Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(8/7/5/4)-(1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4)-(1/2/6)-(6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/5/3)-(5/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/3/6)-(3/7/9/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/7/9/2/8)-(6/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-6   WIN (3/7/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/2/8)-(3/7/9/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/2/8)-(3/7/9/2/8)-(3/7/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9/2/8)-(6/2/3)-(7/10/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(7/10/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/9/3)-(7/10/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/9/3)-(7/10/6/9/3)-(7/10/6/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E STREET ANGEL Aug01 Jul15 Nov11 Nov01 Oct25 (douglass)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 4.50    
SCR  PELLETIER Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May27 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 8.00    
3  HOT DAME Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 May17 May05 (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
4  OFF THE CHARTS Jul27 Jun21 May26 May06 Mar30 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jul23 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 Mar23 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  FORGLO Jul08 Jun22 Jun08 May17 May05 (nocero ca)CORREA L 120 6.00    
 
BTP-2   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE IT UP Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 May27 May17 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
2  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Jun15 May31 May06 Mar24 Feb25 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
3  SUPER LUCY Jun22 May17 Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 (livers ch)CORREA L 120 12.00    
4  ADDISON Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May25 May12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
5  SEAWARD Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 May31 May17 (hernandez javi)COLON H 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  BACKYARD HEN Jul08 Jun10 Mar24 Aug18 Aug02 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 10.00    
7  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jul15 Jun10 May19 Mar15 Feb15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 2.00 14% 6.20    
8  TALK RADIO Jul13 Jun08 May17 Apr13 Mar23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-3   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO LADY Jul19 Jun08 May17 May04 Apr12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  SISSY'S MAY Jul20 Jun24 May24 May17   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  SUPER SCAMP Jul05 Jun08 Aug02     (cline rob)CORREA L 119 4.00    
4  INCREDIBLE MARINI Jul19 Jul05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan26 (bogart rober)MARCANO Y 114 6.00    
5  SHOW KITTEN         (wilson david )LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50    
6  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Jul19 Jul05 Jun09     (adams l)REYES R 124 6.00 5% 17.70    
 
BTP-4   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY DAISY Jun29 Jun16 May22 May03 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00    
2  SLY WINK Jul13 Jun30       (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
3  KENDALL SPIRIT Aug09 Jul19 May12 Apr20   (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CREATIVE WHIT May27 May11 Oct06 Sep16 Jul29 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
5  TRANQUIL TIMES Jul21 Jun30       (fernandez kell)COLON H 124 3.00 13% 6.40    
6  FLATTER ME ZEN Jun21 Jun01 May05 Mar27   (barrett a)OUZTS W 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
BTP-5   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAKER'S MAN Jul19 Jun30 May31 Apr23 Apr08 (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
2  DUDLEY Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 May19 May06 (salcedo r)CORREA L 122 4.50    
3  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jul22 Jul01 May16 Apr02 Feb19 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  AWESOME D J Jun08 May17 Mar27 Mar04 Feb18 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
5  HIGH POWERED Jul22 Jul07 Jun08 May25 Apr29 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  BIG BOSS MAN Jul21 Jun10 May18 Apr28 Apr13 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORTADO Jul13 Jun21 May26 May16 Mar30 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.50    
2  SOUTHERN MESA Jul21 Sep14       (royal madelyn)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 7% 12.60    
3  HEBRIDES Jul09 May29 Mar15     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
4  BIRD SET FREE Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Apr18 Mar09 (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 125 30.00    
5  GRACIE'S KITTEN Jul29 Jul12 Apr16 Mar10 Oct05 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00    
6  WITCHING HOUR (FR) Jul07 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr23 (danner do)CORREA L 120 3.50    
7  JOEZINE Jul14 Jun29 May18 Oct24 Sep24 (macias adolfo)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 25% 3.00    
8  PARTY NEVER ENDS Jun30 Jun13 May22     (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLOSSOM DIVA Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 May16 (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 115 8.00 8% 12.10    
10  CAPTIVE STAR Jul21 Jul07 May12 Apr26 Feb23 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
 
BTP-7   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Jul05 Jun14 May16 Apr27 Apr12 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.50    
2  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Jun01 May05 Dec16 Nov05 Oct01 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
3  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jun02 Oct29 Sep21 Aug31 Jul21 (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
4  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS May25 Apr23 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 120 8.00    
5  SAIL AT SUNRISE Jun18 May29 Apr19 Nov17 Oct07 (jazdzewski jo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
6  BIG TRUCK Jun24 Jun02 May06 Dec28 Dec03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
BTP-8   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL HIM UP Feb12 Jan29 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 15.00    
2  DESERT HIGHWAY Jul14 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr29 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 6.00    
3  FAST FELIX Jun30 May24 Sep07 Aug10 Jun19 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  METATRON'S MUSE Jul13 May02 Mar25 Feb17 Jan20 (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.50    
5  CROONER Jul14 Jun17 May31 Oct22 Sep18 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 123 10.00    
6  P K WOOD Jul14 Jun23 Jun07 May04 Mar15 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 5.00 ★    
7  LAUGH A LOT Jul12 Jun21 May19     (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
8  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Jul19 Jun24 May20 Apr28 Mar25 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 8.00    
9  HASTY STRIKE Jul22 Jun30 May12 Apr28 Mar23 (thornbury jeff)OUZTS W 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TIGER PAW (IRE) Jul06 May31 May14 Apr28 Mar25 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 118 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.