Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/6/5)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/3/2)-(5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/3)-(1/4/11/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/4/11/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/4/11/5)-(7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/4/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/11/5)-(1/4/11/5/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/11/5)-(1/4/11/5/13)-(1/4/11/5/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/11/5)-(7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/11/5)-(7/6/3)-(4/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(4/1/8)-(4/6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(4/6/7/3)-(7/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/2/3)-(4/6/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/10/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/10/4/2)-(7/5/10/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM ON PAWS Dec24 Dec01 Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Dec24 Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.50    
3  IT CAN BE DONE Sep30 Aug23 Jul21 Nov19 Oct27 (sacco d)FERRER C 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
4  HANK OLLIE Dec24 Nov19 Oct27 Sep24 Sep02 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  RECYCLE Dec24 Dec08 Sep21 Jul24 Jul13 (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
6  CRAFTY KING Jan05 Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 Jun04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 ★    
7  FACE VALUE Oct10 Sep12 Jul18 Jun22 May30 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
8  GARMENTO Dec29 May28 Apr30 Feb16 Jan05 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
SCR  DANIEL SUN Aug10 Jan04 Dec16 Sep24 Sep07 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
10  RECKLESS PLACE Dec24 Oct18 Oct02 Jul28 Jul08 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 20.00    
SCR  ROAD TO STARDOM Jan10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug05 Jul08 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 119 3.00    
12  NINTH OF APRIL Sep16 Sep06 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
 
TAM-2   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Dec13 Sep02 Jul30 Jan25 Dec14 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  ISLAND MAGIC Dec20 Oct28 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 (gatis chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00    
3  MORNING COLORS Nov18 Sep22 Aug25 Jul23 Jun25 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 122 4.50 ★    
4  DRILL'S VALENTINE Dec15 Nov25 Jul01 Jun09 May06 (chavez a)ALICEA JEREMY 115 5.00    
5  LYRICAL Dec30 Sep04 Aug13 Jul19 Jun24 (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 9% 9.60    
6  STRIKING CHROME Jan03 Dec15 Sep16 Jul30 May06 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 11% 7.80    
7  WOODS HOLE Jan03 Dec27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug04 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGURETI (CHI) Dec27 Nov05 Oct14 Sep02 Jul01 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
2  FEAST Jan06 Dec22 Nov22 Sep03 Jul21 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 5.00 11% 7.90    
3  BAHAMIAN MOON Dec06 Nov12 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  TRIPULANTE Aug19 Jul21 Jun27 May03 Mar24 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
5  AWESOME FLAY Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
6  TIME MACHINE Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug14 Jul22 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-4   01/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HORSESHOE PATSY Jan07 Dec20 Oct07     (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
2  D LOVER Jan07         (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 20.00    
3  DIGGER BARNS Dec24         (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPERIALTY Dec31 Dec08 Oct15 Sep09 Aug25 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
5  SA SA SA Dec30 Dec13       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 73% 0.40    
6  DASH TO FINISH Dec29 Dec20 Dec08 Oct07   (dobber arnou)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
7  KAPRIZOV Jan07 Dec22 Aug27 Aug13   (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 ★    
8  UNO UNO Jan10 Dec31 Dec20 Sep10   (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 115 8.00    
9  MALIBU BRAD Dec20 Nov22 Oct19 Sep03   (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 12.00    
 
TAM-5   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Dec15 Nov25 Jun30 May05 Apr19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  GO MIKA Dec29 Dec08 May03 Apr15 Mar22 (avila jua)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 20.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE Dec08 Nov22 Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
4  NOBLE TESS Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 Oct13   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  WAR MUSEUM Sep03 Aug11 Jun30 Jun17 May28 (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 5.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  BABY LUCK Dec08 Nov22 Sep07 Aug31 Jul14 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 5.00    
SCR  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Dec29 Nov25 Sep23 Aug03 Jul01 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
8  BEASTIE GIRL Nov22 Sep09 Aug17 Aug02 May18 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 119 20.00    
9  CLASSIC DREAMER Dec29 Oct29 Sep01 Jul02 Apr07 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
10  MOONSHINING Dec17 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00    
11  LASTCHANCECHANCEY Feb17 Dec05       (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
12  SYLLABUS Dec08 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 (dominguez )ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
13  SPIRIT OF POWER Oct29 Aug24 Jun02 Mar29 Mar03 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  NUCCI Jan12 Dec31 Dec15 Jul14 Jun17 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOGLY EYES Dec09 Oct29 Sep28 Sep02 Jun10 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 118 5.00 ★    
2  RITABOOK Jan10 Dec20 Nov25 Sep22 Aug16 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 8.00    
3  SINGALONG KAYLA Dec22 Sep22 Apr23 Mar24 Feb22 (carvajal luis )CASTANON L 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  ATHENA'S WISDOM Dec20 Nov19 Oct11 Sep02 Jul28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
5  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Sep17 Jul01 Jun02 Apr19 Jan21 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 118 6.00    
6  PRACTICALITY Jan10 Dec20 Nov24 Sep23 Aug24 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
7  TIKI BAR Dec29 Dec16 Feb16 Jan12 Dec09 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-7   01/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER DUKE Dec15 Nov19 Nov03 Sep03 Jul16 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  ZONIC Dec22 Dec01 Oct19 Apr14 Mar18 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
3  SMILE BRYAN Aug26 Aug18 Jul07 May29 May13 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 115 5.00    
4  SEICHE Dec22 Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 Aug04 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  FALCONS FURY Jan05 Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 (roque elis)MEJIAS RICARDO 122 4.00 ★    
6  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Jan06 Dec22 Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
7  REINER Dec30 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 Jul04 (ferraro antho)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
8  LAST PROMISE Jan06 Dec22 Dec01 Jun03 May06 (nunez mauri)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   01/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUEST CHECK Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Sep04 Aug14 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 118 30.00    
2  LEOPARDI Jan05 Dec15 Sep15 Sep02 Aug25 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
3  MY WAY OR NO WAY Dec27 Dec01 Dec07 Nov05 Oct09 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIR LUMPALOT Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct28 Oct08 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Jan05 Oct25 Oct17 Sep20 Aug21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
6  THE BEARRISH ONE Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Nov04 Oct27 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  GONNA BE EPIC Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 Sep10 Jul23 (delgado jose)MEJIAS RICARDO 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
8  NIP OF BOURBON Jan05 Dec20 Oct24 Sep26 Sep06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
9  PLEASANT VALIANT Dec20 Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 May28 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
 
TAM-9   01/19/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST RUN Jan07 Dec17       (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 8.00    
2  GRAY MEDALLION Dec30         (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR. LEFTY Dec29 Dec10 Nov22 Sep06 Aug25 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
4  DR SCHUSTER Dec27 Dec13 Oct13 Aug25 Aug06 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 ★    
5  SHEER DELIGHT Dec22 Oct29       (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  TONADO Dec30         (damen danie)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
7  THREEWHITESOLDIERS Dec27 Dec01 Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  ADIOS FRANK Dec27 Oct27       (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 12.00    
SCR  TIZ LORD         (bowersock maria)FELICIANO R 120 10.00    
10  SAVAGE GAME Dec31         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.