Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(1/4/7)-(6/4/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(6/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(6/4/7/8)-(9/2/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/8)-(9/2/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/8)-(9/2/1/10)-(10/9/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-4   WIN (9/2/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/10)-(9/2/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/10)-(9/2/1/10)-(9/2/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/1/10)-(10/9/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/10)-(10/9/6/1)-(3/2/7/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (10/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/6/1)-(10/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/6/1)-(10/9/6/1)-(10/9/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/6/1)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/6/1)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(2/12/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/2/7/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6/10)-(2/12/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6/10)-(2/12/5/6)-(5/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/12/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/5/6)-(2/3/12/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/5/6)-(2/3/12/5/6)-(2/3/12/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/12/5/6)-(5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/12/5/6)-(5/6/10)-(7/5/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/10)-(5/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/10)-(5/6/10)-(5/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/10)-(7/5/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/10)-(7/5/11)-(7/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-9   WIN (7/5/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/11)-(7/5/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/11)-(7/5/11)-(7/5/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/11)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CNL-10   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUT IT CALI Aug18 May31 May03 Apr14 Mar17 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 1.20 51% 1.00    
TIPHARAH Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 May05 (lusk brian )CASIQUE URBARDO 123 30.00    
PUSH Aug31 Aug18 Aug30     (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 116 6.00    
FANCY WARRIOR Aug31 Jul06 Jun24 Jun15 Nov22 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 118 4.50    
BEDTIMEBOURBON Aug18 Aug02 Jul14 Aug29 Jul27 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Aug24 Aug04 Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 (sanchez-pinero)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00    
GET A GRIP MARILYN Jun04 May25 Apr20 Sep09 Aug13 (morzan jav)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
CNL-2   09/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIUS Aug25 Jun24 May26     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.40 29% 2.40    
CARD TRICK Jul21 Jun01       (asmussen)GALLARDO A 119 2.00    
DESTINO Aug25 Jul27 Jul15 Jun03   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
BRODIE BOY         (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
BIG TAP Aug25 Aug05       (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
MR. LEFTY Aug25 Jul27 Jun03     (munoz carlo)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 10.00    
STREET OUTLAW         (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
 
CNL-3   09/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATELY APRIL Aug31 Aug11       (rountree cathy)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
TRANQUILA RUBY Aug24 Aug17 Aug04     (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 8.00    
FIFTH CIRCUIT Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 Apr28   (mccutchen)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
ONE COOL CHICK Aug25 Aug11 Jul22     (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.50 7% 14.40    
BELLY DANCE Aug18         (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
TIDBIT Jul21 Jul07       (stidham micha)KARAMANOS A 119 1.80 66% 0.50    
OSO Aug31 Aug17 Aug02     (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAHISH Aug25         (cascallares ne)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   09/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATISFIED Aug11 Aug02 Jul21 Jul08 Jun15 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
TAP N GLO Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May13 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 25% 2.90    
PLEASE MARRY ME Aug17 Aug04 Dec29 Dec03 Nov13 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
HOPE OVER FEAR Aug04 Jun18 May21 Apr29 Aug21 (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50    
HEARTBURN Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 May26 May18 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
SCR  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Aug03 Jul23 Jul13 May18 Jan15 (barr h)CASTANON L 122 30.00    
REACHING STRIDE Aug17 Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 Jun04 (morzan jav)SANCHEZ J 124 15.00    
LA BRODY Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun04 (cascallares ne)GOLIBRZUCH S 122 30.00    
KIT CAN RUN Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May19 Apr28 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  A RING THING Mar18 Mar03 Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   09/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE ANDREW Aug23 Jun28 Jun03 Nov05 Jun17 (richards marvi)HENRY WESLEY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
JEST ABOVE Aug26 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 May29 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
STILL THE ONE Aug26 Dec02 Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 (richards marvin)GILPIN SEAN 123 30.00    
SCR  JUST GO WITH IT Jun03 May05 Apr14 Aug27   (kee wil)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 30.00    
NINTH OF APRIL Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May28 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00    
CRAZY ODDS Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Aug06 Jul26 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MO TOWN BLUES Aug11 Aug02 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 (cascallares ne)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 30.00    
TEMPTING MOMENT Aug17 Jul14 Jun15 May05 Sep05 (hester lea)ALONSO LUIS 123 15.00    
DRUM AND DRUMMER Aug26 Aug02 Jun03 May16 Apr19 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
10  GET THEM DIGITS Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 May27 Dec16 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 41% 1.50    
 
CNL-6   09/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED KITTEN Aug02 Jul08 Dec11 Nov21 Oct27 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
STORM CREED Aug25 Aug17       (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
LADY RAVEN         (voss eli)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
BESSIE BLUE Aug24 Aug17 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 8.00    
BACK OFF ME Aug17 Jul21 May26 May06 Mar31 (russo anthony )ASHTON GAVIN 124 8.00    
MRS BRADSTREET         (lusk bri)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 17% 4.90    
GATHER THE FACTS Aug18 Aug02 Jul03 May28 Apr22 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
PANTHER COMMAND Jul01 Jun12       (nixon justi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 30.00    
SCR  COLLEGE TRY Aug23 Jul21 Jun10 May24 May08 (pessanha )CARRASCO R 124 15.00    
10  NOTHINGMAKESENSE Jun17 May27 Nov02 Oct14 Sep23 (aguayo ramon)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  ANNIE'S KINGDOM Aug25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul01 Aug20 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 124 8.00    
 
CNL-7   09/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL CONSORT Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Mar31 Mar17 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
CAROLINE KRYSTYNA Aug18 Jul15 Jun18 May19   (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 118 2.50 61% 0.70    
CHICKAHOMINY Aug03 Jul15       (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
SCR  LEVISA Jan16 Jan07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep06 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
NEXT EPISODE Sep02 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (saville n)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 18.60    
ISLAND PHILO Aug05 Jul22 Jun10 Jun02 May12 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Aug19 Aug05       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 10.00    
CLASSIC VINYL Dec16 Oct14 Sep07     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00    
MELIPONINI BEE Aug13 Aug03 Jun16 Jun09 May12 (cooney s)ROCCO S 122 20.00    
SCR  DETERMINED CHARM Aug19 Aug03 Jul15 Jun13 Dec03 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
11  BODE'S HERITAGE Aug04 Jul15 Apr02 Feb24 Jan18 (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
12  WISE AND ELEGANT Aug10 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 Aug23 (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  CLOUDS OF WHITE Aug13 Jul14 May25     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00    
 
CNL-8   09/06/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT MODE Mar25 Feb25       (saville niall)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of VAGUELY FAMILIAR by A.P. INDY)
SCR  GREATANDGOOD         (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
SCR  KICKS LIKE TUCKER Jul22         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of READING ROOM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SNEAKING SUSPICION Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr30 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EMERALD SONG by EUROSILVER)
HE'S A LUCKY GUY Jul26         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 32% 2.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SHE'S GOT RULES by HOLY BULL)
HOLEY MOLEY Jul22 Jun17       (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KISSER N RUN by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  HAY CHIEF Aug13 Aug04 Jul15 Jul09 Jun17 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  GO TAKE CHARGE Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 Sep18 Jul23 (neilson kathy)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GO GO NEIGH by STORM BOOT)
WINFIELD         (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VICTORY GARDEN by ARCH)
10  SPINZAR May07 Mar18 Dec24 Oct28   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by TAPIT out of FLEET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CNL-9   09/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JASIRA Jan14 Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Oct15 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00    
QUEEN'S IMAGE Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17   (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
HERECOMESPUDD Aug02 Jul13 Apr27 Jan14 Nov18 (oxendine adam)GOLIBRZUCH S 124 30.00    
SCR  ALTER THE STARS Aug18 Jul08       (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
MUNNIS PRETTY Aug31 Aug02 Jul14 Jul03 May18 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASTLE BORN Aug18 Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (duffy se)GALLARDO A 124 1.80    
MI CORAZON Aug31 May20 May07 Apr23 Mar23 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.00 72% 0.40    
SCR  SARA KALI Jun10 May05 Apr26 Apr05 Mar04 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00    
MS EXCUSE Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun04 May05 (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00    
10  BOUNTY KILLAH Aug26 Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 (richards marvi)HENRY WESLEY 119 20.00    
11  SOUR PATCH GIRL Aug20 Aug10 Apr15 Mar28   (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-10   09/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHACALOSA Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 Jun11 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00    
GUN BOAT Jul19 Jun03 Apr15     (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
ADIOS BABE Aug04 Jul02 Apr22 Mar23 Mar09 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 12.00    
MOANAS POWER Aug18 Jul27 Jul15 Jun03 May07 (munoz carlo)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  ZOINNOCENT (IRE)         (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
SCR  TRANSLATE Aug12 Aug03 Jul07 Nov20 Oct29 (allen a )GALLARDO A 123 15.00    
MOOR STRENGTH Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 May25 (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 123 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  COMPASS FIRE Aug17 Aug12 Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 (seale christop)ROCCO S 120 30.00    
SCR  MOONBOOTS Jun10 May25 Apr10 Mar21 Feb21 (morgan carla)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
10  LOLA FLO Aug12 Jun22 May18 Jul02 Jun19 (ginter raymond)CASTANON L 123 15.00    
SCR  ANGIE FROM KULM Aug18 Jul21 May05 Oct07   (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
SCR  ONLY KIDDING Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Feb08 (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.