Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(7/5/4)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(5/4/2)-(7/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(10/1/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(10/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(10/1/9/2)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/2)-(10/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/2)-(10/1/9/2)-(10/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/9/2)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9/2)-(2/4/5)-(4/11/2/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/11/2/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/11/2/1/9)-(10/11/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/11/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/2/1/9)-(4/11/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/2/1/9)-(4/11/2/1/9)-(4/11/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/2/1/9)-(10/11/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/11/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/11/5/9)-(10/11/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/11/5/9)-(10/11/5/9)-(10/11/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE YODELER Nov25 Nov10 Oct21 Sep07 Aug05 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Nov08 Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 28% 2.60    
3  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Nov08 Oct21 Apr21 Mar25 Jan14 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
4  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Sep30 Sep16 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50 9% 10.20    
5  BLUE MOUNTAIN Nov08 Oct21 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00    
6  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Nov30 Oct21 Jul20 May19 Apr28 (groves janice)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
 
CT-2   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REMY'S HOTSHOT Nov22 Sep21 Aug31     (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 115 12.00    
2  DORADO Sep29 Sep01       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
3  GOLD CREATIONS Nov25 Oct13 Sep22     (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50    
4  ROBBIELIKESHIM Nov25 Nov03 Oct13     (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARSHALL PEANUT Nov03         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  POWERED BY LOVE Nov16 Oct14 Sep29 Jul21 Jun30 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 3.00    
7  LONA LEE Nov22 Nov04 Oct12 Sep21   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
CT-3   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA'S TAJ Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
2  PURE NONSENSE Nov22 Nov02 Sep15 Aug26 Jul20 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 15.00 15% 5.60    
3  WHALE OF A TIME Nov12 Oct25 Sep07 Aug02 Jul07 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
4  ASUE Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 Sep07 Aug10 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
5  SMOKIN LADY Nov20 Oct26 Sep16 Aug26 Jul27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  CASTLE TOY Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
7  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Dec02 Nov17 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 4.50    
 
CT-4   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVANESCO Nov25 Nov16 Nov26 Nov09 Oct20 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
2  CECIL THE GREAT Nov10 Aug19 Aug05     (clement r)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00 6% 15.90    
3  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50    
4  MY BALBOA Dec02 Nov10 Nov03 Oct20   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  BORN TO SIN Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Aug26 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 12.00    
6  TIME TO CHOOSE Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Nov23 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00    
7  RUNALDO Feb16 Jan27       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.20 41% 1.40    
 
CT-5   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN COLLECTOR Nov22 Oct17 May06 Mar28 Mar02 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
2  VOICE OF NOW Nov30 Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPANISH CZAR Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Sep22 Sep09 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 10.00    
4  RAGTIME RICHES Nov30 Nov04 Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
5  COUNTRY CHARLIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul27 (deiter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Nov30 Oct21 May26 Mar18 Mar10 (hillegass ale)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
7  PERSONAL FINANCE Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
8  SEIZE THE BREEZE Nov30 Nov15 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
9  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Dec01 Nov11 Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 (delong )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 9% 10.10    
10  KASIMBA Nov18 Nov01 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
CT-6   12/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOLO CHARLOTTE Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr15 Mar10 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
2  XANTHE Nov25 Nov10 Oct18 Jun02 May12 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  LUCKY BOP Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 Jul01 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 118 6.00 ★    
4  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Nov25 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  XTENDED STREAK Nov17 Nov01 Oct19 Sep02 Aug12 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  IHEARTRAINACOMN Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 124 8.00    
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 Sep02 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
8  LONG LEGS LOUISE Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 Nov30 Nov02 (lewis r)MAWING A 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DAY DREAMS Nov29 Oct28 Oct14 Jun17 May19 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  GOLDEN G Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep16 (gillespie ryan)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAP SECRET Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 Jul21 (sandova)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00    
4  COMPANY CLOWN Nov17 Oct21 May26 Mar30 Feb11 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
5  PIT STOP MAN Oct06 Sep09 Sep02 Aug27 Aug20 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
6  INSIDE RISK Nov29 Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep21 (caison l)MAWING A 120 20.00    
7  ROCKET APPEAL Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May19 Apr27 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
8  MR TINGLES Nov17 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
9  WILD MULE Aug27 Aug05 May14 Mar23 Feb19 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  GOLDEN KEY Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
11  AMIDSHIPS Nov16 Aug17 May19 Apr07 Mar17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BAYTOWN FROSTY Oct21 Aug17 Jun11 Jan12 Dec05 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
SCR  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Nov03 Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (mcentee paul)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   12/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMORGOINGAROUND Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00    
SCR  MIRACLE SONDE Nov01 Aug26 Jul08     (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 4.00    
3  MIREYA Nov15         (reyes d)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
4  PRETTY CASTLE Aug04 Jul08 Jun01 May25 May04 (boykins kevin)MAWING A 122 30.00    
5  JUNIPER GRACE Nov24 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Nov24 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  GANGSTER AMERICANO Nov15 Oct25 Oct13     (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 119 4.50    
7  CREME DE LA QUEEN Dec07         (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  VERITAS LUX MEA Nov01 Sep23 Sep02     (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 121 20.00    
9  EVEN SMARTER         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 121 15.00 7% 12.60    
10  NINETY PROOF Nov29 Oct06 Sep02 Jul29 Apr20 (groves janice)ADAMS L 115 1.40 39% 1.60    
11  TAPTAP Nov27 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Nov27         (poole jami )MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 4.50    
SCR  FROSTY RIA         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 3.00    
14  BABY BREEZE Nov04         (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.