Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (8/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/2)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-10   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT CESAR Nov17 Sep24 Sep02 Jul09 Jun02 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
2  GONE NUTS Nov17 Oct13 Jun04 May06 Apr09 (crichton roh)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  WARLORD CRUZAN Nov12 Oct20 Sep24 Sep01 Aug18 (luna luis)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  SMOKIN CLOUD Nov17 Oct13 Sep16 Aug11 Jun23 (ritvo p)RIVERA JON 113 20.00    
5  PEJA DU Nov25 Oct21 Oct13 Sep15 Aug30 (mcgoey monic)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
6  SWAGGISH Oct30 Oct12 Aug18 Jun22 Mar12 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 6.00    
7  FORTY FLASH Nov05 Sep23 Jul28 Jul16 Jun18 (acker d)RIOS M 122 30.00    
8  COURAGEOUS COPPER Nov17 Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 May21 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
GP-2   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEDROCK BIRDIE Nov05 Sep16 Jul07     (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUBBLY CHAMPAGNE Nov24 Nov03 Sep22 Aug20   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  EL TERRENO Oct25         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Oct08 Aug28 Jul08 Jun18   (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00    
5  DOT Sep14 Aug13       (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
6  HAPPY WORLD Sep30         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50    
SCR  FAIRHOPECURLY Nov24 Oct08 Sep13 Aug19   (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50    
 
GP-3   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ATHLETIC Sep29 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (crooks s)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  MAELSTROM SPIRIT Dec01 Nov05 Oct15     (sano antonio)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00    
3  JESS'S MOMENT Oct20         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 2.00    
SCR  MY SWEETHEART DANI Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Aug17 Jul22 (crooks jeffrey)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  AUSTRIAN KITTY Nov17         (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 118 8.00    
6  HOLY KINGDOM Nov17 Oct21       (garcia ped)PIMENTEL JR 118 6.00    
7  KIKI Dec03 Oct08 Sep15 Aug20   (alvarado juan)RIVERA JON 111 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
GP-4   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JADES JAY         (al)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 118 30.00    
2  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Nov12 Oct06       (margot)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
3  DYNAMIC EMPIRE         (morrison mic)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00    
4  DOLLAR LIBERTY Nov18 Oct22 Sep10     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 48% 1.10    
5  MOBY WARRIOR Oct15         (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
6  ECHO LANE Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 Aug11 Jul15 (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  JIGSAW Nov12 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (alvarado juan)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 15% 5.80    
 
GP-5   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Dec02 Nov10 Oct29 Sep28 Aug19 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
2  THOUGHT Nov12 Jul27 Jun25 May29 May08 (cazares laur)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
3  PEOPLE FORCE Oct30 Sep26 Aug28 Aug12 Jul26 (preciado guad)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
4  UNO TIGER Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 Jul23 Jul02 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
5  THERAPIST Oct13 Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 May20 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 15% 5.70    
6  ROCK THE STARS Nov12 Oct15 Sep15 Jul29 Feb26 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE BEST DISTANCE Nov10 Oct21 Sep15 Sep01 Jul22 (sanchez am)PIMENTEL JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOU TALKIN TO ME Nov12 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 (o'connell kathleen)BRAVO J 120 30.00    
SCR  STORM P Nov18         (cordero eniel)RIVERA JON 113 30.00    
 
GP-6   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Oct07 Aug18 Aug12 Jul23 Jun18 (walder r)RIVERA JON 115 30.00 ★    
SCR  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Jun23 Apr15 Mar18 Nov13 Oct29 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 2.00    
3  HUSBAND MATERIAL Nov03 Sep27 Aug30 Jul22 Jun30 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
4  MISTER MOORE Nov11 Oct18 Sep22 Sep02 Jul28 (maker michae)ZAYAS J 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  RED HORNET Oct24 Sep07 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 10.00    
6  FLATTER ME Nov18 Aug26 Jul29 Jun17 May29 (hills a)PANICI LUCA 123 8.00    
7  MOST WANTED MAN Nov02 Oct13 Aug20 Jul09 May20 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 30% 2.40    
 
GP-7   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE ROOM Nov10 Oct13 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 ★    
2  DE REGRESO Nov03 Oct06 Sep10     (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  TIME TO DAZZLE Oct06 Sep17       (casse mark)BRAVO J 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  JAYANA Nov10         (catane)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 15.00 17% 5.00    
5  BEIRA Oct20         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 30.00    
6  ALCOHOL Nov03 Oct13 Sep08 Aug20   (orseno joseph )REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SAN PANTALEO Nov05 Jul20       (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00    
SCR  APRIL'S DIAMANTE Sep29 Aug24 May25     (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00    
SCR  WHISPERING SEA Nov17 Aug31 Aug05 Jul17   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
SCR  REFUGIADA Nov10 Oct13 Sep22     (barboza victor)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
11  MADNESS Nov24 Oct22       (orseno josep)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 30.00    
 
GP-8   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING AFTER YOU Sep19 Apr27 Apr14 Mar10 Feb09 (brion keri)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 ★    
2  FORTUNA BELLE Nov25 Oct28 Jul28 Jun18 May21 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  PEACH COBBLER Oct21 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May06 (winebaugh chery)PEREZ EDGAR 122 10.00    
4  NO ACTION Aug11 Jul28 Jun16 May26 May05 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  BODACIOUS BREN Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 Dec11 (hayford jenn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AVATAL HERO Nov04 Oct11 Sep06 Aug03 Jul11 (preciado guad)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
7  FORCES SWEETHEART Sep02 May11 Mar23 Dec17 Nov05 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 4.50    
 
GP-9   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE POLKS Nov10 Oct07 Sep15     (ortiz ale)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  RO TOWN Nov10 Apr07 Feb12 Dec18   (lynch a)PEREZ EDGAR 118 6.00    
3  WRIGHT UP FRONT Oct28 Oct06 Aug17 Jul08   (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
4  DEM A WONDER Nov24 Oct28 Jun09 May07 Apr23 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
5  JULIET'S ROSE Nov05         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 1.60 56% 0.80    
6  DRUM ROLL Jul28 Jun18 May21 Mar31   (fawkes david)BRAVO J 118 15.00 8% 12.00    
7  EUPHIMA (ARG) Oct24 Aug08       (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00 ★    
8  OLGA Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 Jul09 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 4.00    
 
GP-10   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBARA Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 Aug20 (campos bernard)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
2  MAGIC MOONSTAR Nov12 Oct21 Sep09 Aug06 Jul09 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.00 ★    
3  L. E. GRAY Oct13 Sep17 Jul21 May20 Apr09 (fawkes david)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
4  DRINKS ON ME Nov18 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 (cazares laura)PEREZ EDGAR 120 5.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  WHEELINGNDEALING Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 Jul28 Jun30 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
6  WINNING AT EASE Dec07 Nov25 Oct29 Aug26 Aug05 (williams andre)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
7  SERENADE A KITTEN Oct19 Sep27 Sep12 Sep05 Aug21 (barboza vi)PIMENTEL JR 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
8  SASSY MELISSA Oct09 Sep19 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (hurtak daniel)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  STARRY HOPE Nov29 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 Jul05 (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.