Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(10/7/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(10/7/3/4/1)-(4/9/7/10/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-2   WIN (10/7/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/3/4/1)-(10/7/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/3/4/1)-(10/7/3/4/1)-(10/7/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/3/4/1)-(4/9/7/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/7/3/4/1)-(4/9/7/10/11)-(9/8/1/4/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-3   WIN (4/9/7/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/10/11)-(4/9/7/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/10/11)-(4/9/7/10/11)-(4/9/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/7/10/11)-(9/8/1/4/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/10/11)-(9/8/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/8/1/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/4/7)-(9/8/1/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/4/7)-(9/8/1/4/7)-(9/8/1/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/8)-(2/3/5/7/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/8)-(2/3/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/8)-(2/3/5/7/10)-(11/12/6/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/3/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7/10)-(2/3/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7/10)-(2/3/5/7/10)-(2/3/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7/10)-(11/12/6/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7/10)-(11/12/6/1/2)-(9/10/5/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-7   WIN (11/12/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/6/1/2)-(11/12/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/6/1/2)-(11/12/6/1/2)-(11/12/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/12/6/1/2)-(9/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-8   WIN (9/10/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/3)-(9/10/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/3)-(9/10/4/5/3)-(9/10/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACEFUL STREET Jul10 Jun24 Jun04 May13 Apr15 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50    
2  SMILING ANGEL Jun24 May30 May07 Mar18 Feb23 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
3  NOWNOWDANCER Jul10 Jun11 May30 Feb16 Dec19 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
4  GAP DADDY Jul10         (cascio andrew )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALLING Jun04 Mar23 Mar12 Feb18 Jan27 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 18.90    
6  PREPAID SPECIAL Jul23 Jun25 Sep19 Sep05   (gomez rafae)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 12.00    
7  TENSAS CLEAR Jul23         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MEGANS MILLIONS Feb10 Jan19 Dec22 Dec02 Nov05 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
 
LAD-2   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Jun11 May22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 (foster m)BOREL H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DECLARE WAR Jun25 Jun05 May20 May07 Apr02 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00    
3  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jun25 Jun05 May20 May07 Jul31 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 7% 13.20    
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO Jun11 May20 May05 Apr23 Mar23 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARE TO FAIL Jun25 May20 May08 Apr02 Mar04 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
6  NO KA OI May20 Sep24 Aug02 Jun18 Feb17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
7  CHIEF ALPHA Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 Apr20 Jan20 (del erick)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  SHADY GRADY Jul01 Jun11 May20 Nov11 Sep11 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
9  MAJOR DEAL Jul08 May20 Apr28 Apr16 Feb24 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 120 25.00    
10  LI MU BAI (IRE) Jun25 May26 Mar18 Feb24 Jan21 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER Jul17 Jun22 Jun10 May22 May06 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  TEO Jul03 May12 Mar12 Jun02 May03 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
 
LAD-3   07/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE GUY Jun19 May29 Feb15 Jan25 Jan07 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00    
2  RITHMICALLEA Nov04 Oct08 Aug20 Aug05 Jun30 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 25.00    
3  CARLOS PUNCH Jul01 Jun18 May29 May14 Apr08 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
4  INCORRIGIBLE Feb04 Dec22 May30 May10 Apr02 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  WHISKEY'S GONE Oct05 Sep03 Jan28     (brinkman brett)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
SCR  DONNA'S COURT Jun25 Jun12 May07 Feb16 Feb03 (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00    
7  FOREVAMO Jul10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 Feb19 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  WEDINGTON Jun03 May13 Feb22 Jan25 Dec21 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
9  D TWO Jun17 May14 Mar03 Dec31 Nov19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
10  TROPHY DADDY Jul06 May13 Apr20 Feb12 Jan27 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  HAIL SOUTHERN Jul09 Jun24 May29 Aug27 Aug11 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   07/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILTON Jun03 Mar31 Jan22 Jan08 Oct15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PREMIUM Jun26 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Apr14 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
3  DRAG MALIBU Jul13 Jun11 May28 May15 Apr29 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
4  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE Jul03 Jun04 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIELD OF VISION Jul06 Jun24 May13 Apr15 Feb18 (courville ri)MAGNON H 121 6.00    
6  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jun26 May30 Apr16 Mar23 Feb20 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
7  OCEOLA Jun26 Jun03 Jan11 Dec21 Oct19 (schultz d)BOREL H 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CREME DE BALI Jun03 May07 Mar03 Feb10 Dec01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  TWO B Jun26 May08 Mar01 Feb11 Jan08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
10  WINGS FOR ENO Jul02 Jun17 Jun08 May27 May07 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
SCR  EUROBELIEVER Jul01 May26 May06 Apr16 Feb23 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 12.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE WAR Jun30 Apr23 Feb28 Jan12 Dec01 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 25.00    
SCR  MISTER CHAIRMAN Jul15 Jun17 May27 May05 Mar19 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 4.50    
 
LAD-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNITEDAPPEAL Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan21 Dec09 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
2  BATES COURT Aug13         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50 39% 1.60    
3  AUX ARCS Jun26 Jun04 May05 Apr07 Feb20 (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
4  HULLINAHURRY Mar26 Feb18 Nov12 Oct15 Sep15 (diodoro rober)CABRERA DAVID 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  MISS CHARGE IT Jul09 Jun18       (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 110 12.00    
6  MORO FLASHBACK Jun09 Jul02       (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
7  RUNANDHIDE WIND Jun26 Aug03 Jul13 Jun09 May26 (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
8  EAGLEFORD Jul16 Jun24 Jun16 May27 May18 (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   07/31/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GEMAR Jun24 Apr30 Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
2  MO TAP Sep10 Aug07 Jun25 Jan27   (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 46% 1.20    
3  WHITEROSE JEWEL Jun25 Jun02 May13 Apr15 Mar04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
4  BIGTIME TEGRIDY Jun19 May28 May06 Feb17 Feb03 (jackson rich)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
5  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Feb09 Jan15 Dec08 Sep27 Aug27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 7% 12.70    
6  CHROME RUN Jul01 May27 Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 3.50    
7  LITTLE JONY Jun19 Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 Dec19 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PINCH HITTER Jul01 May06 Nov05 Sep24 Aug14 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
9  FABLED RULER Jun10 May06 Mar24 Feb24   (hargrave kenne)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
10  THUNDER ROAD Jun12 May06 Mar24 Jan15 Sep19 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRAZY RIDGE Jul02 Jun10 May28 May07 Mar19 (rangel raul)GALVAN JHAIR 124 20.00    
SCR  GOLDBRIDGE Jul04 Jun23 May28 May03 Apr10 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 25.00    
SCR  BRATTON May28 May12 Apr08 Oct21 Jul24 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 25.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS WAVE Jul02 Jun02 Apr23 Apr15 Mar04 (clary jaylan)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
LAD-7   07/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEE BODEE Jul01 May30 May13 Feb18 Jan14 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00 9% 9.90    
2  NOW NOW MAN Jul01 Dec09 Sep11 Aug30 Jul31 (cascio andrew )GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 9% 10.00    
3  CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Jun12 May18 Apr22 Apr08 Feb23 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 3.50    
4  BASSETT Jun10 May13 Apr15 Mar26 Feb10 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
5  J B GRAY Jun19 May29 May07 Mar26 Mar02 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
6  JOEBOY May27 May15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan06 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00 17% 4.80    
7  MY HEAVY SON Jul01 Jun18 May21 Mar16 Feb21 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
8  BEAUTIFULANDWILD Jun19 May21 Apr21 Mar05 Feb05 (zenon charles)MELANCON G 117 4.50    
SCR  SIR OVERANALYZE May29 Mar24 Feb18 Dec27 Dec09 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 12.00    
10  BAYOU SARGE Jul01 Jun17 Jun05 Apr15 Mar11 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 2.50    
11  JUJU NINETEEN Jul01 Jun11 Mar16 Feb21 Jan22 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
12  J C'S IN TOWN Jul03 Jun10 May03 Feb18 Jan21 (brinkman bret)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
 
LAD-8   07/31/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANNAH'S HAVEN Jun03 May06 Apr07 Mar10 Feb11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
SCR  GHOST BAYOU Jun11 May29 Mar26 Feb20 Jan21 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
3  ROYA Jun10 May21 Apr08 Mar08 Feb09 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GLITTERARY Jun24 Jun11 May29 May07 Apr01 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
5  OUTLINING Jun17 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 Jan20 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Jul01 Jun03 May06 Apr22 Apr02 (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 118 12.00    
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE Jul04 Jun18 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 122 20.00    
8  KEEP THE BLING Jun15 May20 Mar25 Jul17 Jul02 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
9  NO MAS TEQUILA Jul01 Jun03 May13 Mar25 Feb18 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 69% 0.40    
10  GET SERIOUS Jun11 May20 May07 Apr01 Feb20 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 8% 11.90    
11  SUMMER CAT Jun23 May27 May07 Apr15 Mar18 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.