Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(6/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/9/1)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/1)-(6/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/1)-(6/9/1)-(6/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/1)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1)-(3/6/2)-(1/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/9)-(3/10/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/9)-(3/10/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9)-(3/10/7/2)-(6/12/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/2)-(3/10/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/2)-(3/10/7/5/2)-(3/10/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/7/2)-(6/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7/2)-(6/12/4)-(3/2/10/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/12/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/12/4)-(6/12/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/12/4)-(6/12/4)-(6/12/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/12/4)-(3/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/12/4)-(3/2/10/7)-(3/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/7)-(3/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/7)-(3/2/10/7)-(3/2/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/10/7)-(3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/10/7)-(3/7/2)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/5/6)-(13/7/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(13/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-10   WIN (13/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/7/9)-(13/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (13/7/9)-(13/7/9)-(13/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMALFI LADY Jul12 Jun18 May28 Apr17 Mar20 (christman kimbe)BOWMAN ADAM 118 15.00    
RUBY DOOBY DOO Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun18 May25 (ashton pat)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Aug12 Jul12 Jun18 Apr18 Apr05 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
ROAD TO DREAMS Jul12 Jun18 May22 Mar13 Aug29 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00    
ANACARAVA (IRE) Jul17 Jun10 Apr21 Mar12 Feb18 (linder louis )OCASIO M null      
TOTAL DISCRETION Jul24 Jun26 May29 May04 Apr14 (guerrero c)TORRES A 117 2.00 33% 2.00    
FIVE STAR FRAN Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May10 Apr17 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 111 4.00 16% 5.40    
MISBEHAVING LADY Jul18 Jun14 Jun05 May22 May06 (kirby john )RAMOS C 122 20.00    
 
PRX-2   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN MAN Jun28 Jun14 May31 May10 Apr18 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
WISPERING SPRINGS Aug02 Jul17 May30 May10 May03 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
SCR  HANEY BOYS Jul19 Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 Jul20 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 122 6.00    
AYE Jul26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
SCR  ROCKIN FREEBEE Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May30 May15 (romero alexis)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 20.00    
LORD UHTRED Aug02 Jun24 May27 May07 Apr15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
IN SPADES Jul04 Jun10 May01 Feb20 Jan30 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.50    
TREPAT Dec11 Oct23 Sep18 Jun26   (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00    
PORSUPUESTO Jul05 Jun28 May20 May09 Mar27 (perez rupe)HENRY JR 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
PRX-3   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCK OUT KID Jul17 Jun18 May29 May08 Apr26 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00    
LEVIOSA Aug09 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00 7% 12.70    
SIZZLING ROMA Jul11 Jun05 May15 Apr24 Apr04 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
BOCA ROYALTY Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 (diaz jorge)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR Aug10 Apr26 Mar15 Feb23 Jan19 (martinez alexan)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00    
ISABELLA SMILE Jul28 Jun18 May29 Mar28 Mar07 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  LIVE AID Aug03 Jul03 Jun06 May08 Apr19 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00    
SOUTHERN CENTS Jul30 Jun06 May16 Apr24 Apr04 (king b)GILPIN SEAN 122 15.00    
 
PRX-4   08/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTY CAKES Jul27 Jul14 Mar30 Feb11 Jan01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 73% 0.40    
IRIE EMPRESS Aug12 Jul24 Jun21 May28 Apr12 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 15.00    
WISHING ONA PRAYER Jul18 May15 Apr19 Mar20   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 15.00    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS Aug21 Aug10 Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00    
SCR  BOSTON PRINCESS Jul22 Jun23 May11 Apr20 Mar08 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
COLLIN'S GREY LADY Jul12 Jan30 Jan04 Dec21 Dec07 (coletti j)CASTILLO A 122 8.00    
PHANCY PHILLY Aug01 Jul24 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  CASTILLEJA Jun26 Jun15 May15 Apr03 Feb27 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
DISTORTED VIEW Jul17 Jun19 May23 Jan18 Dec06 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A RING THING Mar18 Mar03 Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 (sot)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
 
PRX-5   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LA LUCY Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Aug03 Jul25 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
LEAPING FOR CANDY Aug05 Jul12 Jun07 May29 Apr17 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
OLD HEAD Jul11 May31 Mar13 Feb08 Jan10 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
LUCKY BREEZE Jul04 Jun01 May16 May03 Apr26 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
NOW ACT SURPRISED Jul05 Jun10 May30 May10 Apr19 (coletti edward )VIVES SOFIA 113 6.00    
DUNE JUMPER Aug12 Aug05 Jul18 Jun20 May22 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
BE WATER Aug04 Jul24 Jun28 May31 May02 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Aug10 Jul20 Feb15 Jan20 Dec28 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 118 20.00    
RIVERVIEW Aug13 Jul24 Jun14 May31 Apr24 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 111 4.50    
10  BACK TO D' FUTURE Jul18 Jun14 May08 Apr04 Mar10 (soto- marti)NUNEZ Y 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
PRX-6   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Aug12 Jul24 Jul12 Jun21 Jun12 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00    
SCR  E T'S DEMON FIRE         (chacon gust)ANGULO J 120 15.00 20% 4.10    
JEWELS IN THE BAY Jul24 Jun18 Jun05     (brown r)MOYA F 124 8.00    
RESPIRATOR Aug22 Jul26 Jun30 Jun17 Nov29 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
GO LIME Jul24 Jul05 Sep13 Jun28 May31 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 124 20.00    
GO EAST Jun05 May03 Feb15 Jan24 Dec06 (servis tyle)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 1.80 32% 2.20    
CHASING STARDOM Dec07         (tapsas elias)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
STAND UNITED Aug04 Sep24 Aug26     (kirby t)OCASIO M 124 20.00    
CARRICKMACROSS Jul26 Jun18 Jun05 May23 May03 (dotolo david)NGUYEN JASON 120 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL MOVER Jul05 Jun18 May03 Aug25 Jul23 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE HENRY Jul12 Jun21 Jun10 Nov09 Oct25 (padilla o)VIVES SOFIA 115 8.00    
12  UPTOWN SHOES Jul05 Jun21 May23 Apr26 Mar29 (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
PRX-7   08/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOOP DAWG Aug03 Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 May15 (gonzalez-milian)VIVES SOFIA 117 20.00    
JARDANI Jul19 Jul03 May27 May05 Apr13 (ness jamie)TORRES A 117 3.00 20% 4.00    
IT'S GAME TIME Jul25 Feb22 Jan16 Dec14 Oct28 (dandy j)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
JACOHARE Jul26 Jul17 Jun26 May24 May17 (milian carl)NUNEZ Y 122 12.00    
AWESOME LAUNCH Aug16 Jun26 May30 May20 Dec16 (guerrero j)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
PIT BOSS Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 May27 May04 (bernardini)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
BIRD KING Aug04 Jul17 Jun18 May22 Jun20 (pin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7% 13.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Aug12 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May11 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
SCR  SHOOGER RAY TOO Jul17 Jun18 Jan07 Nov07 Oct03 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
10  SPEIGHTSTER RED Jul19 Jun13 May30 May20 May09 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
11  BRETT'S WORLD Aug16 Jul25 Jun09 May24 Apr25 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
 
PRX-8   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERO Aug09 Jul18 Jun19 May27 May08 (smith everton)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
EARLY EDITION Jul18 May29 May08 Apr03 Mar03 (mcmullin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON BON BAY Jul18 Nov23 Sep07 Jun29   (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SWEET WILLEMINA Jul18 Jul01 May27 May14 Apr13 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 4.50    
OUT DANCING Jul17 Jun19 May22 Apr26 Apr10 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
JUROR NUMBER FOUR Jun16 Dec30 Nov25 Oct19 Sep30 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Jul18 Jul01 May20 Mar11 Feb11 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
PRX-9   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ET'S MOON MAIDEN Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 Jun10 May15 (chacon gustavo)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
SCR  SNAPPY RIDE Jul27 Jun10 May29 Apr24 Mar07 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
FLOR DE SOMBRA Mar25 Nov25 Oct24 Sep24 Aug22 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
WORST BEHAVIOUR Aug06 Jul11 Jun12 Apr30 Feb15 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
WICKED SIGHT Jul11 Jun20       (linder louis)TORRES A 117 4.00 31% 2.20    
CLOUT CHASER Jul08 May15 Apr26 Mar13 Jan18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAPER MANSION Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Jul30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50    
ESPERNSITA Oct31 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 Jul13 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
10  DESERT DALLIANCE Jul22 Jun17 Apr13 Mar12 Feb13 (breen kelly)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
SCR  EUPHIMA (ARG) Aug08         (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO null      
 
PRX-10   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARVELETTE Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May24 Sep25 (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
SCR  NEON CITY Aug22 Aug05 Jun07 May24 Sep10 (carango an)RIVERA R 117 10.00    
SO FULLY SUE Jul10 May19 Apr28 Apr08 Mar05 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00    
SCR  DETERMINED LILLY Aug16 Jul13 May24 May04 Dec30 (schoenthal )WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 4.00    
ELEVENMONTHSLATER Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 May24 May15 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
SCR  CARMEL SUNRISE Aug11 Jul09 Jun25 May29 Apr19 (mcmahon hugh )SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00    
DIVINE WINE Jul02 Jun11 May12 Apr02 Mar12 (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
FLIGHT May31 Apr24 Mar13 Feb07 Jan10 (velazquez alfre)RUIZ ELISEO 111 10.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TAP IT UP Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May14 Apr16 (ryerson jame)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
11  ROYAL PARTY Jul04 Jun27 May24 May13 Apr19 (st u)HENRY JR 118 15.00    
12  HEART LIGHT Aug19 Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 May13 (flores-coba fe)CORREA JULIO 122 12.00    
13  BRUNO BARBER GIRL Jun27 May31 Apr26 Mar22 Mar07 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  NIGHTSABER (GB) Jul03 Jun02 May14 Apr20 Jan22 (de hor)SANCHEZ J null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.