Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/7/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/1/3)-(6/7/10/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7/10)-(1/3/6/7/10)-(1/3/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7/10)-(1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/10/1/3)-(1/5/2)-(10/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(10/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(10/5/6/7)-(2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (10/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/6/7)-(10/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/10)-(5/6/7/10)-(5/6/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/10)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/6/7)-(2/3/5)-(10/5/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(10/5/2/3/6)-(3/1/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (10/5/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/3/6)-(10/5/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6/10)-(2/3/5/6/10)-(2/3/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6/10)-(1/3/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/2/3/6)-(3/1/11/10)-(4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/1/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/11/10)-(3/1/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/11)-(1/3/10/11)-(1/3/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/10/11)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/11/10)-(4/3/6)-(3/6/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/6/8/1)-(2/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/8)-(2/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHUGS Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 Jun23 May07 (ginter j)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KENTUCKY REIGN Jul30 Jul09 May02 Apr19 Mar25 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 15.00    
3  JANE STREET Jul21 Jul02       (hohlbei)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 Jun10 Jun01 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
SCR  STORM RATE Jun11 May06 Feb22 Jan04 Dec09 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 15.00    
6  CLOUDS OF WHITE Jul14 May25       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
7  GATITA SUAVE Aug03 Jul15 Jun16 May27 May12 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  MYSTIC MALIBU Jul21 Jun15 May18 May04   (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 121 30.00    
SCR  LOVELY LIZA Jun25 May29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50    
10  THUNDER BOSS Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun24 May26 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
11  MELIPONINI BEE Aug03 Jun16 Jun09 May12 Oct30 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00    
SCR  TATOR MADE Jul07         (rideout ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 15.00    
 
LRL-2   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ESCAPE Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 May27 May07 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 121 1.40 29% 2.50    
2  SLOE GIN BIZ Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May18 May04 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00 12% 7.40    
3  LUV YA BYE BYE Jul30 Jul02 Jun09 May26 May04 (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00    
SCR  BARB'S PRIDE Aug03 Jul14 May25 May05 Apr14 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 30.00    
5  RASCALLY REBEL Jul23 Jul15 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  POLITICAL DECISION Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 May13 Apr15 (murtaug)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
7  HOP AND SCOTCH Jul22 Jun11 May31 Mar29 Mar19 (ramirez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00    
 
LRL-3   08/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER CLOUDY Jul07 May14 Apr01     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 8.00    
SCR  DOWNTOWN KATIE Jul12 Jun23 May20 May04 Nov06 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 5.00    
SCR  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Mar26 Jan13 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
4  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Jul13 Jun03 May13 Mar15 May15 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
5  LIGHTRESS Jul13 May27 Feb10 Jan04   (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
6  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Apr14 Feb19 Jan22 Dec26 Oct22 (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00 7% 12.90    
7  NICOLAR Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Nov06 (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOUENS Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 May20 Apr29 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
9  STERN CHASER Jun25 Oct18 Aug16 Jul20   (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
10  EIDIKOS (GB) Jul14 Jun02 May02 Apr13   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
LRL-4   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWICE GOLD Jul07 Jun10 May05 Apr01 Mar26 (voss katha)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00    
2  SUPREME LAW Jul20 Feb12 Jan06 Dec11 Nov25 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 57% 0.80    
3  TAKE CHARGE TOO Aug04 May04 Mar26 Dec30 Dec09 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  ROAN BURGUNDY Jun24 May29 Mar22 Mar04 Oct27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
5  MY MAMBA Aug03 May29 May05 Oct27 Oct02 (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BILL OF RIGHTS Aug04 Jul09 Jun15     (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 121 8.00    
 
LRL-5   08/13/2023 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTS EDITOR Jul14 Jun21 May25 Nov20 Nov04 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of UTTER PLEASURE by CROWD PLEASER)
2  PIETRELCINA Jul08 May26 Apr07 Mar15   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of STRIKING BELLA by SMART STRIKE)
3  SLEIGHT OF HAND Jul01         (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 16% 5.20    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  AMANI'S TIGER Jul13 Jun09       (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  THE JACKAL Jul08         (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
6  CRIPPLE CREEK Jul23 Nov13 Sep29     (cox kenne)CARRASCO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MIDNIGHT RAMBLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  HAY CHIEF Aug04 Jul15 Jul09 Jun17 May26 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  CINDER HILLS Jul08         (wyatt j)DELGADO A 121 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of MAKADA by HARD SPUN)
9  NONNA'S TIRAMISU Jul08 May14 Mar19 Feb05   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 116 4.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NONNA MIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  ST. JOHN'S Jul07 Jun02 Apr14 Mar18 Feb18 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FORTRESS by RAHY)
 
LRL-6   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Searching Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Jul14 Jun22 May20 Nov27 Oct28 (trombetta m)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of TOO FOOFOO FOR YOU by FREUD)
SCR  YESTERNIGHT Jul14 Jun03 Apr22     (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BETTER NOT BLINK by HARD SPUN)
3  CECILE (IRE) Jul22 Jun24 May13 Feb11 Nov16 (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GREAT LOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  APPLE PICKER Jun18 May25 Oct28 Sep04 Aug07 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  STELLAR LADY Jul08 Jun06 May05 Mar25 Mar05 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of STELLAR BABY by BRAHMS)
6  BOLIVIE (IRE) May12 Mar25       (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BURMA SUN by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
7  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 Dec09 Aug14 (mcpeek kennet)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAHATI by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
8  SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE) Jul08         (motion graham)NO RIDER 124 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STARSCAPE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Jun24 May12       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SHOMARIA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
10  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Jul01 Jun03 May05 Mar11 Jan16 (amoss m)NO RIDER 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
11  NAVAL EMPIRE Jul14 Jun11 May04 Mar10 Feb11 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
LRL-7   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS Jul14 Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 20.00    
2  AIN'T DA BEER COLD May29 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 Feb18 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
3  ALL THREES Jul23 Jul08 May25 Apr29 Apr13 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.40 22% 3.50    
4  DOUBLE CROWN Jul23 Jun17 May29 May04 Mar18 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  ARMANDO R Jul23 Jun17 May19 Apr20 Mar25 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50    
6  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jul29 Jul19 Jul02 Jun17 May19 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
LRL-8   08/13/2023 6270ft TURF RC11 FIRM Bald Eagle Derby Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDEST SON Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 May14 Apr15 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
2  SIRTAKI (FR)         (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 3.00    
  (by KINGSALSA out of FORESTA (FR) by FORESTIER (FR))
3  ARI GOLD Jul20 Dec10 Nov06 Oct02 Sep03 (pletcher to)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SATIRICAL by HIGH COMEDY)
SCR  GEORGIE W Jul08 Jun15 May11     (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVIE'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  DATAMAN Jun28 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 Oct02 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
6  CIRCLING THE DRAIN Jul08 May20 Apr15 Mar18 Feb20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of WHO'S COZY by COZZENE)
7  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar09 (mcpeek kennet)KARAMANOS A 122 1.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNAPPEASED by GALILEO)
8  ENGLISH PAINTER May06 Apr08 Mar12 Jan12 Dec03 (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KELTON'S WAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
LRL-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY MOR Jul21 Jun10 May07 Apr02 Mar01 (cox ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 30.00    
2  CORA'S CHOICE Jul28 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 May14 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
3  WAVERLEY Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May06 Apr02 (bailes ro)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 4.50 6% 17.00    
4  AZTEC BAY Aug03 May13 Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 4.00    
5  CELTIC WAR CRY Aug03 Jun16       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  HEY RIRI Aug03 Jul02 Jun17 May25   (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
7  DATS A SUPERSTAR Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 May25 Feb24 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 3.00 9% 10.50    
8  SUPER MONEY Aug05 Jun23 May27 Apr02 Mar01 (haughto)BRICENO GREGOR 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.