Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/4)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/5/6)-(3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/7/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(5/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(5/3/7/8)-(5/4/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/8)-(5/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABI DREAMS Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
1A  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  WITT LASTING SPEED Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
3  SCHERZER Oct24 Oct06 Sep03 May12   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00 9% 9.60    
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS         (rice linda)COA J 124 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of IADORAKID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  GLORY BOUND CLARA Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  CHOSEN BY GRACE Oct10         (beech e)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of DANCE INTHE FOREST by DEHERE)
 
FL-2   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF TOSCANOVA         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  NOBLE LADY Oct25 Apr27 Feb15     (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  ROSEINTHESKY Oct25 Oct11 Sep26 Jul19   (loaiza i)DAVIS A 121 3.00 11% 8.30    
4  MY LITTLE ONE Oct25 Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
5  PRINCESS RILEY Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00    
6  BENEVOLENTLY Oct25 Oct15 Jul29 Aug04 Jul04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
7  GIANT BOTTLE Oct25 Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (henry n)VENTURA JOSE 124 15.00    
 
FL-3   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE SHOT Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 Aug08 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 6.00    
2  SHARED SUCCESS Oct23 Sep25 Aug27 Aug05 Jul18 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 4.50    
SCR  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Oct19 Aug23 Jun26 May17 Apr22 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
4  ROYAL SUSPECT Oct23 Sep25 Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  CUT THE CORD Oct15 Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 May31 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
6  THE INSTITUTE Oct17 Sep19 Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
FL-4   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH BOY AL Sep20 Sep04 Aug14 Jun28 Nov09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
2  NOBLE JOURNEY Sep26 Sep04 Jul12 Jun12 May16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
3  LISTENING IN Nov09 Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 (lugovich l)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
4  JAK N BURNY Oct16 Sep05 Aug07 Jul24   (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 119 1.80 69% 0.50    
5  FLOWING RIVER Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 Jul10 Jun09 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 7% 12.90    
6  DEVIOUS BANKER Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KIERKEGAARD Oct09 Sep25 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  WAHEEL Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 Jul18 Jun14 (barrow paul)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
 
FL-5   11/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMALL PEBBLES Oct18 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 2.50    
SCR  TRIVIA Oct18 Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
3  REMOANE Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep26 Aug29 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  TOWERING GAZE Oct18 Sep26 Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  STIMULUS CHECK Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 (iorio s)NAVARRO J 122 3.00    
6  LET'S MAGA Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 15.00    
7  P J'S RIDER Oct17 Oct07 Sep15 Sep08 Aug05 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 119 10.00    
 
FL-6   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Sep26 Oct13 Aug31 Aug07 Jun16 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Oct24 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Jul19 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
3  ACH DU LIEBER Oct18 Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 20.00    
SCR  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct30 Jun14 Jun05 May17 May07 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
5  REINER Oct30 Oct11 Jul04 Jun20 Apr02 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
6  SIGHT UNSEEN Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Jul11 Apr15 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THIS CAT CAN FLY Oct31 Sep11 Jul19 Jun19 Nov23 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  INTERSTATE Oct18 Oct10 Sep25 Sep12 Aug28 (lopez arcadio)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
SCR  JACOBA Oct11 Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
 
FL-7   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Oct18 Sep26 Sep18 Aug15 Jul24 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
2  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Oct23 Oct04 Aug21 Jul04 Jun21 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
3  MISSING FORTUNE Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Aug11 Jul12 (saul dana)COA J 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  BEHIND THE COUCH Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jun26 May16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
5  NO CHALK Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 (iorio s)NAVARRO J 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  LEFT LEANING LUCY Oct04 Aug29 Jul12 Jun19 May09 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
7  FAST FRAN Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul10 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 9% 10.10    
8  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Sep19 Sep11 Aug07 Jul12 Jun19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00 5% 18.10    
 
FL-8   11/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS Oct16 Oct02 Aug14 Jul11 Jun20 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
2  MISS PAB Oct10 Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
3  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Oct18 Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
4  THROWING STONES Oct24 Sep26 Aug29 Jul31 Oct19 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  MIND OF GOLD Oct30 Oct18 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  RIDING ON A WINNER Oct16 Aug23 Jul05 May15 May02 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THIN LEGS Oct02 Sep20 Aug21 Jul12 May17 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
8  CROSSTALK Oct25 Oct04 Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
9  IN TRAFFIC Oct31 Oct18 Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 (rivera d)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
10  BASTET Oct24 Oct02 Sep05 Aug02 Jul11 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 10.00    
SCR  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Oct31 Oct16 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.