Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/2/4/8)-(1/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/8)-(1/5/4)-(4/10/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/10/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/10/3/5)-(8/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (4/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/3/5)-(8/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/5)-(8/5/7/4)-(8/1/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-5   WIN (8/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/4)-(8/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/4)-(8/1/3/4)-(5/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (8/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/4)-(8/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/4)-(8/1/3/4)-(8/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/4)-(5/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/4)-(5/8/10)-(3/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/10)-(5/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/10)-(5/8/10)-(5/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/10)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Oct07 Sep16 Sep06 Aug03 Jul07 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 1.80 14% 6.20    
2  TRIPLE TITOS Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Aug03 (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 119 8.00    
3  THE BEARRISH ONE Oct07 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
4  RECKLESS PLACE Oct02 Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 May29 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  MOON CONNECTION Jul30 Jul02 May28 Apr29 Mar25 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
6  DORSODURO Sep20 Sep03 Aug18 Jul02 Jun17 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
 
DEL-2   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S SO SEXY Sep15         (sacco gregory)OLVER MADISON 114 4.00    
2  CARSONSTRONG         (lopez mari)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00 24% 3.20    
3  RITZ ON BROADWAY Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul26 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  REE NEE'S SIX         (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 119 12.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  DARK DUTCHESS Sep20 Sep01       (pecoraro )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
6  BUONA SALUTE Sep15 Aug24       (rodriguez r)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 10.00    
SCR  TIDBIT Sep06 Jul21 Jul07     (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
8  MISS OMAHA Oct01 Aug25 Jul09     (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 17.60    
9  SWEET SUMMER LOVE Sep21 Sep07       (nambo cesar)EVANS CECILY 119 12.00    
10  HARLEE Oct03 Sep16 Aug15 Aug01   (bedard alan)ALICEA JEREMY 112 15.00    
11  YODA GLITZ Sep13 Aug16       (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 12.00    
12  JASSAI Aug31 Aug24 Jul21 Jun10   (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
 
DEL-3   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE CARATS Sep04 Aug06 Jul21 Sep17   (ward dan)LUZZI J 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  TOUGH ENOUGH Sep30 Sep22 Sep02     (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 125 8.00    
3  SAVANNAH'S SUGAR Aug30 Aug17 Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 109 8.00    
4  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Oct09 Sep21 Sep04 Aug12 Jul28 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  BALI MOON Sep30 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep16 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  LADY LANCER Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul05 Jun22 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
 
DEL-4   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUNCH         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 114 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  U LITE UP MY LIFE         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIDO by BERNSTEIN)
3  RED HEAD ITALIAN Aug27 Jul21 Jun30     (breen kelly)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
4  COPPER BOUND Aug31 Jul04       (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LOUISVILLE FIRST by GIROLAMO)
5  FLEET FROST         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
6  MAXS PICK         (correa maxine)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ARCH STREET Sep08 Aug02       (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
8  BURNING EMBERS         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TANTE ZOE by FIRST SAMURAI)
9  RUE CAMBON         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of SONGS AND SONNETS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  SHEZA NASTY GIRL Sep21         (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 8.00 31% 2.30    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of PROFILE by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
DEL-5   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH LACE Sep15 Sep02 Aug04 Jul26 Jul16 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 6.00    
2  SISTER SUPREAM Sep06 Aug19 Jul27 Dec09 Oct27 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 8.00    
3  FAST COREY Oct07 Sep15 Jul16 Jun17 Oct07 (avila c)ARROYO S 123 2.50    
4  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Aug03 Jun20 May12 Apr20 Mar23 (meister wi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MYSTIC SEAPORT Aug31 Aug05 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.50 15% 5.90    
6  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Aug05 Jul09 (gayle webst)BELL BARRINGTON 123 12.00    
7  CREATIVE CADENCE Sep15 Sep02 Jun30 Jun02 May18 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
8  BIG AMBITION Sep20 Aug09 Jul23 Jun25 Jun01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
DEL-6   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PYRON Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 May25 Apr29 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  BABY BOOMER Aug20 Apr01 Jan06 Nov27 Aug26 (ward dan)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
3  TETSU Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 May25 May04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  GOLDEN CANDY Sep28 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 (neilson wallace)CENTENO E 121 20.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  THE JUDGE AND JURY Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 Nov14 Oct25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
6  SPOTTED BULL Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 125 8.00    
7  SHACKS WAY Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Oct13 Aug26 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00    
8  BROTHER CONWAY Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Jul23 Jun24 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SLIPPIN JIMMY Sep01 Jul22 May25 Sep23 Sep07 (moysey chelsey )MENA E 121 12.00    
10  HEADS OR TAILS Sep20 Sep03 Jul08 May29 Apr16 (mancilla ca)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 10.00    
 
DEL-7   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSTERY MO Sep16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May27 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  THE COLORA KID Sep28 Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 (smith colli)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 12.00    
3  BOBBY G Oct04 Aug02 Jul22 Jun09 May12 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 8.00    
4  TOUGH TICKETS Sep16 Aug23 Jul20 Jun20 May22 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00    
5  SILENT MALICE Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 Jul06 Jul29 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  STACKS OF SILVER Sep16 Aug16 Jul19 Oct01 Aug25 (capuano gary )ALICEA JEREMY 113 5.00    
7  LEASE Sep25 Jul19 Jun20 May22 Apr20 (preciado gu)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
8  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Sep23 Sep01 Aug16 Jun18 May14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
9  ROMP (ARG) Sep07 Aug02 Jul15 May18 Apr20 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
10  KOBLA MAS Sep14 Aug10 Jun23 May24 Apr29 (ward dan)LUZZI J 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
DEL-8   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMERUN Aug05         (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  SEAX Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 (ochoa gera)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 4.00    
3  REBEL JOKE Aug16 Jul26 Jul13 Jun21   (machado antonio)MENA E 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  JERSEY GREGG Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 Jun04 May21 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
5  WEST STAR Sep22 Aug25 Aug05 Jun11 May05 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VIDA FINA Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Apr21 (cudworth paul)FUENTES MARIO 117 20.00    
7  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 Feb03 Dec23 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WALK SADLY Sep03 Aug11 Jul09     (popovich james)CEDENO CAROL 124 15.00    
9  ALBOROTO Oct05 Sep22 Aug19 Jul06 Jun17 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.