16 Apr07 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
2  BRAZEN BULL Jan11 Dec01 Aug26 Jun23 May20 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  THIRSTY JOHN Dec02 Nov03 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50    
4  WORTH LOOKING Dec31 Dec17 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
5  ROYAL HALO Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May27 May14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00    
6  FOUND MY BALL Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 Nov22   (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   02/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNA PALABRA Nov25 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 6% 17.00    
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Dec11 Nov13 Sep22 Aug25 Aug05 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  BANDEENA Jan13 Dec01 Sep23 Aug27 Jul29 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
4  TWELVE STARS Dec19 Dec05 Nov13 Apr04 Mar11 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  SINGLE LADY Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr01 (vitali marc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50    
SCR  KEEN LADY Jan12 Nov23 Oct09 Aug06 Jun16 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 2.50    
 
TUP-8   02/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRESENT TIME Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
2  STARLET COLE Aug27 Aug12 Jul17     (kenney ryan)RADKE K 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  COASTLINE HOTTIE Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Feb01   (se)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
4  KIRA FEVER Sep13 Jul30 Jul19 Jun17 May29 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
5  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Nov04 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Dec28 Dec14 Nov03 Sep10 Aug17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 116 4.00 7% 13.90    
7  UNRIVALED QUEEN Dec31 Oct28 Sep13 Aug20 Apr22 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
 
TUP-9   02/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASENA Oct07 Sep24 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MARQUET FORMULA by MARQUETRY)
SCR  RANEEM Jan19 Nov28 Nov06 Sep03 Jul16 (cappellucci dic)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of J P'S FLASHY HONEY by FLASHY BULL)
3  ALBERTA SUN Jan19 Dec20 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 15.00 ★    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
4  OUTSIDE THE LAW Jan07 Oct28 May06 Apr22 Feb25 (campo stacy)REYES R 122 20.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
5  BEYOND AWESOME Jan05 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
6  MANHATTAN CHERRY Dec04 Nov21 Sep02 Aug02 Jul16 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of BRILLIANT FUTURE by FORLI)
7  GO GO SADIE Feb07 Dec14 Aug27 Aug08 Jul11 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 120 12.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BONUS SPIN by HARD SPUN)
8  PEPPER MILL Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 Oct07 Sep10 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
9  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jan06 Nov24 Nov03 Aug13 Jul23 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
10  DIAMONDS DANZING Jan20 Jan06 Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 (campuzano lor)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TEMPER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  HALOSNHEAVEN Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Sep29 Sep11 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.