Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/3/5/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/3/5/10/1)-(5/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/3/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/10/1)-(4/3/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/10/1)-(4/3/5/10/1)-(4/3/5/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/5/10/1)-(5/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/10/1)-(5/2/6/8)-(3/2/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/8)-(3/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/8)-(3/2/4/6)-(1/8/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(1/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(1/8/7/4)-(7/3/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/4)-(7/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/4)-(7/3/5/8)-(6/2/9/8/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/8)-(7/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/8)-(7/3/5/8)-(7/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/8)-(6/2/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/8)-(6/2/9/8/4)-(7/1/4/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/2/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/8/4)-(6/2/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/8/4)-(6/2/9/8/4)-(6/2/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/9/8/4)-(7/1/4/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-8   WIN (7/1/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3/6)-(7/1/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3/6)-(7/1/4/3/6)-(7/1/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   06/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE BO May20 Mar16 Feb25 Jan28   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50    
2  PEACEFUL MOMENT May13 Apr14 Mar05 Jan13 Dec30 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00    
3  GUEST IN MY HEART Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr14 Mar18 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00    
4  T J'S FIRST May29 Mar18 Jan27 Sep19 Aug29 (mouton patrick)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 50% 1.00    
5  PAYNT THE MOON Jun05 May20 Apr03 Feb10 Jan26 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  ZEEROCK Jun17 May29 May15 Mar19 Mar05 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   06/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN STAR Jun17 May20 May07 Apr29 Apr21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY PAL SWEET Jun09 May19 Apr20 Mar22   (thomas lee)MELANCON G 117 8.00    
3  KINGS WAGER May30 Apr27 Mar08 Feb03 Jan07 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  MAGIC LIGHTNING May30 May21 Feb17 Jan08 Dec01 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 43% 1.40    
5  RICKY RIGHT May22 May06 Apr22 Dec17   (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  CROSSING IRIS May15 Feb05 Dec31     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00    
7  JUDGMENTAL May30 May14 Jan27 Sep24 Aug30 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
8  INFINITESIMAL Mar24 Mar09 Mar01 Feb09 Jan01 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
SCR  YOU YOUR DADDY SON May30 May07 Feb18 Jan11 Dec14 (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
10  FLOWER CAT May27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 Nov25 (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO May15 Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
LAD-3   06/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUNICATIONISKEY         (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 4.50    
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
2  VIV'S WILD ACES         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by HARD ACES out of I'M WILD by PRECOCITY)
3  GIRL LIKES BLING         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
4  PLUM WINE         (johnson b)BOREL H 117 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MS. JEAN ELIZABETH by OLD FASHIONED)
5  RONNIE'S DEAL         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by EL DEAL out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
6  DEMOTION         (ortiz r)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of DEV MO by UNCLE MO)
7  TAKE HER AWAY Jun11         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
8  OUR LAST HALF         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of KIMUA'S LIL GIRL by ZARBYEV)
 
LAD-4   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOWNOWDANCER Jun11 May30 Feb16 Dec19 Nov26 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
2  VALENTINE ANGEL May30 May07 Jan29 Dec30 Jan07 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  IRISH WRIT Jun11 May30 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  WISH FOR CANDY         (rhea sherry)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00 16% 5.40    
5  PREPAID SPECIAL Sep19 Sep05       (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
6  DON'T LOOK ETHEL May30 Apr19 Feb18 Jan11 Nov17 (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BONJOOR MADEMOISEL Jun05 May27 May28 May07 Apr16 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 10.00    
8  BEAUCLAIRE May27 Feb24       (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 111 12.00    
9  BLUE COWGIRL May30 May04 Apr21 Mar30 Mar05 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 4.00    
 
LAD-5   06/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENYA STRIKE Jun10 May14 Sep10 Aug21 Jul18 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  VIOLA STAR Jun10 May14 Apr15 Mar22 Mar08 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
3  ABBY THE BULL DAWG May21 May05 Apr21 Mar30 Feb26 (hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
4  SWEET PERFECTION Feb12 Jan13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr29 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
5  GIFTED TALENT May15 Feb15 Jan18 Jan04 Nov30 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 30.00    
6  GEE SHE'S PRETTY Jun12 Mar05 Feb04 Jan08 Dec15 (garza e)SINGH R 122 30.00    
7  HAVE I EVER May04 Apr15 Mar04 Feb03 Sep19 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
8  TEXAS TIDELANDS Jun15 May20 Apr30 Apr21 Apr02 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
9  C C'S COWGIRL Sep25 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 (schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  GREY HALO Jun15 May27 May14 Apr22 Apr14 (govea ces)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 15.00    
SCR  FUHR MEO Jun03 May15 Mar08 Feb15 Jan07 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON May26 May08 Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 114 15.00    
 
LAD-6   06/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICK TO BLAME Jun11 May08 Apr29 Mar31 Feb17 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.50    
2  OPTIMISTIC May22 Apr28 Apr13 Feb03 Jan19 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
3  FIRST LINE Jun12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb11 Jan27 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  MAX PANDOWDY May28 May11 Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 (hirdes john)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
5  CORVETTE SPIRIT May30 May22 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 8% 11.80    
6  MR. UNUSUAL Feb26 Jan22 Nov09 Oct19 Jun19 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
7  SCREENPLAY May20 Apr22 Apr13 Feb16 Jan27 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 41% 1.50    
8  POP LIFE Jun17 Feb17 Feb10 Jan14 Oct19 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DONNA'S COURT Jun12 May07 Feb16 Feb03 Jan01 (singh s)SINGH R 121 10.00    
 
LAD-7   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS RANSOM May04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan15 Dec10 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
2  DOCTOR LEO Jun11 May06 Apr20 Feb17 Feb04 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  YOUNG TUSCAN May27 Mar16 Feb09 Jan15 Nov26 (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
4  WISE ANCHOR Jun11 May20 Mar25 Mar16 Mar05 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TARGET PRACTICE May30 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Dec29 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
6  LILRASCALMAN May06 Mar18 Feb02 Dec17 Nov26 (meaux h)SINGH R 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SLITHER Jun05 May15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
8  HALF AGAIN May27 May06 Mar01 Feb04 Dec15 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 12.00 6% 15.90    
9  PINCH ME A PENNY May28 Feb19 Jan28 Dec02 Oct15 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 8% 11.50    
10  FIERY PLAYBOY May15 Mar16 Feb02 Dec01 Oct19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00    
 
LAD-8   06/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO FAIL May20 May08 Apr02 Mar04 Feb16 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jun11 May05 Oct19 Sep24 Sep06 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00    
3  CHIEF CHEETAH Jun11 Jul06 Jun04 May25 Apr23 (del erick)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAPIT CITY May05 Mar04 Mar24 Mar02 Feb11 (mcdaniel )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LI MU BAI (IRE) May26 Mar18 Feb24 Jan21 Nov26 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
6  DECLARE WAR Jun05 May20 May07 Apr02 Feb20 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MONARCH MAN May03 Mar02 Feb04 Sep26 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 72% 0.40    
8  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jun05 May20 May07 Jul31 Jul22 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
9  HELIOCHROME Jun05 May20 May07 Feb23 Dec27 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 8.00    
10  LOVING LUCKY Jun05 May06 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.