Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/5/2)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/4/1)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/3/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. LLOYD Jun20 Jun05 May17 May02 Nov23 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
2  SIMBASALLTROUBLE May16 Oct03 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
3  MASSEY HALL Jun13 May30 May16 Nov08 Oct31 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
4  SMOKIN' ALONE Jun05 May09 Apr25 Nov23 Nov08 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  TUCKABUCKAWAY Jun20 May17 May02 Mar09 Feb17 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
6  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jun20 May29 May17 May02 Nov14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
FL-2   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFORMIST Jun14 May23 Nov16 Jun22 May31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Jun14 May17 May08 Apr24 Nov21 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  R BOY CHEEKUM Jun14 Jun05 May17 May07 Apr28 (thompson ma)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 10.00    
4  MASS APPEAL Jun14 Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 5.00 22% 3.40    
SCR  HIGH HEAT May30 May15 Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.00    
6  DROSEL DIEM Jun13 May22 May09 Apr24 Nov22 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BROCKMONINOFF Oct11 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
 
FL-3   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDMON Jun20 May23 May08 Apr24 Feb24 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
2  SCARF Jun10 May16 May01 Apr11 Mar22 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOYOUKNOWWHOIAM Jun13 Nov16 Nov02 Aug29 Aug10 (bartlett will)DAVILA A 122 3.00    
4  SMALL PEBBLES Jun21 May31 May17 Apr25 Dec17 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  TASTY WAVE Jun13 May22 Oct05 Sep13 Aug14 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  GOING GOING GONE May31 May17 Apr25 Nov07 Oct10 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.50    
 
FL-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAUFY FUTURES Jun19 May24 May08 Oct26 Oct12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUBSIDIARY May31 May17 Jun13 May24 May10 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
3  SARATOGA BEAUTY Jun19 May17 May09 Mar27 Jan08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 61% 0.60    
4  CLIFDEN PUNCH Jun19 Jun06 May24 Nov08 Oct26 (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  DO WHAT IT TAKES Jun19 May24 Nov16 Oct31 Oct11 (dean victor )HARKIE K 124 15.00    
6  CALL ME CARMELITA Jun19 May24 May08 Apr24 Nov16 (cabrera )DAVIS A 124 2.50    
7  DISCO PARTY Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 (progno christo)VENTURA JOSE 124 20.00    
 
FL-5   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVALUABLE WILL Jun14 Jun05 May22 May09 Nov23 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 8.00    
2  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Jun14 Oct18 Oct04 Sep06 Aug08 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
3  TOMMY THE TORCH Jun13 May16 Apr24 Feb17 Jan27 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
4  SAMAY (PER) Jun13 May29 May15 Dec09 Nov22 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  OUR MAN MIKE Jun14 May29 Nov15 Nov07 Oct24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  STUCK UP Jun14 May16 Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  I LOVE JAXSON Jun05 May24 May15 Apr12 Jan25 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
 
FL-6   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T BEAT ME Jun13 May09 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HONOR AMONG MEN Jun05 Jul13 Jun20 May16 May02 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  HIGH TONE May19 May04 Apr19 Feb21 Jan20 (diodoro )DAVIS A 122 3.00    
4  CANDY ZIP Jun05 May09 Mar08 Feb13 Jan10 (smith troy)HARKIE K 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO Jun14 May22 Apr24 Feb15 Jan19 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
6  WARALO Jun12 Nov23 Nov12 Aug08 Jul14 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 6.00    
SCR  GRAYWING May02 Mar30 Mar13 Jan17 Jan02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50    
 
FL-7   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARED SUCCESS Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
2  CANDYROCK Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 Oct10 Sep19 (donegan l)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
3  CO CONSPIRATOR Jun15 May20 May03 Mar10 Feb21 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 6% 14.60    
4  SON OF DARKNESS Jun05 May22 May09 Apr24 Mar22 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 122 5.00    
5  RINGGOOD Jun21 May29 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DATESFREEDOM Jun13 May27 May05 Apr14 Mar25 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
7  GIMMEDAMONEY Jun05 May22 May02 Nov22 Nov02 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
8  DUCK POND ROAD Jun19 May22 May09 Nov16 Oct18 (ronen a)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
 
FL-8   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANK YOU May29 Nov23 Oct26 Sep26 Aug10 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
1A  KHOZANDO Jun19 Apr16 Mar31 Mar12 Feb25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00 ★    
2  GRIT AND GLORY Jun19 May29 May09 Nov14 Oct31 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 116 6.00    
2B  MOUNTAIN TREE Jun19 May29 May15 May02 Nov22 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 118 6.00    
3  O K GAME ON Jun20 Feb02 Jan18 Dec20 Nov30 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  MISTER LARRY Jun20 May31 May16 Apr25 Oct27 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 115 8.00    
5  MACHO REAL Mar31 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLAT BILL Jun19 May23 May02 Dec14 Nov09 (gutters)NAVARRO J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FUTILE Jun19 May29 May15 Apr07 Mar23 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 123 2.50    
8  SNEADS Jun19 Nov22 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 116 10.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.