Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/1/7/6/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/1/7/6/8)-(5/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/1/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6/8)-(5/1/7/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6/8)-(5/1/7/6/8)-(5/1/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6/8)-(5/4/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6/8)-(5/4/3)-(1/2/9/10/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/2/9/10/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/2/9/10/8)-(6/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/2/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/10/8)-(1/2/9/10/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/10/8)-(1/2/9/10/8)-(1/2/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/9/10/8)-(6/2/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/10/8)-(6/2/1)-(3/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/4/2)-(6/4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/4/3/5)-(2/8/10/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(2/8/10/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/8/10/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/9/1)-(2/8/10/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/9/1)-(2/8/10/9/1)-(2/8/10/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHARD HOOTY Jul04 May29 Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 (kintz matt)AYALA J 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
2  LARZ Jul12 Jun19 Jun06 May20 Mar19 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 116 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  BACKDOORPARTY Jul05 Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 Oct04 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
4  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jun07 May29 Feb22 Jan28 Jan12 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 Sep07 Aug24 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
6  GRAVE DANGER Jul03 Jun12 May24 Oct06 Sep21 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
7  LITTLE BIG Jul05 Jun13 May29 Apr12 Mar17 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PID-2   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGYLL Jul05 Jun19 Oct10 Sep05 Aug17 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul17 Jul05 Oct25 Oct19 Oct05 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 4.00    
3  SUMMER BOSS Jul03 Jun19 May08 Sep08 Aug30 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
4  HINDENBURG Jul05 Jun06 May30 May22 Dec24 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
5  SPAN OF CONTROL Jul18 Jul05 Jan04 Oct26 Jul30 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  KRUSIN ROCKET Jul05 Jun19 May06 Mar19 Mar12 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RISEN SAVIOR Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Mar23 Feb15 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
8  EL DUQUE Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Dec11 Nov28 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NICE STAR Jun06 May31 Oct12 Sep27 Sep20 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 20.00    
 
PID-3   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALHAAN Jun21 Jun07 May24 Apr29 Mar10 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ATAYEB by RAHY)
2  KAGERO Jul04 Jun06 May24 Jul05 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of IN MY GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
3  VALIANT VICTORIA Jul12         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SWEET TALKIN LADY by COLONY LIGHT)
4  MYSTIFY (GB) Jun30 May29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 (barkley jason)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 35% 1.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  EFFICACIOUS Jun19         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSARA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  DREAM WARRIOR Jun19         (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 12.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of DREAM TO DREAM by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SOLDIERESS Jul10 Jun13 May24 Apr07   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOLDIER ON by ZIAD)
8  REACTIVE         (harty eoin)ROJAS MARTINA 111 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
PID-4   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY SMILE May12 Apr22 Mar11 Sep15   (cheeks katy)WALKER M 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  ON AN ISLAND Jul03 Jun21 May15 Mar31 Feb24 (judd cassandr)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  COMMANDING Feb02 Dec13 Nov09     (valdez moises)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Jun27 Jun13 May31 May16 Oct26 (russell rand)AYALA J 124 6.00    
5  KVETCHING MAW Jun10 Apr22       (connelly teresa)WALES GARY 118 15.00    
6  CHANGE THE HOUR Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 May29 Oct13 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
7  DOUBLE WARRIOR Jul11 Jun21 Jun06 Nov30 Oct23 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 4.00    
8  TWELVETWO Jul11 Jun21 May31 May16 Jul23 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  FRETENSIS Jul10         (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STAR CRUISER         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MIZWARRIOR Jul07 Jun25 May26 Feb05   (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00    
 
PID-5   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hard Spun Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A MESS Jun06 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep19 (miller h)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
2  BUY LAND AND SEE Jun02 Oct18 Sep24 Aug04 Jun03 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TWIGGLES by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  VALENTINE BUG Jul05 May30 May17 Oct04 Sep19 (connelly tere)WALKER M 118 8.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
4  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jul04 Jun12 Mar09 Feb09 Jan13 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of EXTRA SEXY PSYCHIC by FREUD)
5  CRISPER Jun21 Jun02 Dec13 Nov04 Oct16 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JE SUIS ENCHANTEE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
6  NICE ACE Jul03 Jun06 Oct23 Sep19 Aug22 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
PID-6   07/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BLACK STRAT May30 Apr24 Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
2  GOODIE GOOMER Jul03 Jun07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 5.00 7% 13.30    
3  HUSH OF A STORM Jul03 May28 May11 Mar18 Feb19 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  GROUNDED Jun07 Oct17 Sep13 Aug22 Jun29 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  FRANZ JOSEF Jul03 Jun26 May29 Mar25 Mar04 (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 2.50    
6  SPIRITED SOL Jul03 Jun06 May17 Sep26 Sep07 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF BIRTHDAY Jul04 Jun06 Oct18 Oct10 Sep27 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.50    
2  SALLY'S MUSTANG Jul10 Jun13 May15 Dec27 Nov08 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
3  DEVRA WARRIOR Jul05 Jun13 Apr22 Mar18 Sep15 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELIA Jul05 Oct06 Aug03 Jul14 May24 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  SOUTH HOUSE Jul04 May22 May04 Mar31 Mar03 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BREEZY CONNECTION Jul04 Jun12 May22 May15 May07 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
7  MERINO WOOL Jul05 Jun19 May24 May17 Oct18 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
 
PID-8   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA CRUISE Jul11 Jun18 Jun03 Aug22 Aug11 (hendriks richard)WALES GARY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May30 Oct06 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  POINT LOMA Jul11 May30 May23 Oct11 Sep22 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
4  FLAT BUSTED Jun26 Jun12 May30 Mar01 Feb16 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
5  LONG RAP SHEET Jul07 Jun18 May27 May06 Apr15 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 111 3.00    
6  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Jun12 May24 May03     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
7  BLOWN OUT Jul11 Jun13 May15     (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00    
8  VAMONOS Jul10 Jun12 Feb14 Jan11 Dec22 (kinmon keith)WALKER M 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
9  MOCA MONSTER Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May24 Mar29 (cooper thoma)AYALA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MR. YASUDA Jul10 Jun14 Apr29 Jan26 Jan12 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.