Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/6) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(7/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(5/1)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(7/5/6/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/2)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(4/3)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/1/3/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBERBURG Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
2  LADY MARVEL Sep19 Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 (o verg)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00    
3  CARISMATICA Sep27 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul11 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
4  BELLA BASORA Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 (gotera car)LEON A 120 10.00    
5  MARIANNA QUEEN Sep19 Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 May31 (ruiz carmelo )CEDILLO MAURO 115 20.00    
6  DONYA'S MAGIC Sep11 Aug27 Jul19 Jul09 May29 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 ★    
7  UNDETECTED Sep24 Sep06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
8  ONEPRETTYTHING Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun06 (smith osbo)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-2   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET QUEEN BEE Sep18 Aug29 Aug08 Jun13 May22 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
2  LADY VALENTINA Sep24 Jun18 Jun06 May23 Apr30 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
3  MAOILIN Aug22 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May31 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CONTENT (IRE) Sep12 Jul03 Jun18 Mar15 Feb20 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  MANDY GREEN Sep19 Aug31 Jul25 Jul05 Apr23 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
6  AMAAZA Sep11 Aug30 Aug22 Jun15 May23 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50    
7  BIG TREAT Sep13 Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
MNR-3   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGUSONIC Aug16 Jul12 Jun27 Jun17 Feb03 (mcentee paul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00 11% 8.50    
2  BUCKEYE RED Jun06 May08 Mar30 Mar06 Jan26 (maddox a)PAUCAR E 120 4.50    
SCR  VENEZUELANDREAMERS Sep25 Aug29 Aug15 Sep25 Jul10 (gotera car)LEON A 120 1.20    
4  OSBIN Sep25 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (meals lois)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
5  RED GUN Sep24 Sep05 Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 4.00 68% 0.50    
6  MIGHTY FROSTED Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul17 Apr30 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-4   10/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZING CHICK Sep20 Sep06 Jul03 Jun10 May29 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00    
2  CHALDEA Jul05 Jun25 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOTTA MOSCATO Jul16 Jun10 May04 Apr10 Jan02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.50    
4  MY PINK BABY BIRD Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 May29 Apr30 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
5  TEAM HOT LINE Sep24 Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 Jun13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  BIZZY GAL Sep19 Aug28 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 (clouston edw)WEINLEIN JESSE 118 10.00 9% 9.70    
7  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Sep24 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul26 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
8  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Sep20 Sep08 Aug19 Jul24 Jul09 (lopez e)DAVILA M 120 10.00    
 
MNR-5   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO STELLAIRE Sep18 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul30 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
2  KANFU Sep11 Aug08 Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
3  SHOW ME THE BEST Sep24 Sep11 Aug30 May22 Apr30 (jenkins wallac)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
SCR  FIONA POWER Jun27 Jun01 May18 Mar26 Mar12 (clark r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
5  ORBIT MARS Sep12 Sep05 Aug08 Jul16 Jun18 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  MYRRH Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 123 1.80 26% 2.80    
7  LATER DAYS Sep12 Sep05 Aug22 Jun15 Jun05 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
 
MNR-6   10/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MADDY Sep20 Aug29 Jul12 Jun13 May28 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.00    
2  FREEDOM'S ALLURE Sep26 Sep04 Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 (ramgeet tina)NELSON TYRONE 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
3  NOGRATZ Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
4  EVENING BIRD Sep20 Jun20 Jun05 May22   (si)DA FAUSTO 120 12.00 11% 7.70    
5  WEST COAST WILDCAT Sep20 Aug08 Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 10.00    
6  FIRST TIME PLAYER Sep20 Sep13 Aug28 Aug22 Jul26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 20.00    
7  LUNAR PRAYER Aug16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun04 May12 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
MNR-7   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 Jun16 May19 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
SCR  AURA OF GOLD Sep03 Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (hebert kitty )BRACHO A 118 6.00    
3  KICKSTARTER Sep19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun11 May28 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  RED HURRICANE Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 Jun14 Mar10 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
5  ROLL DEM BONES Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug09 Jul25 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 2.00    
SCR  NAPA DUDE Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
 
MNR-8   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDRENCHED Aug22 Jun27 Dec22 Dec05 Nov01 (connel)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 9% 10.30    
2  CHAMPAGNE SISTER Sep20 Aug30 Aug18 Jul23 Jun24 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 3.50    
3  CHECK SIX Sep24 Sep06 Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 7% 12.80    
4  JUST LIKE INDY Sep10 Aug09 Jul31 Jun24 Jun07 (lawrence da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 10.00    
5  OUT OF ROMANCE Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul11 (howard willi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIXIE'S DANCE Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul12 May29 (witherow sandra )VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00    
7  MOTHERWELL Sep24 Sep06 Aug28 Aug08 Aug24 (rivera xavi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 54% 0.80    
8  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 Mar17 Feb22 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.