Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/5)-(7/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/1/4)-(3/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(3/2/8)-(11/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/8)-(11/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8)-(11/1/7/5)-(8/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (11/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/7/5)-(11/1/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/7/5)-(11/1/7/8/5)-(11/1/7/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/7/5)-(8/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/1/7/5)-(8/1/5/6)-(7/4/2/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (8/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/6)-(7/4/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/6)-(7/4/2/9)-(7/11/1/5/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/9)-(7/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/9)-(7/4/2/9)-(7/4/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/9)-(7/11/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/9)-(7/11/1/5/6)-(4/5/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/11/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/5/6)-(7/11/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/5/6)-(7/11/1/5/6)-(7/11/1/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/1/5/6)-(4/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-9   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNTOLIVE Sep11         (o'donnell ma)RAMOS D 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
2  ANGEL ON FIRE         (hancock jac)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PRETTY VEGAS Sep11 Aug28 Aug02 Jul07 Jun08 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 6.00    
4  MORNING GORDITA Aug19 Jul20 Jul11 Jun15   (gorostieta c)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 Jun29   (livers char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
6  FOXY ELAINE Aug15 Jul09 May20     (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MITOLE Aug30 Aug01 Jun15 May27   (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
8  C C GRAND Aug19         (lyster )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
 
IND-2   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STIRDATPOT Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 122 10.00    
2  PRINCE SHIM Jul15 Jun29 Jun13 May23 Apr25 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
3  C F V BULLET Jun27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
4  PHANTOM RIDE Aug15 Jul09 Jun10 Mar26 Mar04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
5  BRIGADIER GENERAL Aug15 Jun22 May06 Feb25 Sep17 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  ETHEREAL ROAD Nov04 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Aug06 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 122 1.60 27% 2.60    
 
IND-3   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRVIN CITY LIMITS Sep06 Aug08 Jul21     (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by GIRVIN out of SHELBY'S SONG by PETIONVILLE)
2  OUT WORK'M         (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of WAHOO GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  BLACK WHITE N GOLD Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 May22   (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 5.00 ★    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FROSTING by FLATTER)
4  JUSTHAPPYTOBEHERE Aug15         (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHISTLIN' JEAN by PURE PRIZE)
5  WHISKEY JUSTICE         (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 117 10.00    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of KID JUSTICE by STORM AND A HALF)
6  AMATEUR DAY Sep06         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  COWBOY CHURCH Sep06 Aug08       (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FIFTEEN CHURCH by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  TREE OF LIBERTY         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COUNTER CULTURE by CARSON CITY)
 
IND-4   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO AZTECA Sep14 Aug17 Jul15 Jun20 May10 (hammond kim)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 10.00    
2  BEST OF GREELEY Sep05 Aug17 Jul06 Jun18 May19 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  NEPOTISM Aug27 Jul16 Mar09 Jan14 Nov27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  NO ANGEL Sep17 Jul01 Jun04 May25 Apr16 (joseph sa)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00    
5  LUCKY SHOT Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 Jun04 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
SCR  I'M WIDE AWAKE Sep05 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May19 (haran john)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 3.00    
7  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 Jul17 (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 122 20.00    
8  ONE FOR RICHIE Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 Jun01 May04 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00 10% 8.80    
 
IND-5   09/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLOW JACKET Sep13         (navarre)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
2  BACHMAN Sep05 Aug10 Jun20     (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
3  PLAY THE TRUMPET Sep05 Jun08       (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 4.50    
4  BUDGET BOOSTER Sep08         (livers char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 30.00    
5  FIREBALL JUSTICE Sep06         (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TORMENTA JERRY Sep05         (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
7  HADLEY'S MAX Sep06 Jul21       (klopp randy)RAMOS D 117 6.00 6% 15.10    
8  MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Aug22 Aug11       (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  REVENGE TOUR Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jul12 (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00    
10  PURPLE AURA Aug22         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 8.00    
11  DEEP STRIKE Sep07 Aug19       (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  NOBLE GENTLEMAN Sep13 Aug18 Jul14 Jun10 May11 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00    
SCR  LUCERITO BLANCO Sep15 Jul29       (salas felipe)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
SCR  BIG TAP Sep06 Aug25 Aug05     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00    
 
IND-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY RED Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 Jun10 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 2.50 14% 6.40    
2  ALLIE MAES REVENGE Aug28 Jul21 Jun08 Nov21 Oct25 (herrell ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
3  SHARON'S GREY HOPE Aug15 Jul21 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
4  CHIMES Sep14 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00    
5  COMPRESSED ENERGY Sep13 Aug28 Aug15 Jul05 Jun07 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  CASTLE MAGIC Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
7  MIZZTIFY DOLL Aug05 Jul07 Jun21 May21 Oct01 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
8  CRICKENBERGER Aug22 Aug02 Jul08 Jun10 May18 (foster )DE CRUZ 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
IND-7   09/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELM STREET         (nihei michell)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of QUITE A KNIGHTMARE by ASCOT KNIGHT)
2  DADDY'S DINERO         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  IZZIT MIDNIGHT Sep08 May22       (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of IZZY IZZY by MIZZEN MAST)
4  SILENT HEART         (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MEGA MONSTER by SILENT NAME)
5  AZTECA'S GOLD         (lacroix gene)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of WANTA GO by APTITUDE)
6  HABERDASHERY         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of KEEWATIN ICE by INTIDAB)
7  CODE OMAHA         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LANTIZ by TIZWAY)
SCR  SETEMFREE         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of LETTER OF THE LAW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  GOOD POINT         (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CHRISTA'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  WEEKEND CONCERTO Aug05         (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
IND-8   09/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX MISSIONS Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 May14 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 8% 11.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of UNCOMPLICATED by HALF OURS)
2  MISTER MOSCATO Sep08 Aug11       (dunn d)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of COMMANDARIA by SMART STRIKE)
3  QUICK IMPULSE Sep10 Aug19       (navarrete an)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SPEEDY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SHOCKWAVE Sep09 Mar25 Dec03 Oct08   (joseph sa)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REACH FOR A PEACH by ONE NICE CAT)
5  SMART PRIZE Aug26 Jan27 Jan01 Nov06 Jun26 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 6% 14.80    
  (by CONNECT out of PRIZE CATCH by A.P. INDY)
6  CHANNEL Z Sep18 Jul12 Jun21 May30 May15 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ZOUZOU by UNKNOWN)
7  POLYGLOT Aug26 Jul12 Jun05 Apr28   (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MULTILINGUAL by DANSILI (GB))
SCR  EMPIRE'S BEST Dec10 Oct21       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
9  ASCRIBE Aug02         (devaux )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
10  FIGHT'N READY Jul21 Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 Jan21 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
11  WRITE OFF JERRY Apr20 Mar25 Feb10 Jan06   (hiles a)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
SCR  XKUZ Aug19 Aug10 Jan26 Dec30 Oct19 (dolan m)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of STROMBOLIAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  COACH PETRO Jul05 May14 Apr14 Dec16 Sep25 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
 
IND-9   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE SO AWESOME Aug29         (egglest)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
2  CABIN ABBY Aug31 Jun13 May23 May02 Jun22 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  LIGHT UP MY LIFE Jun22 Jun01       (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 15.00 8% 11.30    
4  NO JOKING MATTER Sep11 May31 May02 Feb15 Dec21 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  GOLDEN HEIST Aug31 Jul20 Jul03 Jun07 May18 (thompson erin)HUGHES CARLY 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
6  PADDI'S WISH Aug31 Aug23 Jun07 Apr26 Jul12 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
7  MY BOYS Sep07 Aug17 Jul05 Jun10 May31 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 2.00    
8  MALI BALI Aug23 Jul20 Jun22     (elliott mich)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.