Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/6)-(1/9/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/9/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/11)-(1/9/5/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/11)-(1/9/5/11/2)-(1/9/5/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/11)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(9/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/2)-(9/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/2)-(9/1/4/2)-(9/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/2)-(1/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/10/3)-(5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/8)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/7/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-10   WIN (6/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RITAMARLEY Oct13 Sep17       (matz michael)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00    
LOLA LOCA Jun11 May06 Apr17 Mar18   (duco luis)RIVERA JON 117 20.00    
MRS. CASH MAN Oct20 Oct01 Sep17 Aug05 Nov27 (minott leon)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 50.00    
BAHA SECRET         (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
IMAGE OF CURLIN Nov25         (alter )VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
A J'S MEMORY Dec08 Nov24 Oct29 Aug26 May13 (luna luis)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
J J MONET Dec17 Oct15 Sep17 Aug11 Jul22 (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 124 10.00    
CHERU Nov24 Oct01 Jul15 Jun23 May13 (dobles elizab)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
GP-2   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORIBUNDA Oct27 Sep13       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
SHEILA'S MISSION         (dibona robert)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
SCR  STENTS AND STATINS (GB) Sep03         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
CARRINGTON         (delgado gustavo)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00    
BUTTERFLY QUEEN Nov29 Oct11 Sep16     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 9% 10.30    
SEAT AT THE TABLE Dec09 Oct01 Sep03     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  ON THE NILE Nov29         (walsh brendan )MURPHY OISIN 118 15.00    
MISS TARISANSOL         (gonzal)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
PARALLEL (ARG) Dec01 Oct29 Sep17     (alvarado jua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 19% 4.10    
10  MY GIRLSTORMY Nov05 Oct15       (sano anton)PIMENTEL JR 118 30.00    
11  VINO FOR THE QUEEN Dec01 Aug18       (palmer nicholas)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 6% 15.30    
 
GP-3   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVY Nov02 Sep15 Aug31 Jul27 May20 (antonucci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
GOLD STAR Nov26 Oct28       (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 115 15.00    
ISLAND SWAGGER Dec29 Dec08 Oct30 May19   (lynch brian )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
PORTOFINO May20 Apr15 Mar19 Feb19 Jan12 (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
CANTARO Oct28 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01   (garoffalo jose)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00    
SCR  ROLLING ON Dec21 Nov25 Oct22 Aug26 Aug10 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.40    
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND Dec21 Sep16 Aug26 Jul29 May20 (ferris holly )ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
BEGANINGREENPOINT Dec03 Oct28 Oct01 Sep02 Aug05 (acker d)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
 
GP-4   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNRELENTLESS Dec02 Oct21 Sep03     (fawkes david)BRAVO J 120 10.00    
MISS SAYELY Nov11 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jun23 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
BELLE'S BLUE BELL Dec03 Nov05 Sep28     (david a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  MIST Dec09 Oct21 Sep09 Aug20 Jul14 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
CANT STOP DREAMING Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13   (perez lu)PANICI LUCA 120 15.00    
SUGAR TREAT Oct08 Aug20 Jul13 Jun10   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
TOP BLUE Nov17 Oct13 Aug02     (matz micha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
HEPBURN Nov11 Sep24 Aug27 Aug06   (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
GP-5   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VETERANS BEACH Nov11 Oct20 Aug26 Aug19 Jul22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  FREDO Dec09 Oct04 Sep02 Jul28 Jun09 (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00    
EXTREME ACCESS Sep17 Aug11 May27 May14 Apr07 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
CENTRODELANTERO Aug19 Jul08 Jun04 May11   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
ROTTERDAM Feb02 Dec03 Oct28     (nicks ralph )ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
ANAMNESTIC Dec09 Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 Aug12 (danner kelsey)PEREZ EDGAR 120 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SPY NOVEL Apr28 Apr01 Feb23 Jan01 Nov16 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SWAN LAKE Nov16 Oct19 Aug23 Jun03 May06 (dobles eliza)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
 
GP-6   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIFY Dec03 Oct20 Jul29     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
APOCALYPSO Dec01 Oct29 Sep08 Aug18 May04 (garcia r)KRIGGER K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DANZIG CHIPS Oct29 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
BRING THEBAND HOME Nov22 Feb23 Jul23 Jun18   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
BELTS 'N BROOKS Nov12 Sep16 Aug26 Jul29 Jun30 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
BEASTLY SPEED Dec03 Oct14       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
SCR  CAJUN HOPE Dec10 Oct01 May14 Apr15 Oct01 (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
HARD ROCK GOLD Nov25 Oct02       (brion keri)MURPHY OISIN 120 20.00    
GIROOVIN Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 Aug17 (falcone robert)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
GP-7   12/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPE IN HIM Jul23 Jul02 May27 Apr16 Mar19 (croft barry)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
ZYRAMID Dec02 Oct27 Oct12 Sep10 Aug05 (eppler e)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
NICHIREN Dec02 Nov05 Oct27 Sep29 Sep06 (russell br)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO DELIBERATION Nov18 Oct13 Sep16 Jul09 Jun16 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
SCR  FAST FIXER Dec21 Nov17 Oct20 Sep08 Jul22 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 30.00    
SCR  JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Nov20 Oct19 Nov06 Oct20 Sep24 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Dec02 Nov04 Oct11 Sep17 Aug23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 125 5.00    
PUTIN ONLINE Nov16 Oct28 Oct07 Sep13 Aug18 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
COMPETITIVE SAINT Dec03 Oct07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.00 9% 10.50    
10  OUTLAW COUNTRY Nov24 Oct13 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
11  CAJUN BROTHER Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep25 Aug28 (hess b)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00    
12  PICO D'ORO Nov05 Oct21 Sep08 Aug20 Jul20 (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
 
GP-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($39K) 2 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIGSAW Dec15 Nov12 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 (alvarado juan)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 18% 4.40    
NATURAL STAR Nov24 Oct28 Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 (depaulo p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SEVERANCE Dec07 Nov03       (crooks s)LOPEZ E 118 12.00    
SCR  CRUZIN FOR CHAOS Nov07 Oct11       (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 20.00    
WHATEVERWILBEWILBE Nov12 Sep30       (fawkes david)BRAVO J 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  LIGHTING CLOUDS Dec10 Oct13 Aug19 Jul30   (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
ALWAYS A WAY Nov24 Oct28 Aug13 Aug06 Jul16 (mcdonald mic)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 5.00    
RYE'S MY GUY Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 (gaffney emm)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 12% 7.60    
 
GP-9   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS BLAKELY Nov24 Oct28 Sep30 Sep01 Aug04 (gambolati ca)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 12.00    
CRYSTAL COAST Dec02 Oct27 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
BOSTON PRINCESS Dec01 Nov18 Oct29 Sep02 Jul22 (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8% 11.00    
HAY HAY PAULA Dec01 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
BEACH PARTY BINGO Nov17 Sep09       (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 10.00 31% 2.20    
PROVOKE ME Jan26 Dec01       (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
KITTENZEN Dec01 Oct27 Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 (coy ronald)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
NEOGEM Nov05 Sep10 May13 Apr15 Mar24 (dobles eliza)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  CINDY'S SONG Sep22 Jul27 May27 Apr28 Mar26 (gonzalez oscar)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
 
GP-10   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NATURE BOY Dec14 Dec01 Nov05 Oct27 Oct08 (simms )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
MAJOR KING Nov05 Oct08 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  ONE MORE SCORE May14 May07 Apr15 Mar27 Feb18 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 122 10.00    
FABRICATOR Nov29 Oct19 Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 (campbell joel)BRAVO J 122 30.00    
FORT ATTITUDE Dec01 Nov05 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 (ochoa ernest)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00    
ROD TWO ROD Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 Jun03 May13 (stormfelt julie)RUIZ JORGE 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Nov24 Nov12 Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
SMOKIN CLOUD Dec15 Nov17 Oct13 Sep16 Aug11 (ritvo kat)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
DOUBLE PLAY KING Dec10 Oct21 Jan12 Dec16 Nov06 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
10  EXALTED CHARM Jul07 Jun17 May06 Apr27 Dec14 (passley mark)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.