Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/3)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/5/7)-(2/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(2/4/1)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/6/5)-(2/9/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(2/9/5/8)-(1/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/5/8)-(1/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/8)-(1/2/10)-(1/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/10)-(1/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/10)-(1/2/10)-(1/2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/10)-(1/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/3)-(1/9/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/3)-(1/9/6/3)-(1/9/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG LEGS Jul22 Jul02       (runco c)BATISTA A 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
CAPTAIN CREED Jan06 Nov26 May06     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.60 47% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TORCIDA by PLEASANT TAP)
FAIRPIT Jul21 Sep16 Jul30 Jun30 Feb25 (jones a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
  (by MAKE RESERVATIONS out of TSUNAMI STRYKER by FAIRBANKS)
SCR  KLIMT O'MATIC Aug19 Jul29 Oct07     (viands r)CULLUM W 121 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NEVER TOOMANY GEMS by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  BAZINGA D         (keller )NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BAZINGA B by LION HEARTED)
SCR  COMO ESTAS Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 4.50    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of LEVIA VITA by GHOSTZAPPER)
GOLDEN ADAGE Jul29 Jul01 Jun16 Apr28 Apr08 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 121 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
 
CT-2   09/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Oct28         (hamlin kathleen)PELTROCHE F 121 15.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
MISS ARGENTINA Sep02         (larrosa a)BOCACHICA J 114 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
GHOST OF ALCINA Sep02 Aug04 Jul01 Jun10 May11 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
VERITAS LUX MEA Sep02         (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of PROSPECTIVE PEACE by MEDFORD)
SCR  BABY BREEZE         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 121 4.50    
  (by GANDHI out of BABY LEXI by STORM BOOT)
SCR  RIGHT TO REFUSE Sep08         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 1.80    
  (by REDESDALE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
LIL SPITTIN IMAGE Sep15 Sep02       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 20.00    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
CAJUN CASHEW Aug12 Jul22       (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of SOFIE S by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
CT-3   09/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUZIA Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May12 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Sep09 Aug25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun02 Feb24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 38% 1.60    
LA MADDALENA Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCARLET REBEL Aug25 Aug12 Jul22     (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Apr08 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
PHILMARY CASTLE Aug12 Jul01 May26 Mar24 Jan20 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
 
CT-4   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK ROSE Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 7% 13.80    
GOLDEN BELL Aug17 May12 Aug01 May15   (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.80 63% 0.60    
SHERIFF'S KID Sep14 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
VEGAS MAGIC Jul29 Jul04 Nov04 Sep10 Aug13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 7% 12.70    
BABA Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 Jun10 May28 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
LACE REVOLUTION Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May05 Mar02 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
KALENJIN May27 May06 Apr15 Jan15   (cornwel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERETODAYGONMANANA Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
SUMMERTIME ROSE Jun22 May29 Apr23 Apr01 Mar09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 37% 1.70    
MAP THE MOMENT Sep15 Sep07 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 (campbell )BOCACHICA J 113 50.00    
SCR  WICKED SAUCY Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul20 May27 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
BEST VIRGINIA Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 May05 Apr13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
WINDSOR'S PLAY Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun19 (rideout ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
BAYS CASTLE Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr06 Mar09 (graci kimber)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
SCR  KATALIMA Jul22 Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00    
SWEET FACTOR Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   09/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun18 Apr02 (mancilla )HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
ELVIRUS Aug26 Jul26 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
MY MIRACLE MAN Aug12 Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr14 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 6.00    
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Aug18 Jul07 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 12.00    
TOUGH TO TAME Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 Jun02 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MYSTIFIED Aug23 Jul05 Jun03 Mar31 Feb23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50    
ROCKY DICE Sep01 Aug11 Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
LOKOYA ROAD Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL CRUSADER Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 May07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
10  WE B SHACKIN Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun15 May13 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
11  ATTENTIVE Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 May13 Apr30 (brown keith)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  LADDIE LIAM Sep01 Aug11 Jun24 Jun02 May12 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   09/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Henry Mercer Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBAWITHATWIST Sep02 Aug05 Jun30     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
POWERED BY LOVE Jul21 Jun30       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GAME OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul14 May25 May01     (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 117 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
RACING HOT LINE Sep16 Sep01 Aug11     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Sep22 Aug05 Jul06     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
SCR  ILIKEFUNSIZE Sep22 Aug10 Jul19 Jun18   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 117 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FRENCH SADIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
TWO BRONZE STARS Aug31 Aug05 Jul14     (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  DORADO Sep01         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BOPPIN ROCKET by OFFICER ROCKET)
KING KONTIE Sep09 Aug05 Jul14     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
10  GRANDY Aug11         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
 
CT-8   09/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY MON Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 May28 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
PROTA Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul21 Jun24 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Sep09 Aug27 Jul28 May26 May11 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WIZARD OF ODDS Aug31 Jul20 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  YABBA DABBA DUDE Aug26 Jul27 Dec14 Nov03 Oct13 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
INDIANA RED Aug26 Aug05 May20 Feb01 Jan12 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
SCR  BE BE BOP Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
GRAND FIBER Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May27 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
MAGICAL EXPRESS Aug26 Jul30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan26 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
10  GOT FLOFFY Aug31 Jul15 May18 May06 Mar30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
SCR  BIG DADDY D R Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 May13 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
SCR  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Jun28 May31 May01 Feb20 Jan19 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.