Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/9/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/12)-(4/9/7/3/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/12)-(4/9/7/3/12)-(4/9/7/3/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/7/12)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/12)-(5/3/4)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/4)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/5/1)-(7/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/6/3/8)-(3/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/8)-(3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/8)-(3/6/5/8)-(4/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/8)-(4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/8)-(4/5/9)-(7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/9)-(4/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/9)-(4/5/9)-(4/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/9)-(7/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/9)-(7/6/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9)-(7/6/5/8/9)-(7/6/5/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE SAID CASH Aug15         (garcia )DE CRUZ 117 6.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of THATS WHATSHESAID by LION HEART)
TURBONATOR Nov16         (richardville tian)PEREZ A 124 30.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of SUGAR COMA by JACQUELYN'S GROOM)
LAST OUTLAW Aug09         (shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 113 8.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of GAZELEY by FIRST DEFENCE)
BIG CITY HEAT Aug01 Jul08 Jun15 May23 May02 (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by HEAT SHIMMER out of CITY WIFE by CITY PLACE)
HAYWES Aug09 Nov17       (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 114 30.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of CLASSIC ESSENCE by EL CORREDOR)
WE MISS OTIS Aug03         (nance jona)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 12.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of COLORADO JANE by GIACOMO)
PRADO CITY         (richardville)MORALES JOSHUA 124 20.00 8% 11.60    
  (by FORT PRADO out of MOUNTAIN CITY by CENTURY CITY (IRE))
CADILLAC JUSTICE Aug16 Jul11 Jun22     (granitz ant)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 15.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of CORONADO CROWN by HENNY HUGHES)
SLACKER         (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.50 33% 2.10    
  (by SKYLORD out of NAKED PASSION by RED BULLET)
10  RUNAWAY IMAGE Aug16 Aug01 May15 May03 Nov16 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
SCR  CHA CHA LARRY Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 Nov16 Oct31 (cook brian)MOJICA O 124 2.50    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of WITH A LITTLE SALT by DIXIE ROAD)
12  STARSPANGLEDIMAGE Aug03 Nov21       (brown andy)HUGHES CARLY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of STARSPANGLEDDANCER by FLARE DANCER)
 
IND-2   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE BRYAN Aug16         (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
I NINETY FIVE Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun15 Oct05 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50    
ETERNAL BLISS Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 Mar19   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
DOMHNALL Aug16 Jul13 Jun24 May11 Apr19 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
THE MOTTO Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 32% 2.20    
WHOOP GONE Aug10 Jul18 Nov17     (cluley de)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
KING OF KENTUCKY Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 May21 Apr28 (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 120 2.50    
 
IND-3   08/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEVER TEMPLE Jul06 May24 Jun27 May18 Apr20 (paye jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00    
HE TAKES CHARGE Aug16 Mar16 Feb23 Feb01 Dec03 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 0.80 52% 0.90    
REDSKIESATNIGHT Jul05 Dec01 Nov15 Jun09 May07 (richard)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
EVIL EYE Jul06 Jun24 Jun07 May25 May03 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
BOLD BIZNESS Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 May22 Nov16 (duran antonio)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SIMON PETER Aug01 Jul06 Mar17 Feb11 Aug09 (bergin tom)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
 
IND-4   08/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXCOCO Jul31 Jun23 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
DRAMA CRITIC Jul31 Jun21 May30 May09 Mar15 (asmussen st)STILLION BROOKE 120 1.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  BIG DAN Jul03         (kelley )DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
GOLDEN REIGN Aug10 Jun10 May23 May03 Dec09 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
NIGHT CHANT Jul30 Jun22       (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
GHOST BIKE Jul21 Jun07 May02 Mar09 Dec23 (sturgeon c)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
SCR  HILTON HEAD Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 May25   (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00    
FEELINGOODBILLYRAY Jul12         (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 30.00    
STEP ON IT Jun10 May20 Apr20 Feb17 Dec20 (west w)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
10  RUFFLED WATERS Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May23 Oct06 (mcmichael larry)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
 
IND-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JULEE FOREVER Aug10 Jul08 Jun20 Oct17 Oct05 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  TEN LIL VICTORIES Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 May25 May15 (holden j)RAMOS D 124 30.00    
VALINE Aug10 Jul15 Jun27 May31 Sep12 (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
WIRY Aug02 Aug02       (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
SCR  JANTIVA Aug10 Nov17 Nov01     (wisner j)PEREZ A 120 30.00    
YOU'RE SO AWESOME         (egglest)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
SHANGHAI EXPRESS Aug17 Jul15 Jun27 May25 Apr25 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
STOPSHOPINGKAREN Aug08         (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY LINDA W Aug17 Jul15 Jun21 May25 May10 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 120 4.50    
10  JANE'S A DIVA Aug10 Aug02 May03 Nov14 Oct25 (wisner j)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
SCR  LEGS FOR DAYS Aug10 Nov17 Oct31 Aug31   (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 20.00    
12  MEAN ELENITA Aug17 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May25 (garcia isra)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 3.50    
 
IND-6   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOLO Jul15 Jun17 May16 Apr26 Sep13 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 119 3.50    
MOON CAT Aug15 Jul23 Jul08 May17 Apr21 (davis christo)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
TAKE CHARGE GENT Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 May15 (brobe)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
AUTO GLIDE Jun27 May25 May06 Apr01 Jul24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00    
NIP N TUCK Jan18 Nov22 Sep29 Aug20 Aug03 (contreras cipria)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOREAU Jun30 May14 Apr22     (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
ROYAL VICKY Jul23 May30 May09 Mar10 Feb17 (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
JACKSONS GOLD Jul19 May24 May06 Oct04 Sep13 (thompson erin)PEREZ E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY Jul19 May28 May11 Mar26 Feb25 (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50    
 
IND-7   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAGEANT PURRFECT Aug08         (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 30.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PURR by THIRTY EIGHT PACES)
SCR  SUMMER DANCE Aug12         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
LADY YELLOWSTONE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SOUND OF THUNDER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
EL KOWN         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KOSMO'S BUDDY by OUTFLANKER)
COFFEE CRISP         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BROKEN BRIDLE by BROKEN VOW)
HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) Aug06         (mott i)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
KAM'S ROCKIN GOLD         (thompson erin)PEREZ E 117 8.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ORANGEBLACKANDGOLD by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL Aug21         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HOMESICK ANGEL by DIVINE PARK)
BALLADRY Aug08         (pitts helen)MOJICA O 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HARLOW GOLD by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
IND-8   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERSIFY Aug01 Jul05       (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HALO'S VERSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
VIDEO PRINCESS Aug09 May16 Apr27 Sep02 Aug20 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRINCESS PHARAOH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
STAGE BELL Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 Sep22   (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of REHEARSED by TAPIT)
FLURR Aug09 Jul20 Jun27 Jun17 May29 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
HURRY UP HANNAH Jun13 May14 Apr15     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
SUPER LUXE Aug03 Jul12 Jun15 Apr19 Mar25 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MS. LILIBET Jul20 Jun27       (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 39% 1.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
PAINT ME PERFECT Jul20 Jun24 Apr19 Feb26 Jan16 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
MISCHIEF LILY Aug01 Jul20 May24 May03 Apr07 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  RUE         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SPELLBOUND by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
SCR  JUNGLE CAT Jul31 Feb11       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  MILIEU Jul31 Apr27 Mar16 Jan29 Dec11 (mott i)PRESCOTT R 120 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  MIDVALE Aug01 Oct02 Aug07     (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CROWNSTONE by STREET CRY (IRE))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.