Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/6/4/2)-(5/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/2)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/2)-(5/2/1)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(3/7/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(3/7/8/10/5)-(4/7/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/7/8/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/10/5)-(3/7/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/10/5)-(3/7/8/10/5)-(3/7/8/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/8/10/5)-(4/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH AFRICA Dec29 Dec04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug17 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
2  OUR MAN MIKE Nov15 Nov07 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.60 32% 2.20    
3  RINGGOOD Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Oct10 Sep06 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 122 6.00    
4  EASY SHOT Aug22 Aug03 Jul08 May06 Mar27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
5  ANYTHING PAZIBLE May17 May02 Nov14 Oct11 Sep14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
FL-2   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTATE May08 Nov16 Nov09 Oct26 Oct18 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Mar26 Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 (thompson m)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
3  HEREBY May15 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb15 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 18.20    
4  LUCKY MANNY May15 Nov16 Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 4.50    
5  TRA LAD Jan11 Dec09 Nov13 Oct11 Sep16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Apr25 Nov08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 (dixon k)DIAZ J 117 2.00    
 
FL-3   05/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Apr29 Apr14 Mar12 Feb10 Jan25 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
1A  THANK YOU Nov23 Oct26 Sep26 Aug10 Jul19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
2  MOUNTAIN TREE May15 May02 Nov22 Nov02 Oct17 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
2B  GRIT AND GLORY May09 Nov14 Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THIS CAT CAN FLY Nov23 Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 Aug29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
4  UNCLE JEROME Jan20 Jan11 Jan05 Dec20 Nov26 (smith lawren)HARKIE K 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
5  FUTILE May15 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb08 (sells rachel)COA J 122 5.00    
6  FIRE'S FINALE May15 May02 Mar22 Feb22 Jan31 (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
FL-4   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALOON GIRL May16 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 (dean i)DAVILA R 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
2  TRIVIA May08 Nov16 Oct26 Oct17 Sep26 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  EASY PLAY May08 Apr25 Mar17 Feb20 Jan29 (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 122 5.00    
4  BANKERS DAUGHTER May16 Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
5  QUEENS DANCER May09 Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 Aug26 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  LET'S MAGA Nov14 Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
 
FL-5   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNY TWO CENTS May15 Oct06 Aug25 Jun02 May08 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
2  HANGOUT May16 Apr25 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (mas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARONE MARCHIS Apr20 Aug05 Jul10 May06 Apr16 (noda orl)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
4  DEVIL OR ANGEL Nov22 Oct18 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 74% 0.40    
5  CODYS EXPRESS Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug24 Jun29 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
SCR  FIGHTER KITE May16 Nov15       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 2.50    
SCR  LEGENDARY BID Nov23 Oct25 Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00    
 
FL-6   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOUTING PARTY         (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 120 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of I AIN'T SHY by INDYGO SHINER)
2  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN May16 Apr25 Apr05 Sep05 Aug22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.00 8% 11.80    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
3  FLORALOATS Sep05 Aug22       (huertas )DAVIS A 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of FLORAL OFFERING by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY May16 Mar24 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
5  PAULIES ANGEL May08         (bond brent)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of CAPE CAROLINE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
6  SUNSHINE GIRL May16 May08 Apr25 Apr05 Mar19 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of SARASOTA SUNRISE by THUNDER GULCH)
7  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT May08 Jul01       (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of WORKING AT NIGHT by TIZNOW)
 
FL-7   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST George Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITER'S REGRET May15 Apr24 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of PENCIL PAPERS by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  TOMMY THE TORCH May16 Apr24 Feb17 Jan27 Jan11 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN TICKET out of PEACE QUEEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Apr24 Nov07 Oct10 Sep06 Aug21 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by GOLDEN TICKET out of VALUABLE LADY by VALUE PLUS)
4  WINSTON'S CHANCE Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May02 (breed de)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
  (by ROARING FEVER out of BETTY'S CHANCE by DUCKHORN)
5  LOBSTA May20 Apr30 Feb20 Jan22 May22 (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMCEE out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
6  NUEVA YORK Nov17 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of PONDSIDE by FORESTRY)
7  SENBEI Nov12 Sep30 Aug06 May15   (clement christoph)PEREZ E 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
8  DISCO DEANO Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 Jul17 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of NURSE DISCO by DISCO RICO)
9  FLYING EMPEROR May15 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Jul30 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by SOARING EMPIRE out of EVIL EMPRESS by DEVIL HIS DUE)
10  SAMAY (PER) May15 Dec09 Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POWER WORLD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FL-8   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY TALLAHASSEE May16 Sep26 Sep12     (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  THE HONORABLE EYE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by HONOR CODE out of AINSLEY by OFFICER)
3  WITT LASTING SPEED Nov21 Nov07 Oct24     (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
4  HAPPY TIME Dec29 Dec04       (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
5  GRANDMA T May16 Jun30 Apr22     (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VERDULA by MIZZEN MAST)
6  JUANDERFUL JUANITA May16 May02 Oct28 Sep23   (huertas )DAVIS A 124 4.00 6% 14.70    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of TOWN TALK by THUNDER GULCH)
7  TUMBLES May16 May02 Apr16     (iorio jr)COA J 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.